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Why are we flat every 3rd game?
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49ersfan


Joined: 21 Apr 2007
Posts: 6250
PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 10:44 pm    Post subject: Why are we flat every 3rd game? Reply with quote

So far, our season pattern has been

Win Win Loss (24-13 Vikings)

Win Win Loss (26-3 Giants)

Win Win Tie (24-24 Rams)

Win Win Loss (16-13 Rams)

Now, there have been a lot of different things in each game. 1 PM or 4 PM EST, Home or Away, Alex or Kaep (lets not make this debate, just saying neither QB is to blame fully), good or bad run game, etc...it seems like we come up flat every 3rd game. And i'm not sure why. Maybe these teams match up well against us. Maybe its just a coincidence. Maybe we're getting overconfident after 2 wins. I don't know. I just don't think i've ever seen anything like this, where a team is almost guaranteed to disappoint on a certain pattern.

FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals

And if we make the playoffs and be the #2 seed with a 11-4-1 record, then we'd have playoff game 1, playoff game 2 (NFCCG?).

I don't know, just a weird continuing pattern Confused
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SoCalNiner


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 10:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Aliens.
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Psychlone


Joined: 15 Mar 2008
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 12:03 am    Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? Reply with quote

49ersfan wrote:
Maybe its just a coincidence.
An imperfect team (offense) that wins two out of every three games no matter the iteration I'll take during the regular season. Algorithms don't exist for the playoffs...
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clarkfn2284


Joined: 07 Jan 2007
Posts: 3091
Location: Modesto,CA
PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 3:48 am    Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? Reply with quote

49ersfan wrote:
So far, our season pattern has been

Win Win Loss (24-13 Vikings)

Win Win Loss (26-3 Giants)

Win Win Tie (24-24 Rams)

Win Win Loss (16-13 Rams)

Now, there have been a lot of different things in each game. 1 PM or 4 PM EST, Home or Away, Alex or Kaep (lets not make this debate, just saying neither QB is to blame fully), good or bad run game, etc...it seems like we come up flat every 3rd game. And i'm not sure why. Maybe these teams match up well against us. Maybe its just a coincidence. Maybe we're getting overconfident after 2 wins. I don't know. I just don't think i've ever seen anything like this, where a team is almost guaranteed to disappoint on a certain pattern.

FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals

And if we make the playoffs and be the #2 seed with a 11-4-1 record, then we'd have playoff game 1, playoff game 2 (NFCCG?).

I don't know, just a weird continuing pattern Confused



Calm down Jesse Ventura........ haha its a strange pattern, but if i believed in this i would have to believe in luck..... and i dont.......except Andrew Luck of course
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49ersfan


Joined: 21 Apr 2007
Posts: 6250
PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 4:31 am    Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? Reply with quote

49ersfan wrote:
FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals


Well, it happened again...just like its been happening all year/

Games immediately before our losses/ties

-27-19 W, Lions
-45-3 W, Bills
-24-3 W, Cardinals
-31-21 W, Saints
-41-34 W, Patriots

3 blowout wins, another win that wasn't as close as the game suggested (Lions), and a win where we dominated early and then held off a comeback (Patriots).

Very unsettling that we have yet to win 3 straight...and if we want to win a SB we need to win at least 3 if not 4 straight games
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blast


Joined: 22 Jan 2008
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 5:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's the Illumaniti.
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rudyZ


Joined: 12 Mar 2007
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 8:50 am    Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? Reply with quote

49ersfan wrote:
49ersfan wrote:
FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals


Well, it happened again...just like its been happening all year/

Games immediately before our losses/ties

-27-19 W, Lions
-45-3 W, Bills
-24-3 W, Cardinals
-31-21 W, Saints
-41-34 W, Patriots

3 blowout wins, another win that wasn't as close as the game suggested (Lions), and a win where we dominated early and then held off a comeback (Patriots).

Very unsettling that we have yet to win 3 straight...and if we want to win a SB we need to win at least 3 if not 4 straight games



We did it on purpose.. we want opponents to think we can't win 3 straight, then BAM! Superbowl. Good job, Jimmy.
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steadypimpin


Joined: 01 Jan 2009
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 9:10 am    Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? Reply with quote

rudyZ wrote:
49ersfan wrote:
49ersfan wrote:
FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals


Well, it happened again...just like its been happening all year/

Games immediately before our losses/ties

-27-19 W, Lions
-45-3 W, Bills
-24-3 W, Cardinals
-31-21 W, Saints
-41-34 W, Patriots

3 blowout wins, another win that wasn't as close as the game suggested (Lions), and a win where we dominated early and then held off a comeback (Patriots).

Very unsettling that we have yet to win 3 straight...and if we want to win a SB we need to win at least 3 if not 4 straight games



We did it on purpose.. we want opponents to think we can't win 3 straight, then BAM! Superbowl. Good job, Jimmy.
yup it's all part of the big picture. Trust in Harbaugh guys. I think he had us throw last nights game too just to fire up the team and make them angry before the playoffs.
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FG21_PW52


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs.
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San Francisco is going to put an unmerciful beat down on everyone they play next year.
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tiger9er08


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 11:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

for whatever reason our team doesnt handle being the top dog well, every time we get there we play flat. seems like we're better off the underdogs because this team relishes that well and plays ALOT better for some reason. I do wish we developed some kind of no huddle offense to run, I feel it helps against loud crowd noise and calling a play and when you can make several plays to calm the crowd down it makes it easier to go back to normal playcalling. also still feel like the coaching staff calls some questionable plays during crucial times, I dont really re-watch games to check but there's so many times our 3rd down plays just leave me shaking my head.
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blast


Joined: 22 Jan 2008
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PostPosted: Tue Dec 25, 2012 12:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

tiger9er08 wrote:
for whatever reason our team doesnt handle being the top dog well, every time we get there we play flat. seems like we're better off the underdogs because this team relishes that well and plays ALOT better for some reason. I do wish we developed some kind of no huddle offense to run, I feel it helps against loud crowd noise and calling a play and when you can make several plays to calm the crowd down it makes it easier to go back to normal playcalling. also still feel like the coaching staff calls some questionable plays during crucial times, I dont really re-watch games to check but there's so many times our 3rd down plays just leave me shaking my head.



I was hoping for the same thing, there were drives where Kaep made excellent throws to only be derailed by a turnover or inability to to get a TD in the red zone.
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Chrissooner49er


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FG21_PW52 wrote:
it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs.


Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB.
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Chrissooner49er wrote:
FG21_PW52 wrote:
it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs.


Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB.


3rd game would be the NFCCG. You're fine.
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Chrissooner49er


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

y2lamanaki wrote:
Chrissooner49er wrote:
FG21_PW52 wrote:
it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs.


Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB.


3rd game would be the NFCCG. You're fine.


That is correct...I think I skipped a round--the divisional round. Let's just put together our best 4 game streak ever, right?! Pray
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Chrissooner49er wrote:
y2lamanaki wrote:
Chrissooner49er wrote:
FG21_PW52 wrote:
it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs.


Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB.


3rd game would be the NFCCG. You're fine.


That is correct...I think I skipped a round--the divisional round. Let's just put together our best 4 game streak ever, right?! Pray


That's the hope! Good news is, we'll know if we got over the 3rd game hump at that point.
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