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Jrry32 Full Mock Off-Season - 2/15/2013

 
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jrry32


Joined: 04 Jan 2011
Posts: 43797
PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 3:36 am    Post subject: Jrry32 Full Mock Off-Season - 2/15/2013 Reply with quote

I didn't fill out enough the other day because I was crunched for time so I figured I'd do a full mock. The salary cap info is based on a spreadsheet I did that I believe is very accurate. The free agent valuations are just guesstimates based on past market valuations. Here we go:
Cuts
Quintin Mikell SS - 3 million dollar savings
Harvey Dahl RG - 4 million dollar savings
Steven Jackson HB(well...voided is better term...on his part) - 7 million dollar savings
Wayne Hunter OT - 3.95 million dollar savings

RFAs
Tim Barnes C - 615,000 cap hit
Jermelle Cudjo DT - 1,323,000 cap hit

Re-signings
Danny Amendola WR - 4 years 20 million(6 million guaranteed) - 4 million cap hit
Robert Turner C/OG - 2 years 2 million - 1 million cap hit
Wayne Hunter OT - 1 year 840,000
Cap Space remaining: 13.7 million(but we need to save 7 for the draft)

Free Agency

Kenny Phillips FS/SS - Projected Contract: 5 years 27.5 million with 10 million guaranteed - 4 million cap hit


Brad Jones SLB - Projected Contract: 2 years 2 million - 1 million cap hit

Cap Space remaining: 8.7 million

FA Explanation: I believe Walton might give us an inside track on Phillips with him coaching Kenny in college. We need a safety and Phillips is a good one on the market that should have fair market value due to him having an injury issue during 2012. I think Kenny is better fit for this team because he offers more versatility than Delmas and better size. Plus I think he's a better all around safety. As for Brad Jones, he's a role player that can step in at Sam and be a solid thumper.

NFL Draft
Round 1 Pick #16 - Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma

Explanation: I think we're gonna have to take Lane if he's here. Johnson possesses all the attributes to be a dominant NFL OT. He only will fall this far because he's raw and needs to add bulk/functional strength. Originally recruited to OU as a TE/DE after playing QB some at JC, Johnson moved to OT in 2011 becoming the starting RT. In 2012, he shifted over to the starting LT. He has great foot speed and lateral agility, excellent balance, ideal length(6'6" with 35 inch arms), is a good drive blocker in the run game and plays with a real attitude. However, he is raw technically and needs to add weight to his 302 pound frame. But he does have a lot of growth potential. And while he's raw technically, he doesn't show any overwhelming bad signs in his technique...just needs experience and coaching. Overall, physically, he's a top 5 talent but he'll need coaching and development. He'll get that here and will have the luxury of starting his career on the Right side while he learns.

Round 1 Pick #22 - Johnthan Banks FS Mississippi State

Explanation: This one was probably a shocker to some of you out there but bear with me here. Some will be wondering...why not Vaccaro? The blunt truth is that I don't rate Vaccaro anywhere near as high as some others do and he's not my top ranked safety. I think that the guy misses a lot of tackles and takes a lot of bad angles for a supposed first round safety. So onto the next question...why Banks? It was simple to me. Walton and Cecil are both highly regarded DB Coaches and Walton has experience coaching guys making the CB to Safety transition. Banks started at safety during the second half of his freshman year before moving to Corner in his sophomore year. Banks offers the Rams great ball-skills and hands at safety with the speed and range to cover the deep part of the field, an extreme amount of experience in both zone and man to man coverage and the size and length to match-up with TEs at 6'1" with long arms. He'll need to add some bulk but Banks has monster upside at FS for us. Putting this guy back there to help out Janoris, Cortland and Trumaine almost seems unfair. His range, ball-skills and ability to read the QB will make testing our pass defense absolute hell on opposing QBs.

Round 2 Pick #16 - Larry Warford OG Kentucky

Explanation: And we're back to sensible picks. You'll find one of the themes of this mock is protecting our young QB. Warford is a mountain of a man that will move the guy in front of him and has the ability to anchor in and do battle with the stoutest of DTs. He has a strong punch and uses his hands well to battle the man he's up against. He'd provide a powerful and reliable presence on the our interior OL and immediately allow us to forget about Harvey Dahl. If Rok Watkins earns the LG spot, that would be one monster starting OG duo in terms of size and strength.

