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NFL Draft Order, Picks, and Value

 
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Black Dolphins


Joined: 09 Apr 2006
Posts: 194
PostPosted: Sun Feb 03, 2013 1:11 pm    Post subject: NFL Draft Order, Picks, and Value Reply with quote

With the Super Bowl hours away, this football season is coming to a close, and we can begin looking forward to the offseason. The biggest and most important part of the offseason is the draft, where teams’ decisions can make or break the future of the franchise for years to come. The draft is especially important for the Dolphins this year, as we are loaded with picks and need to fill a lot of holes to improve our roster.

In order to get a better and clearer picture of how the draft may play out and who holds more power on draft weekend, I thought it would be interesting to note how many draft picks each team has, as well as the actual number of and the value associated with each draft choice.

The following is an alphabetical list of every team, with their total number of picks, the round and pick number of that round, the actual number of each pick, and the value associated with it, along with a total number of points.

If you scroll down towards the bottom, I made a list of the actual draft order, as well as the draft order based on total number of draft choice value points in order to see the difference of how having more or certain picks can greatly affect a team’s position on draft weekend, and which teams have more control and power in order to make a greater impact for the future.

While this will change slightly after compensatory picks are awarded and previous undetermined trades are realized, this should provide a very clear idea of how the draft is shaping up and where each team stands.

The value assigned to each pick was taken from the standard value chart:
http://www.draftcountdown.com/features/Value-Chart.php

A Few Quick Notes:
- I’m assuming that San Francisco will win the Super Bowl; if Baltimore wins, switch their picks with San Francisco’s; their point differentials should not be affected much

- Compensatory picks have not been given out yet, and probably won’t be until late March; 32 will be awarded to various teams. The picks can’t be traded, but they will slightly impact the actual pick numbers after the 3rd round; any picks before round 4 will stay the same; most compensatory picks will be later rounds (6 and 7), so the place numbers of picks in these rounds will be affected the most, but the point difference will be relatively minor; the compensatory choices will provide more flexibility to teams who are awarded them, which could affect who is more likely to make deals on draft weekend

- Some trades are still unclear. I made a small section, titled “Undetermined”, after the Washington Redskins total points. Once these are made clear, certain teams will gain or lose picks, which will change the total value slightly.

