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49ers Road to the 2012 Playoffs (Week 16 Update)
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y2lamanaki


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 5:54 pm    Post subject: 49ers Road to the 2012 Playoffs (Week 16 Update) Reply with quote

49ers have clinched a playoff spot!


BEST REMAINING POSSIBILITY: Home Field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

BEST POSSIBILITY IN WEEK 16: Clinch First Round Bye



49ers Clinch Division in Week 16 if:

49ers win




Clinch division:

-1 49ers win

or

-1 Seahawks loss



Clinch 1st round bye:

-2 49ers wins

-1 49ers wins + 1 Packers loss or tie

-0 49ers win + 2 Packers losses (or 1 Packers loss + 1 Packers tie) + 1 Seahawks loss or tie



Home field advantage throughout playoffs:

-2 49ers wins + 2 Falcons losses
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Last edited by y2lamanaki on Mon Dec 17, 2012 1:19 am; edited 6 times in total
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xXFlyteXx


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 5:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My head just Exploded..... Brick wall closest emotion to my head exploding ....
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y2lamanaki


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 6:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Teams to cheer for in Week 14 if cheering just for playoff birth:

Dolphins at 49ers (this should go without saying)
Cowboys at Bengals
Chicago at Minnesota
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Baltimore at Washington
St. Louis at Buffalo
Arizona at Seattle


Teams to cheer for in Week 14 if hoping for Homefield advantage or first round bye:

Dolphins at 49ers (this should go without saying)
Cowboys at Bengals
Chicago at Minnesota
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Baltimore at Washington
Atlanta at Carolina
St. Louis at Buffalo
Arizona at Seattle
New Orleans at New York Giants
Detroit at Green Bay
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y2lamanaki


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 6:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

xXFlyteXx wrote:
My head just Exploded..... Brick wall closest emotion to my head exploding ....


My second post should make it better Laughing
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SoCalNiner


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 6:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nice job, love seeing all the scenarios. Unfortunately, I highly doubt the Eagles will do much to help us clinch this.
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SoCalNiner


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 6:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

For those of you who want to play around with the playoff machine:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine
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steadypimpin


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 9:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SoCalNiner wrote:
Nice job, love seeing all the scenarios. Unfortunately, I highly doubt the Eagles will do much to help us clinch this.
That's what I was thinking. The other teams should probably win. I'll be an Eagles fan this week.
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NinerNation21


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Something to keep an eye on.

http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcwest/post/_/id/84008/49ers-seahawks-could-have-flex-appeal
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iwentundrafted


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 3:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NinerNation21 wrote:
Something to keep an eye on.

http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcwest/post/_/id/84008/49ers-seahawks-could-have-flex-appeal


I dont want that at all. Its tough enough to win in Seattle. But winning in Seattle on a primetime stage would have that crowed and hawks team sooooo pumped.
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steadypimpin


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 5:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

iwentundrafted wrote:
NinerNation21 wrote:
Something to keep an eye on.

http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcwest/post/_/id/84008/49ers-seahawks-could-have-flex-appeal


I dont want that at all. Its tough enough to win in Seattle. But winning in Seattle on a primetime stage would have that crowed and hawks team sooooo pumped.
Yeah I never thought of it like that. That would be a battle.
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49ersfan


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 5:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NinerNation21 wrote:
Something to keep an eye on.

http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcwest/post/_/id/84008/49ers-seahawks-could-have-flex-appeal


If Giants/Ravens and Bengals/Steelers are protected, the only other game with national appeal would be Saints/Cowboys. Maybe Bucs/Rams if its a playoff game, but its not win or in so i doubt that game will have a lot of appeal.

In the end i think it'll be 49ers/Seahawks. A team can have a max of 6 primetime games if one of them is a Thursday game, so we haven't reached our max, and our week 17 matchup against the Cardinals won't be a premium matchup.

I expect us to beat Miami and NE, and i think SEA will beat ARI and BUF. A 10-3-1 team vs a 9-5 team for the potential division title would be a huge matchup. Add in a division rivalry, Harbaugh vs Carroll, etc, its a no brainer IMO.
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steadypimpin


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 6:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

49ersfan wrote:
NinerNation21 wrote:
Something to keep an eye on.

http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcwest/post/_/id/84008/49ers-seahawks-could-have-flex-appeal


If Giants/Ravens and Bengals/Steelers are protected, the only other game with national appeal would be Saints/Cowboys. Maybe Bucs/Rams if its a playoff game, but its not win or in so i doubt that game will have a lot of appeal.

In the end i think it'll be 49ers/Seahawks. A team can have a max of 6 primetime games if one of them is a Thursday game, so we haven't reached our max, and our week 17 matchup against the Cardinals won't be a premium matchup.

I expect us to beat Miami and NE, and i think SEA will beat ARI and BUF. A 10-3-1 team vs a 9-5 team for the potential division title would be a huge matchup. Add in a division rivalry, Harbaugh vs Carroll, etc, its a no brainer IMO.
Out of our 4 games left I expect a tough loss on the road against the Pats. I hope we win but I don't see it happening.
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NINERFAN_4_LIFE


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2012 12:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Im really looking forward to the seahawks game. the last game would have gone differently if they wouldnt have dropped so many passes, that was a lucky win as far as I am concerned. Our offense played like garbage. They are a tough defense who likes to jam WRs at the line so I think we need to run bunch formations. Wheel routes and double moves are going to be key. plus its another loud place to play

If we win that game we win the division. its pretty much that simple.
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NinerNation21


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2012 4:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Just finished playing around with the playoff Machine on espn and it appears that our biggest foes are the Bears, Packers, and Seahawks.

If the bears and packers both lose one more game a piece before or after they play each other next week, we should be clear for the 2nd seed. Their matchup next week is going to be huge for us. So will the pats niners game next week. We win that game and we should keep ahold of the 2nd seed and win the division. I'm totally projecting here but I think it has a pretty good shot of going down like this.

All scenearos I keep doing makes me realize the 49ers really don't have total control of their destiny this year. We're going to need some help from some lower teams.
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UofMfan909


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2012 5:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

That Rams loss is absolutely devastating. My playoff scenario had us going to New York to play the Giants in round one. That would be absolutely awful for us. I have us losing to Seattle at home - but if Browner (already confirmed) and Sherman are both out, I like our chances. Pretty dumb that we'd already have the division pretty much locked up if not for a) two Akers missed FGs and b) The interception touchdown by the Hawks against Green Bay.
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