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The playoff hunt thread.
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CWood21


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Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 35280
Location: 'Merica
PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2012 11:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Assuming the SF-NE results holds, we have to win out and hope that San Francisco either loses to Seattle or Arizona.
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I Am Rodgers


Joined: 19 Jan 2009
Posts: 7146
Location: New Jersey
PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2012 12:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

CWood21 wrote:
Assuming the SF-NE results holds, we have to win out and hope that San Francisco either loses to Seattle or Arizona.


Ugh. I feel dirty having to root for Seattle. I just hope that game is a war of attrition.
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stallyns wrote:
Good thing for talky-talk Harbaugh he has an outstanding citizen/player like Aldon Smith on his team and not a classless hooligan like Clay Matthews.
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KManX89


Joined: 25 Oct 2012
Posts: 1766
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2012 3:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

So, overall playoff picture, as I see it right now: (TRANSLATION: I wish this is how it went down Laughing )

AFC:

1. Texans (14-2)
2. Broncos (13-3)
3. Patriots (12-4)
4. Ravens (10-6)
5. Colts (10-6)
6. Steelers (9-7)

AFC Wild Card:

Patriots over Steelers
Colts over Ravens

AFC Divisional:
Texans over Colts
Broncos over Patriots

AFC Championship:
Broncos over Texans

NFC:
1. Falcons (14-2)
2. Packers (12-4)
3. 49ers (11-4-1)
4. Redskins (10-6)
5. Seahawks (11-5)
6. Bears (10-6)

NFC Wild Card:
49ers over Bears
Redskins over Seahawks

NFC Wild Card:
Falcons over Redskins
Packers over 49ers

NFC Championship:
Packers over Falcons

Super Bowl:
Packers over Broncos

Whadd'y'all think of my playoff tree ? Hey, I can dream, right? Laughing
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CWood21


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Joined: 27 Jun 2008
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Location: 'Merica
PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 12:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A loss by the Giants and a win by the Redskins means the only way the Giants can get in is through the Wild Card.
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incognito_man


Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 31117
Location: Madison
PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 12:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

CWood21 wrote:
A loss by the Giants and a win by the Redskins means the only way the Giants can get in is through the Wild Card.


and probably vs us in the first round if SF beats SEA...
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CWood21


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Joined: 27 Jun 2008
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Location: 'Merica
PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 2:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's my guess.

ATL: Detroit (Win), Tampa Bay (Loss)
SF: Seattle (Loss), Arizona (Win)
GB: Tennessee (Win), Minnesota (Win)
WAS: Philadelphia (Win), Dallas (Loss)
SEA: San Francisco (Win), St. Louis (Win)
MIN: Houston (Loss), Green Bay (Loss)
NYG: Baltimore (Loss), Philadelphia (Win)
DAL: New Orleans (Loss), Washington (Win)
CHI: Arizona (Win), Detroit (Loss)


ATL 13-3
SF: 11-4-1
GB: 12-4
WAS: 9-7
SEA: 11-5
MIN: 8-8
NYG: 9-7
DAL: 9-7
CHI: 9-7

1.) ATL
2.) GB
3.) SF
4.) DAL
5.) SEA
6.) CHI

SF over CHI, SEA over DAL

SEA over ATL, SF over GB

SF over GB
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CentralFC


Joined: 03 Feb 2011
Posts: 4160
Location: Evanston, IL
PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 2:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

CWood21 wrote:
Here's my guess.

ATL: Detroit (Win), Tampa Bay (Loss)
SF: Seattle (Loss), Arizona (Win)
GB: Tennessee (Win), Minnesota (Win)
WAS: Philadelphia (Win), Dallas (Loss)
SEA: San Francisco (Win), St. Louis (Win)
MIN: Houston (Loss), Green Bay (Loss)
NYG: Baltimore (Loss), Philadelphia (Win)
DAL: New Orleans (Loss), Washington (Win)
CHI: Arizona (Win), Detroit (Loss)


ATL 13-3
SF: 11-4-1
GB: 12-4
WAS: 9-7
SEA: 11-5
MIN: 8-8
NYG: 9-7
DAL: 9-7
CHI: 9-7

1.) ATL
2.) GB
3.) SF
4.) DAL
5.) SEA
6.) CHI

SF over CHI, SEA over DAL

SEA over ATL, SF over GB

SF over GB


Home and home series? Interesting.
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Simian07:
Quote:
I'd argue Jordy is probably around the 30th-40th best receiver in the NFL, maybe 50th.
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justo


Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 13139
PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 3:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Washington Redskins 10-6
New York Giants 10-6
Dallas Cowboys 9-7
Philadelphia Eagles 4-12

