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The early 'Playoffs?!' thread
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vikingsrule


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PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 7:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Important games this week:

Minnesota at Green Bay
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Denver Broncos
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants at Washington Redskins
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vikingsrule


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PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 7:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

On paper, the Saints, Bucs, Seahawks, and Redskins should lose. The Cowboys will probably win.

Interesting thing is, MN could lose to GB and assuming the teams above lose as well, MN really doesnt lose ground on the playoff hunt. At some point they need to start winning some games but as long as the competition keeps losing, maybe MN catches a few breaks. 9-7 could be good enough to make the playoffs depending on what TB and SEA do (assuming GB gets the #5 seed).
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El Raymundo


Joined: 02 Mar 2005
Posts: 5476
Location: Northern Virginia
PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 7:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vikingsrule wrote:
On paper, the Saints, Bucs, Seahawks, and Redskins should lose. The Cowboys will probably win.


Agreed. So if we win and the rest of the games finish as described above, the team records look like this:

7-5 Green Bay, Minnesota
6-6 Dallas, Seattle, Tampa Bay
5-7 New Orleans, Washington

If we lose, the records look like this:

8-4 Green Bay
6-6 Dallas, Minnesota, Seattle, Tampa Bay
5-7 New Orleans, Washington

Green Bay would clearly be in the driver's seat for the #5 seed if they beat us on Sunday. But we're still in the thick of things if things break right.
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ArcticNorseman


Joined: 06 Mar 2005
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 3:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wow, what a difference one week makes as the season begins its 4th quarter.

It looks like NY, Atlanta and San Fran have their divisions under control.

So, it boils down to the NFC North winner and two wildcard teams. Mathematically, three teams could finish 10-6 in the NFC North ... that would be interesting, but highly unlikely. Wink

Dallas will likely bow-out at 8-8, Seattle appears to have the best chance at a WC, but losing the corners may hurt their final lap, should they go 2-2, that gives the Vikes a glimmer of hope. Tampa has a good shot to climb the ladder too . . . and this is the team I expect to grab the final wildcard spot.

I'm assuming Green Bay and Chicago will win 2 or 3 games of their last 4 which would sow-up the division title and one wildcard. However, if the Pack or Bears goes 1-3 down the stretch, that puts them at 9-7 . . . which sounds great to me. Laughing

For the Vikes, it's nice there's at least some hope . . . but making mathematical possibility a reality will take substantially more guts and execution than they have provided the past 2 weeks. Unless they play flawless football, both offensively and defensively, the team and organization can only hang their hat on "well, we improved from last year."
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milanb


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 4:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The problem for the Vikings is that they've already lost to Seattle, Tampa Bay and Washington. If one of those teams finishes 9-7, then the Vikings would need to go 4-0 the rest of the way in order to claim the last playoff spot.

Sad
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Sloppy28


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Teams who may still be fighting for the 2 wildcard spots... Updated Records
Vikings 7-6
Rams 6-6-1
Cowboys 7-6
Bears 8-5
Bucs 6-7
Redskins 7-6
Giants 8-5
Seahawks 8-5
49ers 9-3-1
Packers 8-4 (playing now)
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SteelKing728


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

So right now its:

1) Falcons 11-2
2) 49ers 9-3-1?
3) Packers 8-4*
4) Giants 8-5
5) Bears 8-5
6) Seahawks 8-5
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7) Cowboys 7-6
Cool Redskins 7-6
9) Vikings 7-6

Is this right?
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vike daddy


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Seahawks are ahead of the Bears, i believe.
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Sloppy28


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SteelKing728 wrote:
So right now its:

1) Falcons 11-2
2) 49ers 9-3-1?
3) Packers 8-4*
4) Giants 8-5
5) Bears 8-5
6) Seahawks 8-5
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7) Cowboys 7-6
Cool Redskins 7-6
9) Vikings 7-6

Is this right?


