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CWood21
Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 30533
Location: 'Merica
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 Posted: Sun Dec 16, 2012 11:56 pm Post subject: |
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Assuming the SF-NE results holds, we have to win out and hope that San Francisco either loses to Seattle or Arizona.
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| iPwn wrote: | | If I was going to blow $2,600 on a night of fun, the last thing I would be thinking to do was play skee ball. |
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I Am Rodgers
Joined: 19 Jan 2009
Posts: 6403
Location: New Jersey
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| Posted: Mon Dec 17, 2012 12:01 am Post subject: |
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| CWood21 wrote: | | Assuming the SF-NE results holds, we have to win out and hope that San Francisco either loses to Seattle or Arizona. |
Ugh. I feel dirty having to root for Seattle. I just hope that game is a war of attrition.
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| ChaRisMa wrote: | | I thought I was the only one adding three inches. |
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KManX89
Joined: 25 Oct 2012
Posts: 356
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
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| Posted: Mon Dec 17, 2012 3:20 pm Post subject: |
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So, overall playoff picture, as I see it right now: (TRANSLATION: I wish this is how it went down  )
AFC:
1. Texans (14-2)
2. Broncos (13-3)
3. Patriots (12-4)
4. Ravens (10-6)
5. Colts (10-6)
6. Steelers (9-7)
AFC Wild Card:
Patriots over Steelers
Colts over Ravens
AFC Divisional:
Texans over Colts
Broncos over Patriots
AFC Championship:
Broncos over Texans
NFC:
1. Falcons (14-2)
2. Packers (12-4)
3. 49ers (11-4-1)
4. Redskins (10-6)
5. Seahawks (11-5)
6. Bears (10-6)
NFC Wild Card:
49ers over Bears
Redskins over Seahawks
NFC Wild Card:
Falcons over Redskins
Packers over 49ers
NFC Championship:
Packers over Falcons
Super Bowl:
Packers over Broncos
Whadd'y'all think of my playoff tree ? Hey, I can dream, right? |
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CWood21
Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 30533
Location: 'Merica
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| Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 12:19 am Post subject: |
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A loss by the Giants and a win by the Redskins means the only way the Giants can get in is through the Wild Card.
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| iPwn wrote: | | If I was going to blow $2,600 on a night of fun, the last thing I would be thinking to do was play skee ball. |
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incognito_man
Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 26377
Location: Madison
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| Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 12:23 am Post subject: |
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| CWood21 wrote: | | A loss by the Giants and a win by the Redskins means the only way the Giants can get in is through the Wild Card. |
and probably vs us in the first round if SF beats SEA... |
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CWood21
Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 30533
Location: 'Merica
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| Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 2:21 am Post subject: |
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Here's my guess.
ATL: Detroit (Win), Tampa Bay (Loss)
SF: Seattle (Loss), Arizona (Win)
GB: Tennessee (Win), Minnesota (Win)
WAS: Philadelphia (Win), Dallas (Loss)
SEA: San Francisco (Win), St. Louis (Win)
MIN: Houston (Loss), Green Bay (Loss)
NYG: Baltimore (Loss), Philadelphia (Win)
DAL: New Orleans (Loss), Washington (Win)
CHI: Arizona (Win), Detroit (Loss)
ATL 13-3
SF: 11-4-1
GB: 12-4
WAS: 9-7
SEA: 11-5
MIN: 8-8
NYG: 9-7
DAL: 9-7
CHI: 9-7
1.) ATL
2.) GB
3.) SF
4.) DAL
5.) SEA
6.) CHI
SF over CHI, SEA over DAL
SEA over ATL, SF over GB
SF over GB
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^sandwhich on the sig^
| iPwn wrote: | | If I was going to blow $2,600 on a night of fun, the last thing I would be thinking to do was play skee ball. |
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CentralFC
Joined: 03 Feb 2011
Posts: 2145
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| Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 2:26 am Post subject: |
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| CWood21 wrote: | Here's my guess.
ATL: Detroit (Win), Tampa Bay (Loss)
SF: Seattle (Loss), Arizona (Win)
GB: Tennessee (Win), Minnesota (Win)
WAS: Philadelphia (Win), Dallas (Loss)
SEA: San Francisco (Win), St. Louis (Win)
MIN: Houston (Loss), Green Bay (Loss)
NYG: Baltimore (Loss), Philadelphia (Win)
DAL: New Orleans (Loss), Washington (Win)
CHI: Arizona (Win), Detroit (Loss)
ATL 13-3
SF: 11-4-1
GB: 12-4
WAS: 9-7
SEA: 11-5
MIN: 8-8
NYG: 9-7
DAL: 9-7
CHI: 9-7
1.) ATL
2.) GB
3.) SF
4.) DAL
5.) SEA
6.) CHI
SF over CHI, SEA over DAL
SEA over ATL, SF over GB
SF over GB |
Home and home series? Interesting.