Round 3 Pick #16 - William Gholston DE/DT Michigan State

Explanation: Yep, I am at it again with a semi unexpected pick. With William Hayes departing in FA, the Rams replace him with a freak of an athlete in Gholston. Coming into the year, many expected Gholston to be a top 20 pick. He's 6'6" 280 with long arms and freakish burst/speed for his size. His movement skills and speed jump out on film. It's amazing just how fast he closes on the QB. What also jumps out is the guy has a major mean streak and a real motor, he definitely plays through the whistle and pushes the limits...which has been a detriment for him at times...needs to learn to control his temper better. But Gholston has Calais Campbell type upside on the DL. He has the size and strength to play DT with the speed and movement skills to play DE. He'd be the perfect 5th DL for our rotation. His technical side of the game needs a lot of work though as he pops right up off the snap leading him to play with a high pad level and his pass rush moves are very unrefined...he doesn't use his hands and long arms like he should. That said, I believe Coach Waufle is the perfect guy to teach him up and help him reach his potential. If he does, I don't know if Gholston will play DE for us or the 3-Technique but he'll be on the field somewhere because you don't come along many guys with his combination of length, size, strength and speed/movement skills.

Round 4 Pick #16 - Marcus Lattimore HB South Carolina

Explanation: Go big or go home. Lattimore was a top 20 talent coming into the year before the injury. From everything said since the end of the season, his rehab has been going well. The kid is an unselfish and very coachable player that will work extremely hard to be the best that he can be. Yes, you're taking a risk on the durability red flag but I think it's worth it. I believe DR and Pead can handle the load this year if need be. But Lattimore might be ready to go come the middle part of the season after being placed on the PUP list. Lattimore is a versatile back that can pass block, run block and catch the ball out of the backfield quite effectively. As a runner, he's great. That's really the best word to describe him. He's a bigger HB at 6'0" 230ish and breaks a lot of tackles but has the agility and movement skills of a much smaller HB. While he lacks the 2nd gear to breakaway, he has the burst to hit the hole and was a TD machine at South Carolina. He runs with real determination and is very hard to tackle on the second level. If he returns to form, you're getting a consistent 1000+ yard HB especially if he has a guy like DR or Pead to keep him fresh. Think a Matt Forte type HB.

Round 5 Pick #16 - Michael Williams TE Alabama

Explanation: I quite like Michael Williams. He's the definition of an under-appreciated player. If he was as good of a receiver as he was a blocker, he'd be a top 10 pick. The kid is an unreal blocker. He is like having a 6th OT out there. He has great technique as a run blocker and plays with leverage despite being 6'6" and really utilizes his large frame to engulf and seal DEs in the running game. If you're a LB against Williams, forget about it. As a pass blocker, he's similarly impressive. He's very effective at mirroring the rusher, utilizing a kick-slide, staying square and punching and counter-punching to keep the rusher at bay. He will make a major impact with his blocking ability alone. Perfect role player for a team like this. But that's not just it, he is actually a very solid receiving TE. He has strong hands and understands how to use his big body. He was a very effective red-zone weapon for Alabama this year. While he lacks foot-speed and change of direction ability that the great receiving TEs have, Williams has enough to be a threat especially if you don't pay him proper attention. While he's not a guy who will ever be special as a receiver, he's capable of contributing in that role. But the reason you're drafting this kid is because he will make a huge impact as a blocker. Perfect #2 TE for Schotty's offense.

Round 6 Pick #16 - TRADE
Explanation: Oakland trades it's 2 7th round picks for the Rams 6th...I opted to take this route because there were a few names that I wanted to sneak in the draft that I liked in the 7th

Round 7 Pick #3 - Martel Moore WR Northern Illinois

Explanation: Keep an eye on this kid, it really surprises me that he gets so little attention. He kind of reminds me of Victor Cruz in that he's a jack of all trades, master of none type at WR. Good RAC skills, good speed, good COD ability and explosion of breaks, good hands, great balance, etc. The kid really impressed me though this year. He made some huge catches for NIU, had a very productive year in an offense with a running QB and made some pretty amazing RAC plays and catches. I feel like he could come in and surprise a lot of people. Here's his 2012 highlight video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XooGhNzGJSo

Round 7 Pick #13 - Earl Watford OG James Madison

Explanation: Watford is an athletic LG with good technique. He needs to add some bulk at 6'4" 300 but I feel like he'd be a great kid for Boudreau to work with. He'd challenge Rok Watkins for the LG job and I think he could possibly have some potential as a developmental Center. I feel like this is a good place to grab a small school kid with a lot of upside like Watford...seems like you can find OGs in the later rounds if you know what to look for.

