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Josh Doctson 2017 Expectations
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TheGreeK1973


Joined: 30 Nov 2012
Posts: 1549
PostPosted: Tue Jun 06, 2017 7:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Doc Draper wrote:
Dashing wrote:
I'd sa 750-3 touchdowns in a 60 rec ball range .


Crowder and Pryor will take a lot of catches away .


hoping you are right and its probably about a 30% Probability. The other probabilities are below:

30% 35 catches 500 yards and 3 touchdowns with injury forcing him out

20% 0 Catches and he is on IR with achilles, foot or other injury

20% >80 catches and > 1100 yards and 8 touchdowns

Math lovers ( like me because its so helpful in successful gambling or pulling girls from a nightclub lol) can tell me what we bet he does to manage the various performance and their probabilities if we were betting an over and under for catches, yards and touchdowns.


I don't know how many TDs Pryor and Doctson catch but if healthy for 16 games I can almost assure you they will have at least double of what DJax and Garcon had which was a total of 7.
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Doc Draper


Joined: 18 Dec 2012
Posts: 5169
PostPosted: Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

TheGreeK1973 wrote:
Doc Draper wrote:
Dashing wrote:
I'd sa 750-3 touchdowns in a 60 rec ball range .


Crowder and Pryor will take a lot of catches away .


hoping you are right and its probably about a 30% Probability. The other probabilities are below:

30% 35 catches 500 yards and 3 touchdowns with injury forcing him out

20% 0 Catches and he is on IR with achilles, foot or other injury

20% >80 catches and > 1100 yards and 8 touchdowns

Math lovers ( like me because its so helpful in successful gambling or pulling girls from a nightclub lol) can tell me what we bet he does to manage the various performance and their probabilities if we were betting an over and under for catches, yards and touchdowns.


I don't know how many TDs Pryor and Doctson catch but if healthy for 16 games I can almost assure you they will have at least double of what DJax and Garcon had which was a total of 7.


I'm with you- Id bet the 14 and over for touchdowns in a year for the combined two receivers. Heck Pryor might come close to that himself now that we have a guy who can run and catch a fade.
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FosterTheSkins


Joined: 19 Oct 2012
Posts: 729
PostPosted: Mon Jun 12, 2017 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think he's going to do great. He had a season to rest and recover from from injuries and had time to digest The Skins offense, at his own pace and leisure.

Hail I have enough faith in his abilities to get a signature of him!
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Jeezy Fanatic


Joined: 29 Mar 2007
Posts: 26086
Location: Proud Alumnus of the University of Miami
PostPosted: Mon Jun 12, 2017 2:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Surprised to see I haven't posted a pessimistic response in this thread yet. Once I saw this video of him studying the playbook it was over for me:



He also looks a little out of shape in it as well, which isn't helping tbh
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