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49ersfan
Joined: 21 Apr 2007
Posts: 4588
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 Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 10:44 pm Post subject: Why are we flat every 3rd game? |
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So far, our season pattern has been
Win Win Loss (24-13 Vikings)
Win Win Loss (26-3 Giants)
Win Win Tie (24-24 Rams)
Win Win Loss (16-13 Rams)
Now, there have been a lot of different things in each game. 1 PM or 4 PM EST, Home or Away, Alex or Kaep (lets not make this debate, just saying neither QB is to blame fully), good or bad run game, etc...it seems like we come up flat every 3rd game. And i'm not sure why. Maybe these teams match up well against us. Maybe its just a coincidence. Maybe we're getting overconfident after 2 wins. I don't know. I just don't think i've ever seen anything like this, where a team is almost guaranteed to disappoint on a certain pattern.
FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals
And if we make the playoffs and be the #2 seed with a 11-4-1 record, then we'd have playoff game 1, playoff game 2 (NFCCG?).
I don't know, just a weird continuing pattern 
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SoCalNiner
Joined: 13 Nov 2007
Posts: 18586
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| Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 10:54 pm Post subject: |
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Aliens.
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Psychlone
Joined: 15 Mar 2008
Posts: 3071
Location: Marin County, CA.
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| Posted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 12:03 am Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? |
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| 49ersfan wrote: | | Maybe its just a coincidence. |
An imperfect team (offense) that wins two out of every three games no matter the iteration I'll take during the regular season. Algorithms don't exist for the playoffs...
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clarkfn2284
Joined: 07 Jan 2007
Posts: 2594
Location: Modesto,CA
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| Posted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 3:48 am Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? |
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| 49ersfan wrote: | So far, our season pattern has been
Win Win Loss (24-13 Vikings)
Win Win Loss (26-3 Giants)
Win Win Tie (24-24 Rams)
Win Win Loss (16-13 Rams)
Now, there have been a lot of different things in each game. 1 PM or 4 PM EST, Home or Away, Alex or Kaep (lets not make this debate, just saying neither QB is to blame fully), good or bad run game, etc...it seems like we come up flat every 3rd game. And i'm not sure why. Maybe these teams match up well against us. Maybe its just a coincidence. Maybe we're getting overconfident after 2 wins. I don't know. I just don't think i've ever seen anything like this, where a team is almost guaranteed to disappoint on a certain pattern.
FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals
And if we make the playoffs and be the #2 seed with a 11-4-1 record, then we'd have playoff game 1, playoff game 2 (NFCCG?).
I don't know, just a weird continuing pattern |
Calm down Jesse Ventura........ haha its a strange pattern, but if i believed in this i would have to believe in luck..... and i dont.......except Andrew Luck of course
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49ersfan
Joined: 21 Apr 2007
Posts: 4588
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 4:31 am Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? |
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| 49ersfan wrote: | | FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals |
Well, it happened again...just like its been happening all year/
Games immediately before our losses/ties
-27-19 W, Lions
-45-3 W, Bills
-24-3 W, Cardinals
-31-21 W, Saints
-41-34 W, Patriots
3 blowout wins, another win that wasn't as close as the game suggested (Lions), and a win where we dominated early and then held off a comeback (Patriots).
Very unsettling that we have yet to win 3 straight...and if we want to win a SB we need to win at least 3 if not 4 straight games |
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blast
Joined: 22 Jan 2008
Posts: 1419
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 5:42 am Post subject: |
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It's the Illumaniti.
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| Quote: | | "I don't know who they think we are. We're on a mission."-Patrick BamBam Willis |
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rudyZ
Joined: 12 Mar 2007
Posts: 11347
Location: Québec
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 8:50 am Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? |
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| 49ersfan wrote: | | 49ersfan wrote: | | FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals |
Well, it happened again...just like its been happening all year/
Games immediately before our losses/ties
-27-19 W, Lions
-45-3 W, Bills
-24-3 W, Cardinals
-31-21 W, Saints
-41-34 W, Patriots
3 blowout wins, another win that wasn't as close as the game suggested (Lions), and a win where we dominated early and then held off a comeback (Patriots).
Very unsettling that we have yet to win 3 straight...and if we want to win a SB we need to win at least 3 if not 4 straight games |
We did it on purpose.. we want opponents to think we can't win 3 straight, then BAM! Superbowl. Good job, Jimmy.