- Scroll towards bottom to see the actual draft order, and the total number of points order, as well as some other information
Arizona:
8: 1.7, 2.6, 3.7, 4.6, 5.7, 6.6, 6.8 (from TEN), 6.21 (from MIN)
7- 1500
38- 520
69- 245
100- 100
133- 39.5
164- 25.8
166- 25
179- 29.8
Total: 2475.1
Atlanta:
7: 1.30, 2.28, 3.30, 4.30, 5.30, 6.30, 7.30
30- 620
60- 300
92- 132
124- 48
156- 29
188- 16.2
220- 3.4
Total: 1148.6
Baltimore:
7: 1.31, 2.29, 3.31, 4.31, 5.31, 6.31, 7.31
31- 600
61- 292
93- 128
125- 47
157- 28.6
189- 15.8
221- 3
Total: 1114.4
Buffalo:
6: 1.8, 2.9, 3.9, 4.8, 5.10, 6.9
8- 1400
41- 490
71- 235
102- 92
136- 38
167- 24.6
Total: 2279.6
Carolina:
5: 1.14, 2.12, 4.11, 5.15, 6.14
14- 1100
44- 460
105- 84
141- 35.5
172- 22.6
Total: 1702.1
Chicago:
5: 1.20, 2.18, 4.20, 5.20, 6.20
20- 850
50- 400
114- 66
146- 33
178- 20.2
Total: 1369.2
Cincinnati:
8: 1.21, 2.5 (from OAK), 2.21, 3.22, 4.21, 5.23, 6.22, 6.29 (from NE)
21- 800
37- 530
53- 370
84- 170
115- 64
149- 31.8
180- 19.4
187- 16.6
Total: 2001.8
Cleveland:
6: 1.6, 3.6, 4.7, 5.6, 6.7, 7.6
6- 1600
70- 240
101- 96
132- 40
165- 25.4
196- 13
Total: 2014.4
Dallas:
6: 1.18, 2.15, 3.18, 4.17, 5.18, 6.17
18- 900
47- 430
82- 180
111- 72
144- 34
175- 21.4
Total: 1637.4
Denver:
7: 1.28, 2.26, 3.28, 4.28, 5.28, 6.28, 7.28
28- 660
58- 320
92- 132
122- 50
154- 29.8
186- 17
218- 4.2
Total: 1213
Detroit:
6: 1.5, 2.4, 3.3, 5.4, 6.3, 7.5
5- 1700
36- 540
65- 265
130- 42
161- 27
195- 13.4
Total: 2587.4
Green Bay:
7: 1.26, 2.23, 3.26, 4.25, 5.26, 6.25, 7.26
26- 700
55- 350
88- 150
119- 56
152- 30.6
183- 18.2
216- 5
Total: 1309.8
Houston:
7: 1.27, 2.25, 3.27, 4.27, 5.27, 6.27, 7.27
27- 680
57- 330
89- 145
121- 52
153- 30.2
185- 17.4
217- 4.6
Total: 1259.2
Indianapolis:
4: 1.24, 3.24, 4.24, 6.24
24- 740
86- 160
118- 58
182- 18.6
Total: 976.6
Jacksonville:
7: 1.2, 2.1, 3.2, 4.1, 5.2, 6.1, 7.2
2- 2600
33- 580
64- 270
95- 120
128- 44
159- 27.8
192- 14.6
Total: 3656.4
Kansas City:
7: 1.1, 2.2, 3.1, 4.2, 5.1, 6.2, 7.1
1- 3000
34- 560
63- 276
96- 116
127- 45
160- 27.4
191- 15
Total: 4039.4
Miami:
9: 1.12, 2.10, 2.22 (from IND), 3.15, 3.20 (from CHI), 4.14, 5.13, 7.11, 7.18 (from DAL)
12- 1200
42- 480
54- 360
77- 205
82- 180
108- 78
139- 36.5
201- 11
208- 8.2
Total: 2558.7
Minnesota:
8: 1.23, 2.20, 3.21, 4.5 (from DET), 4.23, 5.22, 7.7 (from ARI) 7.23
23- 760
52- 380
83- 175
99- 104
117- 60
148- 32.2
197- 12.6
213- 6.2
Total: 1530
New England:
5: 1.29, 2.27, 3.29, 7.12 (from TB), 7.29
29- 640
59- 310
91- 136
202- 10.6
219- 3.8
Total: 1100.4
New Orleans:
6: 1.15, 3.13, 4.12, 5.11, 6.15, 7.14
15- 1050
75- 215
106- 82
137- 37.5
173- 22.2
204- 9.8
Total: 1416.5
New York Giants:
7: 1.19, 2.17, 3.19, 4.19, 5.19, 6.19, 7.19
19- 875
49- 410
81- 185
113- 68
145- 33.5
177- 20.6
209- 7.8
Total: 1599.9
New York Jets:
7: 1.9, 2.7, 3.10, 4.9, 5.8, 6.10, 7.9
9- 1350
39- 510
72- 230
103- 88
134- 39
168- 24.2
199- 11.8
Total: 2253
Oakland:
7: 1.3, 3.4, 4.3, 5.5, 6.4, 7.3, 7.13 (from CAR)
3- 2200
66- 260
97- 112
131- 41
162- 26.6
193- 14.2
203- 10.2
Total: 2664
Philadelphia:
8: 1.4, 2.3, 3.5, 4.4, 5.3, 6.5, 7.4, 7.24 (from IND)
4- 1800
35- 550
67- 255
98- 108
129- 43
163- 26.2
194- 13.8
214- 5.8
Total: 2801.8
Pittsburgh:
7: 1.17, 2.16, 3.17, 4.18, 5.17, 6.18, 7.17
17- 950
48- 420
79- 195
112- 70
143- 34.5
176- 21
207- 8.6
Total: 1699.1
San Diego:
7: 1.11, 2.13, 3.14, 4.13, 5.12, 6.11, 7.15
11- 1250
45- 450
76- 210
107- 80
138- 37
169- 23.8
205- 9.4
Total: 2060.2
Seattle:
8: 1.25, 2.24, 3.25, 4.26, 5.25, 6.26, 7.8 (from BUF), 7.25
25- 720
56- 340
87- 155
120- 54
151- 31
184- 17.8
198- 12.2
215- 5.4
Total: 1335.4
San Francisco:
11: 1.32, 2.30, 3.12 (from CAR), 3.32, 4.32, 5.24 (from IND), 5.32, 6.12 (from MIA), 6.32, 7.21 (from CIN), 7.32
32- 590
62- 284
74- 220
94- 124
126- 46
150- 31.4
158- 28.2
170- 23.4
190- 15.4
211- 7
222- 2.6
Total: 1372
St. Louis:
8: 1.16, 1.22 (from WAS), 2.14, 3.16, 4.16, 5.16, 6.16, 7.16
16- 1000
22- 780
46- 440
78- 200
110- 74
142- 35
174- 21.8
206- 9
Total: 2559.8
Tampa Bay:
8: 1.13, 2.11, 3.11, 4.15, 4.29 (from NE), 5.14, 6.13, 7.20 (from CHI)
13- 1150
43- 470
75- 215
111- 72
125- 47
140- 36
171- 23
210- 7.4
Total: 2020.4
Tennessee:
6: 1.10, 2.8, 3.8, 4.10, 5.9, 7.10
10- 1300
40- 500
70- 240
104- 86
135- 38.5
200- 11.4
Total: 2175.9
Washington:
7: 2.19, 3.23, 4.22, 5.21, 5.29 (from NE), 6.23, 7.22
51- 390
85- 165
116- 62
147- 32.6
155- 29.4
181- 19
212- 6.6
Total: 704.6

