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Week 5: Other Games.
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Troy Brown


Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 24153
Location: Newport, Rhode Island
PostPosted: Tue Oct 09, 2012 3:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Richter wrote:
Troy Brown wrote:
Richter wrote:
I see three games that really stand out right off the bat, but no serious home dogs. The Raiders getting 9 from a Falcons squad that seems to be itching for a loss is tempting, but it's in Atlanta, so I'm probably staying away. Denver is a 2.5 point dog on Monday night to the Chargers in San Diego, and I'm definitely betting on a rebound by Manning in prime time if I can get it at +3. The Chargers are going to get eviscerated in that game if anything at all remains of the old Peyton Manning. Green Bay getting 5 at Houston seems a little excessive to me, and I bet the line moves towards Houston, despite their somewhat weak showing tonight. Again, the game is in Houston, but I could see Green Bay winning that game outright, after a tough loss this weekend. I'll have to take a look at the early line movement before I commit to anything.


Yeah, early lines aren't as attractive as they were this time last week. I'm not really fond of any of em. I bet the line moves a bit towards the Browns this week so the Bengals might be a value play on the moneyline.

If I'm taking the Bengals, I'm afraid of giving the points even if it moves towards the Browns. Wouldn't be shocked to see the Browns win that game straight up, in fact, as even Weeden should be able to torch that terrible secondary.


The Browns should win, they've been getting closer to looking like a football team every week but if the Bengals are +3 and a ML of +115 or so, I might have to think about it. There's been a ton of money on the Browns to cover the last two weeks, too.
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