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steadypimpin
Joined: 01 Jan 2009
Posts: 7266
Location: Rockville, Maryland
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 9:10 am Post subject: Re: Why are we flat every 3rd game? |
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| rudyZ wrote: | | 49ersfan wrote: | | 49ersfan wrote: | | FWIW, the next (last) 4 games- Dolphins, @Patriots, @Seahawks, Cardinals |
Well, it happened again...just like its been happening all year/
Games immediately before our losses/ties
-27-19 W, Lions
-45-3 W, Bills
-24-3 W, Cardinals
-31-21 W, Saints
-41-34 W, Patriots
3 blowout wins, another win that wasn't as close as the game suggested (Lions), and a win where we dominated early and then held off a comeback (Patriots).
Very unsettling that we have yet to win 3 straight...and if we want to win a SB we need to win at least 3 if not 4 straight games |
We did it on purpose.. we want opponents to think we can't win 3 straight, then BAM! Superbowl. Good job, Jimmy. |
yup it's all part of the big picture. Trust in Harbaugh guys. I think he had us throw last nights game too just to fire up the team and make them angry before the playoffs.
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FG21_PW52
Joined: 06 Feb 2008
Posts: 3620
Location: 831, CA.
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:19 pm Post subject: |
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it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs.
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| candyman93 wrote: | | San Francisco is going to put an unmerciful beat down on everyone they play next year. |
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tiger9er08
Joined: 14 Nov 2009
Posts: 1319
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 11:19 pm Post subject: |
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| for whatever reason our team doesnt handle being the top dog well, every time we get there we play flat. seems like we're better off the underdogs because this team relishes that well and plays ALOT better for some reason. I do wish we developed some kind of no huddle offense to run, I feel it helps against loud crowd noise and calling a play and when you can make several plays to calm the crowd down it makes it easier to go back to normal playcalling. also still feel like the coaching staff calls some questionable plays during crucial times, I dont really re-watch games to check but there's so many times our 3rd down plays just leave me shaking my head. |
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blast
Joined: 22 Jan 2008
Posts: 1419
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| Posted: Tue Dec 25, 2012 12:23 am Post subject: |
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| tiger9er08 wrote: | | for whatever reason our team doesnt handle being the top dog well, every time we get there we play flat. seems like we're better off the underdogs because this team relishes that well and plays ALOT better for some reason. I do wish we developed some kind of no huddle offense to run, I feel it helps against loud crowd noise and calling a play and when you can make several plays to calm the crowd down it makes it easier to go back to normal playcalling. also still feel like the coaching staff calls some questionable plays during crucial times, I dont really re-watch games to check but there's so many times our 3rd down plays just leave me shaking my head. |
I was hoping for the same thing, there were drives where Kaep made excellent throws to only be derailed by a turnover or inability to to get a TD in the red zone.
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| Quote: | | "I don't know who they think we are. We're on a mission."-Patrick BamBam Willis |
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Chrissooner49er
Joined: 03 Feb 2005
Posts: 3641
Location: Tulsa, OK
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| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:10 pm Post subject: |
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| FG21_PW52 wrote: | | it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs. |
Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB.
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y2lamanaki
Joined: 03 Jan 2006
Posts: 8612
Location: Lancaster, PA
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| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:10 pm Post subject: |
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| Chrissooner49er wrote: | | FG21_PW52 wrote: | | it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs. |
Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB. |
3rd game would be the NFCCG. You're fine.
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Chrissooner49er
Joined: 03 Feb 2005
Posts: 3641
Location: Tulsa, OK
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| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:17 pm Post subject: |
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| y2lamanaki wrote: | | Chrissooner49er wrote: | | FG21_PW52 wrote: | | it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs. |
Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB. |
3rd game would be the NFCCG. You're fine. |
That is correct...I think I skipped a round--the divisional round. Let's just put together our best 4 game streak ever, right?! 
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fa·nat·ic (f-ntk)
A person marked or motivated by an extreme, unreasoning enthusiasm, as for a cause.
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y2lamanaki
Joined: 03 Jan 2006
Posts: 8612
Location: Lancaster, PA
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| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 6:30 pm Post subject: |
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| Chrissooner49er wrote: | | y2lamanaki wrote: | | Chrissooner49er wrote: | | FG21_PW52 wrote: | | it really is incredibly strange. hopefully this annoying little pattern goes away in the playoffs. |
Especially since our 3rd game would be....THE SUPER BOWL! I like our perfect record in the SB and would rather lose BEFORE that game than lose in the SB. |
3rd game would be the NFCCG. You're fine. |
That is correct...I think I skipped a round--the divisional round. Let's just put together our best 4 game streak ever, right?! |
That's the hope! Good news is, we'll know if we got over the 3rd game hump at that point.
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