San Francisco 12-3-1
Seattle Seahawks 10-6
St. Louis Rams 6-9-1
Arizona Cardinals 5-11

Green Bay Packers 12-4
Chicago Bears 10-6
Minnesota Vikings 8-8
Detroit Lions 4-12

Atlanta Falcons 14-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-9
Carolina Panthers 7-9
New Orleans Saints 6-10

1 Atlanta Falcons
2 San Francisco 49ers
3 Green Bay Packers
4 Washington Redskins
5 New York Giants
6 Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks @ Green Bay
Giants @ Redskins

Giants @ Falcons
Green Bay @ 49ers

Giants @ 49ers

Superb Owl:
Giants @ Patriots
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Pugger wrote:
Pugger? Shocked

#FREEBARRINGTON
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GoPackGo


Joined: 12 Oct 2008
Posts: 3674
Location: Chicago
PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 3:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

justo wrote:

Giants @ Falcons
Green Bay @ 49ers

Giants @ 49ers

Superb Owl:
Giants @ Patriots


Kill me now.
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justo


Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 13139
PostPosted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 11:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated projection:
1) Atlanta 14-2
2) Green Bay 12-4
3) San Francisco 11-4-1
4) Washington 10-6
5) Seattle 11-5
6) Chicago 10-6

Chicago @ San Francisco
Seattle @ Washington

Seattle @ Atlanta
San Francisco @ Green Bay

Seattle @ San Francisco
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Pugger wrote:
Pugger? Shocked

#FREEBARRINGTON
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justo


Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 13139
PostPosted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 11:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Seattle 95.88
San Francisco 91.66
New England 90.80
Denver 90.04
Green Bay 87.33
Chicago 85.19
New York Giants 80.14
Atlanta 75.45
Houston 70.97
Washington 70.42
Baltimore 68.69
Minnesota 66.53
Dallas 66.05
Cincinnati 61.24
Indianapolis 39.23
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Pugger wrote:
Pugger? Shocked

#FREEBARRINGTON
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jfinley88


Joined: 08 Feb 2010
Posts: 11137
PostPosted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 11:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

justo wrote:
Seattle 95.88
San Francisco 91.66
New England 90.80
Denver 90.04
Green Bay 87.33
Chicago 85.19
New York Giants 80.14
Atlanta 75.45
Houston 70.97
Washington 70.42
Baltimore 68.69
Minnesota 66.53
Dallas 66.05
Cincinnati 61.24
Indianapolis 39.23


What are these numbers you have provided us Justo?
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Pick6byWoodson


Joined: 23 Feb 2010
Posts: 257
PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 12:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

justo wrote:
Updated projection:
1) Atlanta 14-2
2) Green Bay 12-4
3) San Francisco 11-4-1
4) Washington 10-6
5) Seattle 11-5
6) Chicago 10-6

Chicago @ San Francisco
Seattle @ Washington

Seattle @ Atlanta
San Francisco @ Green Bay


Seattle @ San Francisco

Are these your personal predictions or?
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SDN40


Joined: 13 Jan 2008
Posts: 3765
PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Possible NFC playoffs QB's

Matt Ryan
Aaron Rodgers
Colin Kaepernick
RG III
Russell Wilson
Jay Cutler

Hmmmmmmmmmm me like
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justo


Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 13139
PostPosted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

jfinley88 wrote:
justo wrote:
Seattle 95.88
San Francisco 91.66
New England 90.80
Denver 90.04
Green Bay 87.33
Chicago 85.19
New York Giants 80.14
Atlanta 75.45
Houston 70.97
Washington 70.42
Baltimore 68.69
Minnesota 66.53
Dallas 66.05
Cincinnati 61.24
Indianapolis 39.23


What are these numbers you have provided us Justo?


Basically it uses Waldo's theory that close games are random. 50% win/loss is what teams average out to. Basically that close games are games decided by luck. What I did was weighted wins. Wins 9+ points counts as 1.0, losses by 9+ is 0.0, close games (within Cool are .5. Normal standings use just 1.0 and 0.0 for wins and losses. I used this number and used opponent's opponents to basically create a power ranking that I've been updating since week 5 (I think)
So far my record is 113-51-1, 65-20 in games that are decided by 8+ points
A couple things it projected were a Cardinals and Eagles collapse after they were 4-0, 3-1 IIRC. Got a lot of heat for saying GB and Seattle weren't bad teams. Same with NE.
http://www.footballsfuture.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=501543
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Pugger wrote:
Pugger? Shocked

#FREEBARRINGTON
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