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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 14181
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 Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:48 am Post subject: |
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| SDN40 wrote: | Possible NFC playoffs QB's
Matt Ryan
Aaron Rodgers
Colin Kaepernick
RG III
Russell Wilson
Jay Cutler
Hmmmmmmmmmm me like |
Do not want..
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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 14181
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:58 am Post subject: |
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How I set up my formula:
Close games 7
Decisive wins 7
Decisive losses 1
Best case: (close games+decisive wins)/games 93.33
Worst case: decisive wins/games 46.67
Adjust Win: (best case+worst case)/2 70.00
SOS: all opponents adjust win/games 49.33
SOS Adj Win: adjust win*SOS 34.53
Opponent Adj SOS: all opponent SOS adj Win/games 25.29
SOS 2 Adj Win: SOS adj win*opponent adj SOS 87.33
SOS 2 Adj Win is the power ranking number
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xDD80x
Joined: 28 Dec 2009
Posts: 942
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 2:44 am Post subject: |
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Here are all 64 non-tie NFC playoff scenarios in graphic form, distribute this graphic as you see fit:
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CWood21
Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 45909
Location: mike23md on the dope sig
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 3:26 pm Post subject: |
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Here's my updated predictions.
AFC
1.) HOU
2.) DEN
3.) NE
4.) BAL
5.) IND
6.) CIN
NE over CIN, BAL over IND
HOU over BAL, DEN over NE
DEN over HOU
NFC
1.) ATL
2.) GB
3.) SF
4.) WAS
5.) SEA
6.) CHI
SF over CHI, SEA over WAS
SEA over ATL, GB over SF
GB over SEA
GB over DEN
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| holt_bruce81 wrote: | | I just like to feel like Yadier Molina is hugging me as I sleep. |
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Pack4life7
Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3414
Location: Illinois
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 3:33 pm Post subject: |
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| CWood21 wrote: | Here's my updated predictions.
AFC
1.) HOU
2.) DEN
3.) NE
4.) BAL
5.) IND
6.) CIN
NE over CIN, BAL over IND
HOU over BAL, DEN over NE
DEN over HOU
NFC
1.) ATL
2.) GB
3.) SF
4.) WAS
5.) SEA
6.) CHI
SF over CHI, SEA over WAS
SEA over ATL, GB over SF
GB over SEA
GB over DEN |
Sweet revenge and as we win our 2nd in three years Mike Murphy holds up the trophy and says into the microphone
"This one's for Aaron"
The only things that would have made this run more perfect is if somehow the Giants got in and we beat them. They're an awful matchup for us and it's definitely best that we avoid them but nothing would be sweeter than exercising some demons on the way to ring #2.
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UpTheSeam85
Joined: 23 Aug 2011
Posts: 835
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 3:34 pm Post subject: |
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If we are playing on wild card weekend, the only team we could be playing is Minnesota correct? And in the divisional round, more than likely we will be playing SF unless they lose to either the Vikings, Bears, Giants, or Redskins?
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CWood21
Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 45909
Location: mike23md on the dope sig
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 3:43 pm Post subject: |
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| UpTheSeam85 wrote: | | If we are playing on wild card weekend, the only team we could be playing is Minnesota correct? And in the divisional round, more than likely we will be playing SF unless they lose to either the Vikings, Bears, Giants, or Redskins? |
Correct.
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| holt_bruce81 wrote: | | I just like to feel like Yadier Molina is hugging me as I sleep. |
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blankman0021
Joined: 02 May 2007
Posts: 2475
Location: MKE
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| Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2012 6:06 pm Post subject: |
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Can somebody help me out ASAP. I need to get my schedule into work to work one weekend day the first weekend of the new year. Which happens to be the first weekend of the playoffs. If the packers lose and end up the 3rd seed, does anybody know what day (saturday or sunday) they would end up playing? If they win, they don't play which would make it easy.
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| The Doctor wrote: | | ALLONS-Y, ALONSO! |
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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 14181
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| Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2012 6:14 pm Post subject: |
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| blankman0021 wrote: | | Can somebody help me out ASAP. I need to get my schedule into work to work one weekend day the first weekend of the new year. Which happens to be the first weekend of the playoffs. If the packers lose and end up the 3rd seed, does anybody know what day (saturday or sunday) they would end up playing? If they win, they don't play which would make it easy. |
so you figure
3 Patriots 6 Bengals
4 Ravens 5 Colts
3 Packers 6 Chicago/Minnesota/New York
4 Washington/Dallas 5 Seattle
Packers are probably the 2nd highest rated game (behind Washington/Seattle.)