Round 7 Pick #16 - Justin Tuggle OLB Kansas State

Explanation: It seems like every year, the Rams make an out of left-field pick in the 7th round that all leaves us wondering who in the hell they just took. This is my attempt at doing the same. Justin Tuggle is the son of Pro Bowl LB Jesse Tuggle. Justin originally went to Boston College as a QB then transferred to Blinn JC where he played QB and then went to Kansas State where he played QB in 2011. Finally, in 2012, Justin moved over to LB. While he didn't start this year, he carved out a role for himself as a situational player. However, in reviewing what was out there on Tuggle, I was very impressed by the kid. He has a lot of development left to do at LB but that's understandable. However, the kid is 6'3" 240ish with freakish athleticism. Appears to me to have 4.5 speed along with impressive strength for his size and great agility. His movement skills just made me want to find somewhere to include him. He's going to need a lot of development but why not take a shot on a kid like this in the 7th? He has great blood-lines, obviously has football IQ(being a former QB) and has athleticism that just stands out on the field. I mean, I saw this kid running down HBs/WRs from the other side of the field and bullrushing OTs backwards in the same game. He can move. If we can teach him how to play LB and he has the instincts necessary...which is a big if...you could potentially have a big steal on your hands.

Projected Starting Line-up:
QB: Sam Bradford
HB: Daryl Richardson
FB: Lance Kendricks
WR1: Chris Givens
WR2: Brian Quick vs. Titus Young
WR3: Danny Amendola
TE: Michael Williams
LT: Rodger Saffold
LG: Rob Turner vs. Rok Watkins vs. Earl Watford vs. Shelley Smith
C: Scott Wells
RG: Larry Warford
RT: Lane Johnson

LDE: Chris Long
LDT: Kendall Langford
RDT: Michael Brockers
RDE: Robert Quinn
WLB: Jo-Lonn Dunbar
MLB: James Laurinaitis
SLB: Brad Jones
CB1: Cortland Finnegan
CB2: Janoris Jenkins
CB3: Trumaine Johnson
FS: Johnthan Banks
SS: Kenny Phillips

Anyways, that's it. I don't know how much you guys will like this one because it's very different from what I normally do. I didn't draft a WR high which is rare but I figured with the Titus Young addition and us repairing the OL that it might not be necessary. I also took some risks on guys like Banks, Gholston and Lattimore. But I figured it would be an interesting take nonetheless.
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Flatlyner


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 4:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I really actually like the mock, dependent on your evaluation of Banks as a FS, which I hadn't even given consideration to.

Though, I must say, I would not feel terribly confident in our WR core not adding anything in free agency and a late round flyer. Yes, Sam will be more protected, but he needs some more playmakers on offense.
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jrry32


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 4:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Flatlyner wrote:
I really actually like the mock, dependent on your evaluation of Banks as a FS, which I hadn't even given consideration to.

Though, I must say, I would not feel terribly confident in our WR core not adding anything in free agency and a late round flyer. Yes, Sam will be more protected, but he needs some more playmakers on offense.


I feel the same way to an extent. I felt it was worth taking a look at a scenario where we didn't do much with the WR corp. But I'm definitely nervous about it. Quick would have to step up big time.

And I'm very high on Banks at FS. He'll stick at CB in the NFL but I feel like if a team wanted him to be, he could be one hell of a FS.
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The LBC wrote:
Harper41 wrote:
Don't worry. Sean Payton would pass the ball in a Tornado.

But would he do it in a Sharknado?
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TDerick94


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 9:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I like your idea for Banks as FS but if Jeff would switch a CB to FS I think he would have tried Trumaine last year.I think Danny will leave and we resign Hayes,also i would prefer Jasper Collins(Mount Union) instead of Martel Moore at Round 7 if he is there.But I like this Mock a lot.
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StLunatic88


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 11:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Looking at it, its starting to look like we are going to need to cut all expendable Contracts (i.e. Mikell, Dahl, Hunter, etc...) But Im not sure why you are so gung-ho about bringing Huter back, or why he would want to come back here.

He has shown that he is still a decent LT, and some team is likely going to tell him he has a shot to be their starter. And pay him probably a few Million this year for that chance. Dont think he is back here.