Undetermined:
Denver to Philadelphia
New Orleans to Seattle
Oakland to Seattle
Philadelphia to Cleveland
Seattle to Tampa Bay

Draft Order, Total Pts, Rank with Pts
1. Kansas City- 4039.4 (1)
2. Jacksonville- 3656.4 (2)
3. Oakland- 2664 (4)
4. Philadelphia- 2801.8 (3)
5. Detroit- 2587.4 (5)
6. Cleveland- 2014.4 (14)
7. Arizona- 2475.1 (8)
8. Buffalo- 2279.6 (9)
9. New York Jets- 2253 (10)
10. Tennessee- 2175.9 (11)
11. San Diego- 2060.2 (12)
12. Miami- 2558.7 (7)
13. Tampa Bay- 2020.4 (13)
14. Carolina- 1702.1 (16)
15. New Orleans- 1416.5 (21)
16. St. Louis- 2559.8 (6)
17. Pittsburgh- 1699.1 (17)
18. Dallas- 1637.4 (18)
19. New York Giants- 1599.9 (19)
20. Chicago- 1369.2 (23)
21. Cincinnati- 2001.8 (15)
22. Washington- 704.6 (32)
23. Minnesota- 1530 (20)
24. Indianapolis- 976.6 (31)
25. Seattle- 1335.4 (24)
26. Green Bay- 1309.8 (25)
27. Houston- 1259.2 (26)
28. Denver- 1213 (27)
29. New England- 1100.4 (30)
30. Atlanta- 1148.6 (28)
31. Baltimore- 1114.4 (29)
32. San Francisco- 1372 (22)

Draft Order by Pts, Total Pts, Position Change
1. Kansas City- 4039.4 (-)
2. Jacksonville- 3656.4 (-)
3. Philadelphia- 2801.8 (+1)
4. Oakland- 2664 (-1)
5. Detroit- 2587.4 (-)
6. St. Louis- 2559.8 (+10)
7. Miami- 2558.7 (+5)
8. Arizona- 2475.1 (-1)
9. Buffalo- 2279.6 (-1)
10. New York Jets- 2253 (-1)
11. Tennessee- 2175.9 (-1)
12. San Diego- 2060.2 (-1)
13. Tampa Bay- 2020.4 (-)
14. Cleveland- 2014.4 (-8)
15. Cincinnati- 2001.8 (+6)
16. Carolina- 1702.1 (-2)
17. Pittsburgh- 1669.1 (-)
18. Dallas- 1637.4 (-)
19. New York Giants- 1559.9 (-)
20. Minnesota- 1530 (+3)
21. New Orleans- 1416.5 (-6)
22. San Francisco- 1372 (+10)
23. Chicago- 1369.2 (-3)
24. Seattle- 1335.4 (+1)
25. Green Bay- 1309.8 (+1)
26. Houston- 1259.2 (+1)
27. Denver- 1213 (+1)
28. Atlanta- 1148.6 (+2)
29. Baltimore- 1114.4 (+2)
30. New England- 1110.4 (-1)
31. Indianapolis- 976.6 (-7)
32. Washington- 704.6 (-10)


Up:
St. Louis (+10)- The trade with Washington last year continues to provide St. Louis with plenty of ammunition this year, allowing them to be one of the most loaded teams on draft weekend. With two first round picks providing plenty of point value, the Rams will be able to do just about anything they want in April.
Miami (+5)- Miami is another team loaded with picks, with an extra second and third, providing a lot of flexibility. While the trades to get the extra picks are questionable, especially the Marshall trade, Miami can make a big impact on their future through this draft.
Cincinnati (+6)- The Carson Palmer trade continues to benefit Cincinnati. The second round pick from Oakland is at the top of the round, providing Cincinnati a lot of value and options to improve their playoff roster.
Minnesota (+3)- Minnesota moving up 3 spots shows the value of holding on to your draft picks, with the high fourth rounder from Detroit helping as well. They have more points than a lot of other teams around them, and can continue to improve a roster that made the playoffs.
San Francisco (+10)- Arguably the most talented roster in the NFL is loaded on draft weekend, with the most picks of any team with 11. They have jumped several playoff teams in point value, and have a ton of flexibility on draft weekend.

