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10 predictions before NFL free agency officially begins:
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 1:13 pm    Post subject: 10 predictions before NFL free agency officially begins: Reply with quote

1. Saints will comes to terms with franchise player Jimmy Graham on a long-term contract at some point within the next 2 weeks.
Much has been made about what Graham is worth and how much should or could the Saints pay him but the two constants throughout this process has been the fact that the Saints clearly want to retain Jimmy Graham and Jimmy Graham wants to remain a Saint. It’s been 6 days since Graham has been designated as the Saints franchise player as a tight end but yet no agrevience has been filed to date on his behalf. The fact is that Jimmy has consistently taken the high road throughout his career with the Saints and continues to do so through this process. I truly believe that the Saints and Graham’s camp are on the same page and are aggressively working toward a common ground between the two sides. The Saints are currently going through somewhat of a transition period this offseason as they are beginning to shift into a new era offensively under Sean Payton, a future likely built around the talents of one Jimmy Graham.



2. Zach Strief will remain a Saint, while Brian De La Puente and Malcolm Jenkins will find greener pastures elsewhere in free agency.
Outside of Jimmy Graham, the Saints have clearly made resigning Zach Strief there top priority this offseason and while I don’t believe they will overpay for his services, I do believe that the two sides will find a common ground that both will be happy with. The Saints truly value Strief’s ability in pass protection and experience in Sean Payton’s system and would like to keep him onboard for the remainder of Drew Brees tenure in New Orleans, for however long that may be. De La Puente and Jenkins on the other hand will likely be deemed expendable as the Saints have never invested top dollar into the center position and the fact that despite all Jenkins physical tools he simply has been average since being drafted in the 1st round by the club.



3. Saints will sign Chiefs Dexter McCluster in free agency to fill the void left by the departure of Darren Sproles in Sean Payton’s offense.
Other than retaining their top two free agents in Jimmy Graham and Zach Strief, adding McCluster may very well be the Saints top priority in free agency. Ever since Sean Payton arrived in New Orleans in 2006 his offensive system has always depended on the mismatches and defensive looks created by the offensive weapon position in his scheme. Whether it was by catching swing passes or screens out of the backfield, taking handoffs around the corner or splitting out wide or in the slot… hell, even by simply being a decoy and drawing defenders away from other ends of the field the create mismatches this position has been a vital component in this offense from the beginning. At first it was Reggie Bush then after his departure the Saints quickly responded by adding Darren Sproles. With Sproles now gone, I expect to see the Saints aggressively pursue the explosive McCulster to be the next in line as he possesses the skill set and versatility to excel at the position just as the others before him did.



4. A corner will not be signed via free agency by the Saints.
Although I agree that cornerback is currently the Saints biggest need this offseason, I don’t believe that they will actively pursue any in free agency. Keenan Lewis is clearly the top player at the position in New Orleans and I expect a competitive battle between Patrick Robinson, Corey White and a 2014 NFL draft pick to battle in training camp for the right to start opposite of him. Both Robinson and White possess great physical ability but neither has yet to separate themselves at the position for various reasons. The 2014 NFL draft is also very deep at the corner position and the Saints can realistically land a player in any of the top 3 rounds that could conceivably come in and compete for that position as well. As a dark horse, the Saints are rumored to be very high on last years undrafted free agent find Rod Sweeting and he will likely factor into the competition as well.



5. The Saints will match any offer Rafael Bush might receive in free agency as a tendered restricted free agent.
There are a few reasons I believe this… 1. Is that I don’t believe that Bush will receive any offers that the Saints couldn’t afford. 2. With the loss of Roman Harper and Malcolm Jenkins, Bush becomes especially important to the continued success of this young defense. 3. He’s simply a good young football player at a reasonable price. With last year’s top pick Kenny Vaccaro seemingly headed towards stardom, the Saints will be wise to secure his running mate in the physically imposing Bush as both players clearly were the top two safeties on the team last season.



