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jrry32


Joined: 04 Jan 2011
Posts: 46558
PostPosted: Tue May 07, 2013 11:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
These are my expectations:
Sam Bradford - 63%, 3800 passing yards, 27 TDs and 12 Ints
Pead/DR/Stacy - 1800 combined rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs
Tavon Austin - 1200+ yards from scrimmage and 9 total TDs
Chris Givens - 850 receiving yards and 5 TDs
Jared Cook - 900 receiving yards and 10 TDs
Chris Long - 12 sacks
Robert Quinn - 11 sacks
Alec Ogletree - 95 tackles, 3 sacks and 2 ints
James Laurinaitis - 120 tackles, 2 sacks and 1 int
Janoris Jenkins - 4 ints
Defense - Top 10 unit
Offense - In the 14 to 18 range
Team - 8 to 10 wins

I'm expecting much more than 3800 yards. He threw for 3700 last year with inferior surroundings.


Depends how much we run it. The #10 team in the NFL last year in offensive YPG had 5799 yards. So that means if our HBs/Austin/whoever run for around 1800 yards...Sam throwing for 4000 would make us top 10 in YPG. I still have a hard time projecting that. It's possible though. My projections put us in the 14 to 17 range in YPG.
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Harper41 wrote:
Don't worry. Sean Payton would pass the ball in a Tornado.

But would he do it in a Sharknado?
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FRO


Joined: 02 Feb 2013
Posts: 1155
PostPosted: Wed May 08, 2013 8:06 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

jrry32 wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
These are my expectations:
Sam Bradford - 63%, 3800 passing yards, 27 TDs and 12 Ints
Pead/DR/Stacy - 1800 combined rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs
Tavon Austin - 1200+ yards from scrimmage and 9 total TDs
Chris Givens - 850 receiving yards and 5 TDs
Jared Cook - 900 receiving yards and 10 TDs
Chris Long - 12 sacks
Robert Quinn - 11 sacks
Alec Ogletree - 95 tackles, 3 sacks and 2 ints
James Laurinaitis - 120 tackles, 2 sacks and 1 int
Janoris Jenkins - 4 ints
Defense - Top 10 unit
Offense - In the 14 to 18 range
Team - 8 to 10 wins

I'm expecting much more than 3800 yards. He threw for 3700 last year with inferior surroundings.


Depends how much we run it. The #10 team in the NFL last year in offensive YPG had 5799 yards. So that means if our HBs/Austin/whoever run for around 1800 yards...Sam throwing for 4000 would make us top 10 in YPG. I still have a hard time projecting that. It's possible though. My projections put us in the 14 to 17 range in YPG.

Fair enough. I will gladly take the 14-17 range.
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DistantRam


Joined: 10 Oct 2010
Posts: 406
Location: London, England
PostPosted: Wed May 08, 2013 11:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I expect the ball to go to Tavon on every play, either directly from the snap of via the conduit that is Bradford. Anything less then six points per snap would be deemed failure.
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The J.R.S.


Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 3812
Location: Next to Waldo
PostPosted: Wed May 08, 2013 12:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
These are my expectations:
Sam Bradford - 63%, 3800 passing yards, 27 TDs and 12 Ints
Pead/DR/Stacy - 1800 combined rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs
Tavon Austin - 1200+ yards from scrimmage and 9 total TDs
Chris Givens - 850 receiving yards and 5 TDs
Jared Cook - 900 receiving yards and 10 TDs
Chris Long - 12 sacks
Robert Quinn - 11 sacks
Alec Ogletree - 95 tackles, 3 sacks and 2 ints
James Laurinaitis - 120 tackles, 2 sacks and 1 int
Janoris Jenkins - 4 ints
Defense - Top 10 unit
Offense - In the 14 to 18 range
Team - 8 to 10 wins

I'm expecting much more than 3800 yards. He threw for 3700 last year with inferior surroundings.


Depends how much we run it. The #10 team in the NFL last year in offensive YPG had 5799 yards. So that means if our HBs/Austin/whoever run for around 1800 yards...Sam throwing for 4000 would make us top 10 in YPG. I still have a hard time projecting that. It's possible though. My projections put us in the 14 to 17 range in YPG.

