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ChicagoAl


Joined: 10 Jan 2008
Posts: 8018
PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2012 8:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Superman(DH23) wrote:
WindyCity wrote:
Superman(DH23) wrote:
WindyCity wrote:
Superman(DH23) wrote:
AZBearsFan wrote:
WindyCity wrote:
Ballennonstop wrote:
Gotcha windy that makes sense. Essentially we need 2 W's and 2 Loss's (Giants and Vikings)


Yes. The Vikings have the Packers and Texans so they are done.

We need to win out and for the Giants to lose this week in Baltimore.

Now if we lose we are screwed because then we need everyone mentioned to lose and we bring the Cowboys back into the picture if they win.

Who is reporting we are in 8th? Everything I have seen says we're in 7th, behind SEA and MIN in the WC chase. I don't see how the Giants can all of a sudden jump us if we win our last two, both of which are NFC games.

Redskins and Cowboys both can't win out as they meet in week 17. So that takes that divisional tiebreaker scenario off the table. Here are the scenarios that will get the Bears into the playoffs

Bears win out, Vikings lose, Giants lose
Bears win out, Giants win out, Vikings lose, Redskins lose to Eagles but beat Cowboys
Bears win out, Giants win out, Vikings lose, Cowboys lose to Saints but beat Redskins

Thats from playing w/ the playoff machine for a while.


So we need to win out and get some help with other NFC losses.
If both the Giants and Vikings lose either of their last 2 games the Bears are in, doesn't matter whether its NFC or AFC. If the Giants win the division and Minnesota loses we're in. That's the short version. If the Giants win out but lose the division they hold the wildcard tiebreaker over us.

Of course that is only taking those teams into account. The Seahawks have 2 tough games to finish out the year as well hosting the 9ers and Rams. If Bears, Giants, Seahawks, Redskins/Cowboys all finish 10-6 the Bears and Giants by virtue of conference record get in as the wildcards.

It's more likely than unlikely at this point that the Bears make the playoffs at 10-6.


Don't the Seahawks get in at 10-6 because they beat us?
Nope, if everybody has a 10-6 record head to head cant be used. It's weird but its the way it is according to the playoff machine.
It is possible for the Seahawks to win their division knocking SF down to a wild card and knocking someone out, like us or the Giants. SF has to play them there, too.

I'm looking at final records of:
Bears 8-8
Seahawks 10-6
Cowboys 8-8
Giants 10-6
Redskins 10-6
Vikes 8-8

So Giants and Seahawks would be the WCs. Crying or Very sad
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