6. The 27th overall pick will likely come down to a group of 5 prospects.
The draft is still a long ways away and like we all know anything can happen on draft day and you can nevr predict how and why ceartin top prospects might fall in the draft but it happens. The top of the draft board is slowly beginning to sort itself out and the drafts premium players are beginning to assert themselves. As I see it, picking in the back half of the top round, combined with the type of players the Saints have targeted in the past our top selection will likely come out of a group of 5 players…

A. Jason Verrett [CB; TCU]
Verrett is one of my favorite players in this draft. Yes he’s on the smaller side (5’9” 189 lbs) but in my opinion he’s got the quickest feet of any corner in the draft. His speed (4.38 in 40) and tremendous instincts allow him to break on the football in the air exceptionally and despite his lack of size he’s also one of the more physical corners in this draft. His work ethic was put on full display at the TCU proday as he posted 19 reps on the bench at 225 lbs at his size while knowing he’d soon be undergoing surgery to repair a torn labrum in his shoulder. During the 2013 season, Verrett went toe to toe with some of college football’s top receivers and more than held his own proving that he’s the total package at the position… just a smaller one.

B. Brandin Cooks [WR; Oregon State]
The Saints understand that they need to get younger and more explosive on offense and Cooks embodies that direction. Like Verrett, Cooks is a smaller player by NFL standards but he’s dynamite with the football in his hands. Far too often opposing defenses were allowed to focus their total attention to Jimmy Graham in bracket coverage but by adding more explosive players around him teams will find that much harder to do moving forward. Cooks was a highlight reel waiting to happen this past season who makes plays that not many can make. His athletic ability and speed allow him to be a tremendous playmaker but he also has an edge and toughness to him that reminds me of a young Steve Smith of the Carolina Panthers.

C. Dee Ford [LB; Auburn]
Junior Galette cemented his place as one of the Saints top young pass rushers moving forward with his breakout performance this past season but the position opposite him is still unsettled. Prays Haralson was a value pick up this past season as a run defender but lacks explosiveness as a pass rusher and may or may not be back. Victor Butler (the odds on favorite to win the job) is returning from a torn ACL that cost him his entire 2013 season and will be entering the final year of a two year contract he signed last free agency. Any team will tell you that these days you can never have enough pass rushers and cover corners and depth is a concern here. Ford is an extremely explosive edge rusher who will likely transition to outside linebacker in the NFL. With the Saints Ford could provide a dynamic pass rush specialist in his rookie season while also providing the Saints with insurance in the event Butler plays his last year with the Saints in 2014.

D. Ryan Shaizer [LB; Ohio State]
Shaizer is an interesting prospect, he’s a dynamic athlete but there are concerns about his durability on the next level. However, I personally don’t share those sediments and see Shaizer as a future defensive playmaker in the NFL in the mold of Daryl Washington of the Cardinals. Many see Shaizer on the outside in the NFL but like Washington I see Shaizer as an inside playmaker in a 34 defensive scheme. Shaizers sideline to sideline range, burst off the edge and instincts in the running game combined with his upside in pass coverage make this Buckeye one to watch as a potential versatile defender in Rob Ryan’s scheme of the likes of Kenny Vaccaro.

E. Jimmie Ward [FS; Northern Illinois]
This may seem like an odd choice here but make no mistake, Jimmie Ward is a 1st round talent. The jury is still out on whether Rob Ryan will continue to utilize his 3 safety alignment moving forward as a staple of his defense or if it was simply Ryan making do with the talent he had last season. Like I mentioned before, the Saints value Rafael Bush and will bring him back but Ward is a very versatile defender much like Kenny Vaccaro as he has the ability to play centerfielder, Nickel corner and corner in a pinch. The combination of Vaccaro, Ward and Bush would give Ryan quite the trio in his scheme if of course that is the direction the Saints intend to stick with.



7. The Saints are not finished purging high priced veterans.
With the recent purge of offensive high priced veterans after earlier doing the same with long-time defensive Stallworth’s, I don’t expect that we’ve seen the last of it. The most logical current players that could soon be on their way out included Pierre Thomas & Brodrick Bunkley. Thomas is the hardest of all these cuts as he seems to have an emotional attachment with this fan base unlike any other that has been released thus far. I suspect the Saints may have found an active trade market for Thomas due to his value in pass protection and receiving skills as well as being a tough inside runner. While this news is hard, it isn’t new as Thomas was almost dealt to the New England Patriots a few seasons ago for a reserve corner. Maybe New England or some other team has expressed interest via trade in the valuable commodity who has simply become too expensive for the Saints to hang onto these days. Bunkley on the other hand is a different story as his release will offer little help to the present but more so to the future. Bunkley is currently slated to make more combined this season that Jordan, Hicks, Galette, Jenkins and Foster combined! His release opens the door for big Jon Jenkins to take on more of an active role as the starting nose tackle and frees up cap space next offseason when the Saints will be shelling out major dollars to defensive cornerstone Cameron Jordan.