Your evaluation of our cap space seems to be off from the most recent reports (that we are almost $4Million over the cap) And after your re-signings we are already going to be under $10mil, with less than $5m going into the draft, with 2 first round picks to sign (about $3mil for this year alone)

I like the draft, but I dont think either of your 1st round picks will be there for even our #16 pick. With the need for LTs Lane is getting pushed higher and higher, especially if Arizona goes OT over a QB with their First. Im not sure Johnson makes it past the Saints in front of us because they are likely to loose Bushrod.

I am intrigued by the idea of Banks as a Free Safety, but I think plenty of teams see him as a CB and a pretty darn good one. Another guy who I think could be pushed up into the Top 15 due to the lack of top end CBs this year other than Milliner and Banks.
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Hoj398


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 2:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

according to rotoworld. Quinten Mikell is due 6 million and counts 9 million against the cap.

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/contracts/nfl/stl/
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DEE RAWL


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 3:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Some interesting ideas... I love where your head is at especially with Banks, Warford and Gholston. I still am not crazy about Johnson at 16 despite the fact that I like him as a prospect.

I would have liked to see something better in the WR dept, but im not gunna get crazy about it as it would force bigger roles onto guys like Quick and Pettis Wink

Overall i like it.
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StLunatic88


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 3:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hoj398 wrote:
according to rotoworld. Quinten Mikell is due 6 million and counts 9 million against the cap.

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/contracts/nfl/stl/
Mikell has a $6mil base salary. He is due $3m in a few different Bonuses this year with the same thing Next year but his Base Salary bumps to $7m.

Its still not clear how his contract is structured, but from as far as we can tell those Miscellaneous bonuses are being spread out from an $8m option bonus from 2011. some say either got all the Money in 2011 & the Cap his has been spread out or the opposite, it all hit in 2011 and the payments are spread out.

One would save us $7m this year, the other only $3m. Either way he is a major possibility to be cut
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FRO


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 6:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I liked your other one better. I like Lane Johnson at 16. He arguably has the highest upside of any LT in this draft. Gifted athlete shut down top talent. Another thing that may push him to us is free agent tackles on the market, Bushrod and Long are expected to hit the open market and Albert may as well. If all 3 hit the market there is a chance Arizona or San Diego snatches one of them up.
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jrry32


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 15, 2013 7:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

StLunatic88 wrote:
Looking at it, its starting to look like we are going to need to cut all expendable Contracts (i.e. Mikell, Dahl, Hunter, etc...) But Im not sure why you are so gung-ho about bringing Huter back, or why he would want to come back here.

He has shown that he is still a decent LT, and some team is likely going to tell him he has a shot to be their starter. And pay him probably a few Million this year for that chance. Dont think he is back here.

Your evaluation of our cap space seems to be off from the most recent reports (that we are almost $4Million over the cap) And after your re-signings we are already going to be under $10mil, with less than $5m going into the draft, with 2 first round picks to sign (about $3mil for this year alone)

I like the draft, but I dont think either of your 1st round picks will be there for even our #16 pick. With the need for LTs Lane is getting pushed higher and higher, especially if Arizona goes OT over a QB with their First. Im not sure Johnson makes it past the Saints in front of us because they are likely to loose Bushrod.

I am intrigued by the idea of Banks as a Free Safety, but I think plenty of teams see him as a CB and a pretty darn good one. Another guy who I think could be pushed up into the Top 15 due to the lack of top end CBs this year other than Milliner and Banks.


On Hunter, I don't care if it's him or someone else. Just a swing tackle. He's just an easier target.

I trust my numbers more than the other sources out there. I compiled them and put them together. I also used the rule of 51 as well.

StLunatic88 wrote:
Hoj398 wrote:
according to rotoworld. Quinten Mikell is due 6 million and counts 9 million against the cap.

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/contracts/nfl/stl/
Mikell has a $6mil base salary. He is due $3m in a few different Bonuses this year with the same thing Next year but his Base Salary bumps to $7m.

Its still not clear how his contract is structured, but from as far as we can tell those Miscellaneous bonuses are being spread out from an $8m option bonus from 2011. some say either got all the Money in 2011 & the Cap his has been spread out or the opposite, it all hit in 2011 and the payments are spread out.

One would save us $7m this year, the other only $3m. Either way he is a major possibility to be cut


It was cleared up. The option bonus was prorated which means cutting him accelerates it. So we only save 3 million in 2012 but 10 million in 2013 if we cut him this year.
_________________

The LBC wrote:
Harper41 wrote:
Don't worry. Sean Payton would pass the ball in a Tornado.

But would he do it in a Sharknado?
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