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Sandybaby716
Joined: 11 Mar 2007
Posts: 3649
Location: Rhode Island
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| Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2012 11:19 pm Post subject: |
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Justo, I would be interested in seeing how your formula does when it only involves their home/away splits. For example, if the Packers have a higher rating overall at home, and the seahwaks have a lower rating on the road, and they play in Lambeau, would that effect the outcomes?
Homefield crowds can be a very big factor.
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| wgbeethree wrote: | | In all fairness it is kind of rude to just lay injured at their feet while the Lions defensive players are trying to hold a completely unrelated dance party. |
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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 14181
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| Posted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 2:37 am Post subject: |
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| Sandybaby716 wrote: | Justo, I would be interested in seeing how your formula does when it only involves their home/away splits. For example, if the Packers have a higher rating overall at home, and the seahwaks have a lower rating on the road, and they play in Lambeau, would that effect the outcomes?
Homefield crowds can be a very big factor. |
I haven't really messed with the home and away stuff but I would assume GB would be ahead. Seattle's home and away numbers are way different just by looking at the opponents/scores of games. I'll have them up in a bit
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Pugger
Joined: 01 May 2010
Posts: 13353
Location: N. Fort Myers, FL
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| Posted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 2:57 am Post subject: |
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| CWood21 wrote: | Here's my updated predictions.
AFC
1.) HOU
2.) DEN
3.) NE
4.) BAL
5.) IND
6.) CIN
NE over CIN, BAL over IND
HOU over BAL, DEN over NE
DEN over HOU
NFC
1.) ATL
2.) GB
3.) SF
4.) WAS
5.) SEA
6.) CHI
SF over CHI, SEA over WAS
SEA over ATL, GB over SF
GB over SEA
GB over DEN |
I don't know if SEA can go into both ATL and SF and win both. SEA is a beast at home but not so much on the road.
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incognito_man
Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 38095
Location: Madison
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| Posted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 3:10 am Post subject: |
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1] Houston
2] Denver
3] New England
4] Baltimore
5] Indy
6] Cincinnati
New England over Cincinnati
Baltimore over Indy
Denver over New England
Houston over Baltimore
Denver over Houston
1] Atlanta
2] Green Bay
3] San Fran
4] Dallas
5] Seattle
6] Chicago
San Fran over Chicago
Dallas over Seattle
Atlanta over Dallas
Green Bay over San Fran
Green Bay over Atlanta
Green Bay over Denver |
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HyponGrey
Joined: 23 Jun 2012
Posts: 3763
Location: Down the road from NFL Films
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| Posted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 3:22 am Post subject: |
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| incognito_man wrote: | 1] Houston
2] Denver
3] New England
4] Baltimore
5] Indy
6] Cincinnati
New England over Cincinnati
Baltimore over Indy
Denver over New England
Houston over Baltimore
Denver over Houston
1] Atlanta
2] Green Bay
3] San Fran
4] Dallas
5] Seattle
6] Chicago
San Fran over Chicago
Dallas over Seattle
Atlanta over Dallas
Green Bay over San Fran
Green Bay over Atlanta
Green Bay over Denver |
Is it alright if I want CHI to beat SF so we can take them a 3rd time? Won't happen, but it'd be ideal
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| justo wrote: | | Bostick drove a guy 12 yards and finished off with a pancake and I'm not sure where my pants went. |
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jfinley88
Joined: 08 Feb 2010
Posts: 17168
Location: fin-land Metaphysical & Eternal EveryoneLoveEveryone
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| Posted: Fri Dec 28, 2012 3:47 pm Post subject: |
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We beat Minnesota
Dallas beats Washington
Seattle beats St. Louis
Chicago beats Detroit
San Fran beats Arizona
#1 Atlanta
#2 Green Bay
--------------------
#3 San Francisco
#4 Dallas
#5 Seattle
#6 Chicago
Then we pray Seattle and Chicago win!
Atlanta vs. Seattle
Green Bay vs. Chicago
Green Bay vs. Seattle
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