8. New Orleans will make a play for Northern Illinois quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo at some point in the draft.
Now whether they are successful in their attempt I don’t know but I expect this to happen. It’s obvious that Sean Payton will have interest in Garoppolo for obvious reasons but also looking at the youth movement taking place on this roster this offseason, one should expect the Saints at some point to invest into the most important position where the highest aged veteran player on the team currently resides. Garoppolo would be the ideal successor to groom behind Brees and his connection with Payton is evident but his quick release and passing ability is a great match for what Payton likes to do offensively. Despite these attributes to Garoppolo’s game, he’s still very raw coming out of a true spread system in college and will need time to develop and adept to the pro game. I can realistically see Garoppolo being developed for 2-3 seasons before the Saints opt to make the very tough decision to eventually move on from the greatest player to every don the crescent flower.



9. The Saints will once again win the battle for the top undrafted rookie pool.
The one thing that stands out in this area to potential prospects is Sean Payton’s track record. These kids are smart and are being advised by smart people and agents trust Payton when he says that each player is given a fair shot to make his roster and that track record validates that and it’s helped the Saints land quite the haul of UDRFA in the past and 2014 will be no different.



10. This 2014 New Orleans Saints team will look different, they will be younger with a lot of new faces but make no mistake… they will still be contenders.
It’s a transition period, not a rebuilding project… remember that. Yes there will be some tough times but this ship is still captained by Drew Brees, Jimmy Graham is still one of the top 3 non quarterback offensive weapons in the NFL and both will be surrounded by an improving offensive line and younger more explosive playmakers. Defensively the Saints under Rob Ryan will only get better despite the loss of aging veterans. This is a very talented young group that will continue to thrive under the brash bravado Ryan brings to the table and combined with a solid special team’s core, I fully expect this team to continue to be a major threat in not only the NFC South but the NFC all together.




WHODAT
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FLOODx


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 1:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree with all the points you made Worm. I don't really want Strief back, but it is what it is. McCluster would be great for our offense and return game. I like all 5 prospects you named, and I'd hope/think the Saints will match any offer Bush receives. Hopefully the Graham deal is done soon so that can squash some of the drama floating around.
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 1:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FLOODx wrote:
I agree with all the points you made Worm. I don't really want Strief back, but it is what it is. McCluster would be great for our offense and return game. I like all 5 prospects you named, and I'd hope/think the Saints will match any offer Bush receives. Hopefully the Graham deal is done soon so that can squash some of the drama floating around.


Where do you stand with the quarterback position Flood? Do you feel as I do that the Saints make a play for Garoppolo? I'm not buying the 1st round talk but I also don't believe he'll be there at pick 59. You know how and what Payton and Loomis is willing to do when they fall for an offensive guy... IE Mark Ingram.
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FLOODx


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 2:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

whodatworm23 wrote:
FLOODx wrote:
I agree with all the points you made Worm. I don't really want Strief back, but it is what it is. McCluster would be great for our offense and return game. I like all 5 prospects you named, and I'd hope/think the Saints will match any offer Bush receives. Hopefully the Graham deal is done soon so that can squash some of the drama floating around.


Where do you stand with the quarterback position Flood? Do you feel as I do that the Saints make a play for Garoppolo? I'm not buying the 1st round talk but I also don't believe he'll be there at pick 59. You know how and what Payton and Loomis is willing to do when they fall for an offensive guy... IE Mark Ingram.


Personally, I'd like to wait until next season. I have no clue what the FO view on the situation is. I like Garoppolo, but I definitely don't want him in the first, and like you said I don't think he'll be there at 59. I also don't want to give up any picks to get him.. I'm a fan of Derek Carr, but I see him as a top 20 pick. Really not a fan of any other QB we have a chance at drafting.
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unfsaint


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Prediction...Saints select Jimmy Garoppolo in the late 1st rounder after trading back up to get in the 1st round.