Fair enough. I will gladly take the 14-17 range.


I don't see why the yards per game would even matter. We want improvement in points per game by our offense. If this team can average 20+ points per game from the offense then we will be competing for the playoffs. I'm hoping that Tavon Austin will gain enough return yards to negatively impact our offensive yards per game. Red zone offense is going to be the key.
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iRaMs


Joined: 05 May 2010
Posts: 4018
Location: Teletran 1
PostPosted: Wed May 08, 2013 4:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The J.R.S. wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
These are my expectations:
Sam Bradford - 63%, 3800 passing yards, 27 TDs and 12 Ints
Pead/DR/Stacy - 1800 combined rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs
Tavon Austin - 1200+ yards from scrimmage and 9 total TDs
Chris Givens - 850 receiving yards and 5 TDs
Jared Cook - 900 receiving yards and 10 TDs
Chris Long - 12 sacks
Robert Quinn - 11 sacks
Alec Ogletree - 95 tackles, 3 sacks and 2 ints
James Laurinaitis - 120 tackles, 2 sacks and 1 int
Janoris Jenkins - 4 ints
Defense - Top 10 unit
Offense - In the 14 to 18 range
Team - 8 to 10 wins

I'm expecting much more than 3800 yards. He threw for 3700 last year with inferior surroundings.


Depends how much we run it. The #10 team in the NFL last year in offensive YPG had 5799 yards. So that means if our HBs/Austin/whoever run for around 1800 yards...Sam throwing for 4000 would make us top 10 in YPG. I still have a hard time projecting that. It's possible though. My projections put us in the 14 to 17 range in YPG.

Fair enough. I will gladly take the 14-17 range.


I don't see why the yards per game would even matter. We want improvement in points per game by our offense. If this team can average 20+ points per game from the offense then we will be competing for the playoffs. I'm hoping that Tavon Austin will gain enough return yards to negatively impact our offensive yards per game. Red zone offense is going to be the key.


agree with the J.R.S about this. We can increase our YPG, but if our PPG do not improve then we haven't really fixed our offense.
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RamzFanz


Joined: 30 May 2013
Posts: 15
PostPosted: Wed Jun 05, 2013 3:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The J.R.S. wrote:

Those are all reasonable expectations, although the 1800 total yards rushing seemed low. Until I realized that there is still an allowance for Tavon's rushing yards. The only way that Tavon doesn't top 1200 total yards is if he can't pick up the playbook. I'm thinking:

Rushing-24 carries, 139 yards, 1 TD

Receiving-61 catches, 900 yards, 4 TD

Returning-787 yards, 1 TD

That's some pretty serious production for a rookie, perhaps overly optimistic.


Tavon will rush less than Bradford did last season? I suspect that's probably low.
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jrry32


Joined: 04 Jan 2011
Posts: 46558
PostPosted: Wed Jun 05, 2013 10:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

iRaMs wrote:
The J.R.S. wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
These are my expectations:
Sam Bradford - 63%, 3800 passing yards, 27 TDs and 12 Ints
Pead/DR/Stacy - 1800 combined rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs
Tavon Austin - 1200+ yards from scrimmage and 9 total TDs
Chris Givens - 850 receiving yards and 5 TDs
Jared Cook - 900 receiving yards and 10 TDs
Chris Long - 12 sacks
Robert Quinn - 11 sacks
Alec Ogletree - 95 tackles, 3 sacks and 2 ints
James Laurinaitis - 120 tackles, 2 sacks and 1 int
Janoris Jenkins - 4 ints
Defense - Top 10 unit
Offense - In the 14 to 18 range
Team - 8 to 10 wins

I'm expecting much more than 3800 yards. He threw for 3700 last year with inferior surroundings.


Depends how much we run it. The #10 team in the NFL last year in offensive YPG had 5799 yards. So that means if our HBs/Austin/whoever run for around 1800 yards...Sam throwing for 4000 would make us top 10 in YPG. I still have a hard time projecting that. It's possible though. My projections put us in the 14 to 17 range in YPG.

