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Lessons To Learn From 2012 Playoffs And What It Means For DC
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textaz03


Joined: 09 Nov 2004
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Location: Land of the Jersey Devil!
PostPosted: Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'll say about 78%. I think that TOP is a better indicator for win and loss. Controlling the clock and time management tend to pay huge dividends.
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Hawksrealm


Joined: 03 Nov 2009
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The_Slamman wrote:
Question 3

Without looking it up, for the 2012 playoffs, what % of teams that won the Time Of Possession battle ultimately won the game?


So we have no winner from week 2?
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The_Slamman


Joined: 07 Feb 2005
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hawksrealm wrote:
The_Slamman wrote:
Question 3

Without looking it up, for the 2012 playoffs, what % of teams that won the Time Of Possession battle ultimately won the game?


So we have no winner from week 2?


If by winner from week 2 you mean "question 2," then yes we do and I should have quoted the closest Response. TO7 almost nailed it spot on. He guessed 41% and the correct answer was 45%. I'll edit my post above to quote the closest answer.
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Texas_OutLaw7


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 22, 2013 11:06 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I will go with 63% chance of victory if you win the TOP.
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Hawksrealm


Joined: 03 Nov 2009
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 22, 2013 12:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Texas_OutLaw7 wrote:
I will go with 63% chance of victory if you win the TOP.


I agree with you, I might even agree with your reasoning, had you shared it Very Happy

I'll say 66% of the time, but I think the team with a running game wins more often. Teams without a running game drags this percentage down. Teams like the Cowboys and Saints, would go on long drives, eating up the clock.

Then turn the ball over inside the 10 to the other team. Games such as these drag this stat down.

I'd also like to add, I don't think TOP is as important as controlling the clock would be....say in the last 5 minutes of the game.
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The_Slamman


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sorry for not updating this sooner...

Question 3

Without looking it up, for the 2012 playoffs, what % of teams that won the Time Of Possession battle ultimately won the game?

Closest Answer

Texas_OutLaw7 wrote:
I will go with 63% chance of victory if you win the TOP.


Correct Answer

64%. 7 out of the 11 teams that won the time of possession battle, also won the game. Once again, TO7 got it closest Applause Applause Applause

Does it seem like an oxymoron to anyone that there is not a closer link to 3rd down efficiency and TOP??? I would seem to me, logically, that the team that converts more 3rd downs would also have the time of possession advantage. BUT, there are obviously other explanations as to why a team may have an advantage in TOP which will discuss later.
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The_Slamman


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This question is for my friend Hawksrealm...

Question 4

Without looking it up, this question goes to whether the team that wins the battle of the rushing game has a better chance of winning the game. So, what % of teams that won the battle of the rushing game ultimately won the game???
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Texas_OutLaw7


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Point of Information:

Are we talking about...
-Rushing Attemtps - 22%
-Rushing Yards - 41%
-Rushing Avg. - 47%

My guesses are attached.
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The_Slamman


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Texas_OutLaw7 wrote:
Point of Information:

Are we talking about...
-Rushing Attemtps
-Rushing Yards
-Rushing Avg.

?


I've calculate both rushing yards and YPC, but to simply everything, let's just stick the team that rushed for the most yards. For purposes of this question, the team that rushed for the most yards won the rushing battle.
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RatherBeHuntin'


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 2:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The_Slamman wrote:
This question is for my friend Hawksrealm...

Question 4

Without looking it up, this question goes to whether the team that wins the battle of the rushing game has a better chance of winning the game. So, what % of teams that won the battle of the rushing game ultimately won the game???


I'll guess 34%, as many of the playoff teams were pass heavy offenses. I can honestly only think of 2, maybe 3, playoff teams (obviously, without looking it up, as was stipulated) that were run first/primarily run oriented offenses.
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textaz03


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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 7:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I will go with 22% percent. It ha to be a low number with all the pass happy teams in the play offs this past season.
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Hawksrealm


Joined: 03 Nov 2009
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The_Slamman wrote:
This question is for my friend Hawksrealm...

Question 4

Without looking it up, this question goes to whether the team that wins the battle of the rushing game has a better chance of winning the game. So, what % of teams that won the battle of the rushing game ultimately won the game???


Friend haha

But you are a trickster, had you said teams that rush for 100 yrds or more, I had an answer quickly. But teams that just win the rushing numbers drops my answer somewhat.

47% is my guess

The team who is in the lead in the 4th quarter will rush the ball adding to their numbers. Which goes back to your other question, where I stated I think the team that controls the ball in the final minutes of a game will win. So if your team has rushed for over a hundred + Yds, I think the number can go as high as 72%
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PincheJimmy


Joined: 20 Jan 2008
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

htfryar wrote:
plan9misfit wrote:
htfryar wrote:
The average times a day that the DCRA complains about Jerry Jones?


Oh, come on! You're selling us way short if you think we only complain about him 45 times a day.


OK, how about the times a day y'all pray that McQuistan is brought back?


Number of times a day Plan reminds us he's ALWAYS right??
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The_Slamman


Joined: 07 Feb 2005
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Lets have a little fun with this one... The that wins the rushing battle either wins 82% of the time or loses 82% of the time. Which one?
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Hawksrealm


Joined: 03 Nov 2009
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 1:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The_Slamman wrote:
Lets have a little fun with this one... The that wins the rushing battle either wins 82% of the time or loses 82% of the time. Which one?


Teams that rush for over a Hundred + Yrds win 82% of the time

Winner Winner Chicken Dinner
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