Down:
Cleveland (-8)- Not having their second rounder caused Cleveland to drop several spots, but at least it was used in the Supplemental Draft to take Josh Gordon, who looked good during his rookie season.
New Orleans (-6)- New Orleans continues to get screwed, having to forfeit its second rounder from the bounty scandal.
Chicago (-3)- The loss of the third rounder drops Chicago three spots, but at least they got one of the top NFL WRs for it.
Indianapolis (-7)- Indy has the fewest selections with four, including the loss of a second rounder, dropping them down several spots in pick value.
Washington (-10)- Washington is last in point value, having traded their first rounder this year in the Griffin trade, but it looks like it was worth it as long as he can stay healthy.

Teams that could be Active on Draft Day (looking to make trades):
San Francisco- Their roster is already loaded with talent. There’s no way 11 rookies are going to make the team. I expect San Francisco to be very active; they can be extremely aggressive, moving up to get the players they want, or trading some of their picks for future picks.
Indianapolis- With only four picks and still several needs, I expect Indy to be active on draft day. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them trade back from their first rounder to acquire more picks, possibly to a team with a high second round pick looking for a quarterback.
Oakland- I think it makes a ton of sense for Oakland to actively pursue moving down from the third overall pick in order to make up for their lack of a second rounder. Oakland has several needs, and moving down to acquire more picks would be a good play; the question is, does anyone want to move up?
Miami- I expect Miami to make a couple of moves during draft weekend, especially on the first two days. Jeff Ireland has made at least one trade during both his years as the top decision maker, and with five picks in the first 82 spots, Miami can do almost anything they want to get the players they desire.
St. Louis- The only team with two first round picks, St. Louis can also do almost anything they want on draft weekend. Jeff Fisher was active in moving around last year, and has the ability to do it again this year.
New England- New England is typically very active throughout the draft, and with no picks in the 4th, 5th, or 6th rounds, New England may look to move down with one of their earlier picks in order to acquire more picks on day three.
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WaterBear56


Joined: 26 Jul 2010
Posts: 3108
PostPosted: Sun Feb 03, 2013 1:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have a feeling we will trade down and then trade up so we end up with two late 1st round picks.

Fantastic post by the way.
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freak_of_nature


Joined: 15 Oct 2012
Posts: 297
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 03, 2013 6:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Is there anyone else besides me that doesn't give a spit about the pick value chart?
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Dolphin Dave


Joined: 28 Mar 2007
Posts: 2294
Location: Ft. Myers, Florida
PostPosted: Mon Feb 04, 2013 12:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I can see Miami looking to trade down in the 1st. Looks like Cinci @21 and their lower 2nd would be a good fit points wise.
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Dolphin Dave


Joined: 28 Mar 2007
Posts: 2294
Location: Ft. Myers, Florida
PostPosted: Mon Feb 04, 2013 12:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

freak_of_nature wrote:
Is there anyone else besides me that doesn't give a spit about the pick value chart?


If anything, it has become relevant again with the rookie salary cap.
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frankmoore wrote:
The hero doesn't always ride off into the sunset with the girl, sometimes he ends up on the wrong end of the lightsaber.
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ViolentMonk71


Joined: 06 May 2005
Posts: 3724
Location: Don Shula's front porch
PostPosted: Mon Feb 04, 2013 12:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dolphin Dave wrote:
freak_of_nature wrote:
Is there anyone else besides me that doesn't give a spit about the pick value chart?


If anything, it has become relevant again with the rookie salary cap.


There were more trades last year then I ever remember so like Dolphin Dave said....its relevant again.
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freak_of_nature


Joined: 15 Oct 2012
Posts: 297
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 04, 2013 1:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ViolentMonk71 wrote:
Dolphin Dave wrote:
freak_of_nature wrote:
Is there anyone else besides me that doesn't give a spit about the pick value chart?


If anything, it has become relevant again with the rookie salary cap.


There were more trades last year then I ever remember so like Dolphin Dave said....its relevant again.


It's arbitrary.
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ViolentMonk71


Joined: 06 May 2005
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 04, 2013 2:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

freak_of_nature wrote:
ViolentMonk71 wrote:
Dolphin Dave wrote:
freak_of_nature wrote:
Is there anyone else besides me that doesn't give a spit about the pick value chart?


If anything, it has become relevant again with the rookie salary cap.


There were more trades last year then I ever remember so like Dolphin Dave said....its relevant again.


It's arbitrary.


Well, most teams still use it and considering that with the new CBA draft trading is more in play then ever. The fact that the draft and its player are analyzed in order to find the best value and players for its team make it more then arbitrary.
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Dolphinemidget


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 05, 2013 9:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks for posting
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