Fair enough. I will gladly take the 14-17 range.


I don't see why the yards per game would even matter. We want improvement in points per game by our offense. If this team can average 20+ points per game from the offense then we will be competing for the playoffs. I'm hoping that Tavon Austin will gain enough return yards to negatively impact our offensive yards per game. Red zone offense is going to be the key.


agree with the J.R.S about this. We can increase our YPG, but if our PPG do not improve then we haven't really fixed our offense.


I'd say the 37 projected TDs between Sam and our running game in my predictions would boost our PPG. Last year, we only managed 27 TDs.
_________________
The LBC wrote:
Harper41 wrote:
Don't worry. Sean Payton would pass the ball in a Tornado.

But would he do it in a Sharknado?
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The J.R.S.


Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 3812
Location: Next to Waldo
PostPosted: Wed Jun 05, 2013 10:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

RamzFanz wrote:
The J.R.S. wrote:

Those are all reasonable expectations, although the 1800 total yards rushing seemed low. Until I realized that there is still an allowance for Tavon's rushing yards. The only way that Tavon doesn't top 1200 total yards is if he can't pick up the playbook. I'm thinking:

Rushing-24 carries, 139 yards, 1 TD

Receiving-61 catches, 900 yards, 4 TD

Returning-787 yards, 1 TD

That's some pretty serious production for a rookie, perhaps overly optimistic.


Tavon will rush less than Bradford did last season? I suspect that's probably low.


Possibly, but Sam's runs are not designed, they're the result of broken plays. I don't think we will be handing the ball off to Tavon as often as some might expect.
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jrry32


Joined: 04 Jan 2011
Posts: 46558
PostPosted: Wed Jun 05, 2013 10:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yea, I don't expect Austin to have more than 25 to 40 carries...but we'll see.
_________________
The LBC wrote:
Harper41 wrote:
Don't worry. Sean Payton would pass the ball in a Tornado.

But would he do it in a Sharknado?
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Flounch


Joined: 12 Feb 2011
Posts: 152
PostPosted: Sat Jun 08, 2013 11:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harvin has like 18-22 carries except for the 2011 season which he had 55 carries......so i don't expect more than 20 carries for Austin....
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iRaMs


Joined: 05 May 2010
Posts: 4018
Location: Teletran 1
PostPosted: Sat Jun 08, 2013 3:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jrry32 wrote:
iRaMs wrote:
The J.R.S. wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
FRO wrote:
jrry32 wrote:
These are my expectations:
Sam Bradford - 63%, 3800 passing yards, 27 TDs and 12 Ints
Pead/DR/Stacy - 1800 combined rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs
Tavon Austin - 1200+ yards from scrimmage and 9 total TDs
Chris Givens - 850 receiving yards and 5 TDs
Jared Cook - 900 receiving yards and 10 TDs
Chris Long - 12 sacks
Robert Quinn - 11 sacks
Alec Ogletree - 95 tackles, 3 sacks and 2 ints
James Laurinaitis - 120 tackles, 2 sacks and 1 int
Janoris Jenkins - 4 ints
Defense - Top 10 unit
Offense - In the 14 to 18 range
Team - 8 to 10 wins

I'm expecting much more than 3800 yards. He threw for 3700 last year with inferior surroundings.


Depends how much we run it. The #10 team in the NFL last year in offensive YPG had 5799 yards. So that means if our HBs/Austin/whoever run for around 1800 yards...Sam throwing for 4000 would make us top 10 in YPG. I still have a hard time projecting that. It's possible though. My projections put us in the 14 to 17 range in YPG.

Fair enough. I will gladly take the 14-17 range.


I don't see why the yards per game would even matter. We want improvement in points per game by our offense. If this team can average 20+ points per game from the offense then we will be competing for the playoffs. I'm hoping that Tavon Austin will gain enough return yards to negatively impact our offensive yards per game. Red zone offense is going to be the key.


agree with the J.R.S about this. We can increase our YPG, but if our PPG do not improve then we haven't really fixed our offense.


I'd say the 37 projected TDs between Sam and our running game in my predictions would boost our PPG. Last year, we only managed 27 TDs.


I dont do math
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