I would have NEVER thought this was going to happen this season...well, until all of our veteran offensive players started getting the ax. I think that 2014 will be officially named: the year of reloading.

I think that we will use our #1 on a WR...and we will use our 2nd and next year's 1st for Jimmy G. I think that we DO make a play at CB in free agency...then we attack CB position again in the mid rounds. This CB class is one of the deepest in recent history and a guy like Phillip Gaines has pro bowl potential.

With our current cap issues I think that Payton would like to duplicate what the Seahawks did with Russell Wilson. If you can get a productive QB on a rookie contract...you will be able to outcompete everyone in FA.
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

unfsaint wrote:
Prediction...Saints select Jimmy Garoppolo in the late 1st rounder after trading back up to get in the 1st round.

I would have NEVER thought this was going to happen this season...well, until all of our veteran offensive players started getting the ax. I think that 2014 will be officially named: the year of reloading.

I think that we will use our #1 on a WR...and we will use our 2nd and next year's 1st for Jimmy G. I think that we DO make a play at CB in free agency...then we attack CB position again in the mid rounds. This CB class is one of the deepest in recent history and a guy like Phillip Gaines has pro bowl potential.

With our current cap issues I think that Payton would like to duplicate what the Seahawks did with Russell Wilson. If you can get a productive QB on a rookie contract...you will be able to outcompete everyone in FA.


Would not be shocked in the least to see Loomis and Payton pull another Mark Ingram type trade (2014 2nd and 2015 1st) to get back to around pick 29-32 in order to get ahead of Houston, Jacksonville and Oakland to secure Garoppolo if Payton is convinced that he's a future franchise quarterback.
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Harper41


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

unfsaint wrote:
Prediction...Saints select Jimmy Garoppolo in the late 1st rounder after trading back up to get in the 1st round.

I would have NEVER thought this was going to happen this season...well, until all of our veteran offensive players started getting the ax. I think that 2014 will be officially named: the year of reloading.

I think that we will use our #1 on a WR...and we will use our 2nd and next year's 1st for Jimmy G. I think that we DO make a play at CB in free agency...then we attack CB position again in the mid rounds. This CB class is one of the deepest in recent history and a guy like Phillip Gaines has pro bowl potential.

With our current cap issues I think that Payton would like to duplicate what the Seahawks did with Russell Wilson. If you can get a productive QB on a rookie contract...you will be able to outcompete everyone in FA.

Except, Jimmy wouldn't be starting for us and by the time he is he'd be coming close to the end of his rookie contract and while we could get him at a bargain...if teams view him as a starting QB, we'd need to shell out at least 40-50M to keep a young starting QB around.
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harper41 wrote:
unfsaint wrote:
Prediction...Saints select Jimmy Garoppolo in the late 1st rounder after trading back up to get in the 1st round.

I would have NEVER thought this was going to happen this season...well, until all of our veteran offensive players started getting the ax. I think that 2014 will be officially named: the year of reloading.

I think that we will use our #1 on a WR...and we will use our 2nd and next year's 1st for Jimmy G. I think that we DO make a play at CB in free agency...then we attack CB position again in the mid rounds. This CB class is one of the deepest in recent history and a guy like Phillip Gaines has pro bowl potential.

With our current cap issues I think that Payton would like to duplicate what the Seahawks did with Russell Wilson. If you can get a productive QB on a rookie contract...you will be able to outcompete everyone in FA.

Except, Jimmy wouldn't be starting for us and by the time he is he'd be coming close to the end of his rookie contract and while we could get him at a bargain...if teams view him as a starting QB, we'd need to shell out at least 40-50M to keep a young starting QB around.


If i'm not mistaken with the new CBA a 1st round pick can be given a 4 year deal with a team option for a 5th. Like Cameron Jordan after next year the Saints have the option to pick up an additional year on his contract at around 8 mil if they choose to do so before committing long-term.

This is a reason trading up into the 1st round for a quarterback instead of waiting for the 2nd is a valuable option for a team like the Saints. I personally feel Brees has 2-3 years max left here in New Orleans, that is my personal belief and getting Garoppolo in the 1st gives the Saints a 5 year plan, similar to the Aaron Rodgers situation where after 2-3 years developing behind Brees Garoppolo can take over with 1 year left on his contract with a 5th year team option giving the Saints 2 years on his rookie deal before having to commit to another long-term deal on their quarterback.
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Last edited by whodatworm23 on Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:48 pm; edited 2 times in total
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Harper41


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

whodatworm23 wrote:
Harper41 wrote:
unfsaint wrote:
Prediction...Saints select Jimmy Garoppolo in the late 1st rounder after trading back up to get in the 1st round.