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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 9105
Location: Hood River, Oregon
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| Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 3:23 am Post subject: |
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Washington Redskins 10-6
New York Giants 10-6
Dallas Cowboys 9-7
Philadelphia Eagles 4-12
San Francisco 12-3-1
Seattle Seahawks 10-6
St. Louis Rams 6-9-1
Arizona Cardinals 5-11
Green Bay Packers 12-4
Chicago Bears 10-6
Minnesota Vikings 8-8
Detroit Lions 4-12
Atlanta Falcons 14-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-9
Carolina Panthers 7-9
New Orleans Saints 6-10
1 Atlanta Falcons
2 San Francisco 49ers
3 Green Bay Packers
4 Washington Redskins
5 New York Giants
6 Seattle Seahawks
Seahawks @ Green Bay
Giants @ Redskins
Giants @ Falcons
Green Bay @ 49ers
Giants @ 49ers
Superb Owl:
Giants @ Patriots
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| jfinley88 wrote: | | Woke up in the shower wearing a frog costume with the nipples cut out and my face painted like a tiger |
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GoPackGo
Joined: 12 Oct 2008
Posts: 2278
Location: Chicago
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| Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 3:40 am Post subject: |
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| justo wrote: |
Giants @ Falcons
Green Bay @ 49ers
Giants @ 49ers
Superb Owl:
Giants @ Patriots |
Kill me now.
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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 9105
Location: Hood River, Oregon
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| Posted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 11:16 pm Post subject: |
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Updated projection:
1) Atlanta 14-2
2) Green Bay 12-4
3) San Francisco 11-4-1
4) Washington 10-6
5) Seattle 11-5
6) Chicago 10-6
Chicago @ San Francisco
Seattle @ Washington
Seattle @ Atlanta
San Francisco @ Green Bay
Seattle @ San Francisco
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| jfinley88 wrote: | | Woke up in the shower wearing a frog costume with the nipples cut out and my face painted like a tiger |
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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 9105
Location: Hood River, Oregon
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| Posted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 11:24 pm Post subject: |
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Seattle 95.88
San Francisco 91.66
New England 90.80
Denver 90.04
Green Bay 87.33
Chicago 85.19
New York Giants 80.14
Atlanta 75.45
Houston 70.97
Washington 70.42
Baltimore 68.69
Minnesota 66.53
Dallas 66.05
Cincinnati 61.24
Indianapolis 39.23
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| jfinley88 wrote: | | Woke up in the shower wearing a frog costume with the nipples cut out and my face painted like a tiger |
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jfinley88
Joined: 08 Feb 2010
Posts: 4656
Location: Orlando
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| Posted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 11:32 pm Post subject: |
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| justo wrote: | Seattle 95.88
San Francisco 91.66
New England 90.80
Denver 90.04
Green Bay 87.33
Chicago 85.19
New York Giants 80.14
Atlanta 75.45
Houston 70.97
Washington 70.42
Baltimore 68.69
Minnesota 66.53
Dallas 66.05
Cincinnati 61.24
Indianapolis 39.23 |
What are these numbers you have provided us Justo?
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| DT58_lives_on wrote: | | Jfin...a legend in his own mind! |
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Pick6byWoodson
Joined: 23 Feb 2010
Posts: 208
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 12:22 am Post subject: |
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| justo wrote: | Updated projection:
1) Atlanta 14-2
2) Green Bay 12-4
3) San Francisco 11-4-1
4) Washington 10-6
5) Seattle 11-5
6) Chicago 10-6
Chicago @ San Francisco
Seattle @ Washington
Seattle @ Atlanta
San Francisco @ Green Bay
Seattle @ San Francisco |
Are these your personal predictions or? |
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SDN40
Joined: 13 Jan 2008
Posts: 3122
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:26 am Post subject: |
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Possible NFC playoffs QB's
Matt Ryan
Aaron Rodgers
Colin Kaepernick
RG III
Russell Wilson
Jay Cutler
Hmmmmmmmmmm me like
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justo
Joined: 05 Aug 2012
Posts: 9105
Location: Hood River, Oregon
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| Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 1:47 am Post subject: |
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| jfinley88 wrote: | | justo wrote: | Seattle 95.88
San Francisco 91.66
New England 90.80
Denver 90.04
Green Bay 87.33
Chicago 85.19
New York Giants 80.14
Atlanta 75.45
Houston 70.97
Washington 70.42
Baltimore 68.69
Minnesota 66.53
Dallas 66.05
Cincinnati 61.24
Indianapolis 39.23 |
What are these numbers you have provided us Justo? |
Basically it uses Waldo's theory that close games are random. 50% win/loss is what teams average out to. Basically that close games are games decided by luck. What I did was weighted wins. Wins 9+ points counts as 1.0, losses by 9+ is 0.0, close games (within  are .5. Normal standings use just 1.0 and 0.0 for wins and losses. I used this number and used opponent's opponents to basically create a power ranking that I've been updating since week 5 (I think)
So far my record is 113-51-1, 65-20 in games that are decided by 8+ points
A couple things it projected were a Cardinals and Eagles collapse after they were 4-0, 3-1 IIRC. Got a lot of heat for saying GB and Seattle weren't bad teams. Same with NE.
http://www.footballsfuture.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=501543
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| jfinley88 wrote: | | Woke up in the shower wearing a frog costume with the nipples cut out and my face painted like a tiger |
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