Why are the Cowboys ahead of us? Because of their win over the Bucs? We both have losses to the Bears, Seahawks, and Redskins.
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rpmwr19


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sloppy28 wrote:
SteelKing728 wrote:
So right now its:

1) Falcons 11-2
2) 49ers 9-3-1?
3) Packers 8-4*
4) Giants 8-5
5) Bears 8-5
6) Seahawks 8-5
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7) Cowboys 7-6
Cool Redskins 7-6
9) Vikings 7-6

Is this right?


Why are the Cowboys ahead of us? Because of their win over the Bucs? We both have losses to the Bears, Seahawks, and Redskins.


We are tied with the Cowboys in conference record and don't have enough common games yet to count that tie breaker. So they could have a better strength of victory than us; if not, the next tie breaker is strength of schedule.

However, the Redskins should be ahead of us and the Cowboys.
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Sloppy28


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Best case scenario to get into the playoffs.....

Packers: Lose vs Detroit, Win @ Chicago, W vs Tennessee, Lose @ Minnesota. Record 10-6
Bears: Lose vs Green Bay, Lose @ Arizona, Lose @ Detroit. Record 8-8
Cowboys: Lose vs Pittsburgh, Lose vs New Orleans, Win @Washington. Record 8-8
Redskins: Lose @Cleavland, Win @Philadelphia, Lose vs Dallas. Record 8-8
Minnesota: Win @ St. Louis, Lose @ Houston, Win vs Green Bay. Record 9-7

Playoff bound!
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rpmwr19


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sloppy28 wrote:
Best case scenario to get into the playoffs.....

Packers: Lose vs Detroit, Win @ Chicago, W vs Tennessee, Lose @ Minnesota. Record 10-6
Bears: Lose vs Green Bay, Lose @ Arizona, Lose @ Detroit. Record 8-8
Cowboys: Lose vs Pittsburgh, Lose vs New Orleans, Win @Washington. Record 8-8
Redskins: Lose @Cleavland, Win @Philadelphia, Lose vs Dallas. Record 8-8
Minnesota: Win @ St. Louis, Lose @ Houston, Win vs Green Bay. Record 9-7

Playoff bound!

Seattle is ahead of us too, and if we finish 9-7 the Bucs would also have to lose one game as they hold the tie-breaker over us.
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Sloppy28


Joined: 16 Apr 2012
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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rpmwr19 wrote:
Sloppy28 wrote:
Best case scenario to get into the playoffs.....

Packers: Lose vs Detroit, Win @ Chicago, W vs Tennessee, Lose @ Minnesota. Record 10-6
Bears: Lose vs Green Bay, Lose @ Arizona, Lose @ Detroit. Record 8-8
Cowboys: Lose vs Pittsburgh, Lose vs New Orleans, Win @Washington. Record 8-8
Redskins: Lose @Cleavland, Win @Philadelphia, Lose vs Dallas. Record 8-8
Minnesota: Win @ St. Louis, Lose @ Houston, Win vs Green Bay. Record 9-7

Playoff bound!

Seattle and Tampa Bay are also ahead of us.


I'm assuming Seattle gets the first Wildcard and we would get the second based off of this. Tampa is now a game behind, but I will do them also...

Bucs: Lose @ New Orleans, Win vs St. Louis, Win @ Atlanta. Record 8-8
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Klomp


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2012 11:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's amazing taking a look at our losses...

Colts: 9-4
Redskins: 7-6
Buccaneers: 6-7
Seahawks: 8-5
Bears: 8-5
Packers: 8-4

Those are good teams that we lost to.
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Sloppy28


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2012 12:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Klomp wrote:
It's amazing taking a look at our losses...

Colts: 9-4 - Could have won
Redskins: 7-6 - Could have won
Buccaneers: 6-7
Seahawks: 8-5
Bears: 8-5
Packers: 8-4 - Could have won

Those are good teams that we lost to.

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