I would have NEVER thought this was going to happen this season...well, until all of our veteran offensive players started getting the ax. I think that 2014 will be officially named: the year of reloading.

I think that we will use our #1 on a WR...and we will use our 2nd and next year's 1st for Jimmy G. I think that we DO make a play at CB in free agency...then we attack CB position again in the mid rounds. This CB class is one of the deepest in recent history and a guy like Phillip Gaines has pro bowl potential.

With our current cap issues I think that Payton would like to duplicate what the Seahawks did with Russell Wilson. If you can get a productive QB on a rookie contract...you will be able to outcompete everyone in FA.

Except, Jimmy wouldn't be starting for us and by the time he is he'd be coming close to the end of his rookie contract and while we could get him at a bargain...if teams view him as a starting QB, we'd need to shell out at least 40-50M to keep a young starting QB around.


If i'm not mistaken with the new CBA a 1st round pick can be given a 4 year deal with a team option for a 5th. Like Cameron Jordan after next year the Saints have the option to pick up an additional year on his contract at around 8 mil if they choose to do so before committing long-term.

This is a reason trading up into the 1st round for a quarterback instead of waiting for the 2nd is a valuable option for a team like the Saints. I personally feel Brees has 2-3 years max left here in New Orleans, that is my personal belief and getting Garoppolo in the 1st gives the Saints a 5 year plan, similar to the Aaron Rodgers situation where after 2-3 years developing behind Brees Garoppolo can take over with 1 year left on his contract with a 5th year team option giving the Saints 2 years on his rookie deal before having to commit to another long-term deal on their quarterback.

True, good point. You all know I've been driving the Jimmy train for awhile. Glad to see some people are catching on Wink
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:

True, good point. You all know I've been driving the Jimmy train for awhile. Glad to see some people are catching on Wink


In all honestly if Sean Payton believes that Jimmy Garoppolo is his next star quarterback this is a trade the Saints should make.
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hey Harp... this is for those who may doubt if Sean Payton truly has been keeping a watchful eye on Garoppolo.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m7RcGxphgsw

What ya think?
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Harper41


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

whodatworm23 wrote:
Hey Harp... this is for those who may doubt if Sean Payton truly has been keeping a watchful eye on Garoppolo.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m7RcGxphgsw

What ya think?

Love it, knew Payton would keep an eye on a QB prospect from his alumni. Jimmy has all the tools necessary to be a great QB, and him and Paytons offense could be unreal. His release might be the fastest I've ever seen, honestly.
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harper41 wrote:
whodatworm23 wrote:
Hey Harp... this is for those who may doubt if Sean Payton truly has been keeping a watchful eye on Garoppolo.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m7RcGxphgsw

What ya think?

Love it, knew Payton would keep an eye on a QB prospect from his alumni. Jimmy has all the tools necessary to be a great QB, and him and Paytons offense could be unreal. His release might be the fastest I've ever seen, honestly.


This is high praise but Garoppolo's release (just release) is on par with Marino's. It's big time, ZERO wasted movement.

I honestly believe Garoppolo is the one player Payton would risk a little tension with Brees for. Garoppolo would ensure Payton's offense would continue to be one of the NFL's best post Brees and I believe that both Payton and Brees could get onboard with a 2-3 year plan for Garoppolo in a developing / mentoring relationship.

Payton's 1st choice when he arrived here was Tony Romo, also another EIU alum and Sean Payton find and Garoppolo's skill set is similar to that of Romo so based on his skill set and relationship to the university that Payton clearly keeps a close eye on... Payton could very well make Garoppolo EIU's first ever 1st round selection. Landing his coveted future franchise quarterback and putting his old school on the map in the same process.
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unfsaint


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 8:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ok...so we all agree. Jimmy or bust.
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whodatworm23


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 4:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

unfsaint wrote:
Ok...so we all agree. Jimmy or bust.


Either that or the perfect smokescreen... Wink
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