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2012 Stat Projections (Week 3)
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RandyMossIsBoss


Joined: 01 Jun 2012
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 1:01 am    Post subject: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) Reply with quote

Here are some end of year projections based off the first 3 weeks of the season, the following stats are completely pointless and I'd be surprised to see if a quarter of them turned out accurate. Regardless, I think it's at least entertaining to see what some guys are on pace for if they keep up their current level of play. It would probably make more sense to do this after week 4, but nah. Which projection do you think will turn out being the closest? Farthest?


QBs

Matt Ryan
4,229 Yards, 72% Completions, 43 TDs, 5 INTs

Ben Roethlisberger
4,821 Yards, 68.3% Completions, 43 TDs, 5 INTs

Robert Griffin III
3,984 Yards, 67.4% Completions, 21 TDs, 5 INTs
1,115 Rush Yards, 16 TDs, 21 Fumbles (5 Lost)

Eli Manning
5,392 Yards, 66.9% Completions, 27 TDs, 16 INTs

Christian Ponder
3,803 Yards, 70.1% Completions, 21 TDs, 0 INTs

Aaron Rodgers
3,973 Yards, 67.8% Completions, 16 TDs, 11 INTs

Michael Vick
4,827 Yards, 55.2% Completions, 16 TDs, 32 INTs
501 Rush Yards, 5 TDs, 27 Fumbles (16 Lost)
(^Dat yardage doe)

Ryan Tannehill
3,280 Yards, 52.9% Completions 5 TDs, 21 INTs


RBs

Jamaal Charles
1,723 Yards (5.9 Y/C), 5 TDs, 48 Receptions, 395 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs

Ray Rice
1,429 Yards (5.8 Y/C), 16 TDs, 75 Receptions, 677 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs

Arian Foster
1,568 Yards (3.7 Y/C), 16 TDs, 43 Receptions, 192 Receiving Yards, 5 TDs

Reggie Bush
1,611 Yards (6.0 Y/C), 11 TDs, 53 Receptions, 384 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs

Chris Johnson
240 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs


WRs

Calvin Johnson
128 Receptions, 1,968 Yards (15.4 Y/R), 5 TDs, 77% Catch Rate

Mike Wallace
91 Receptions, 1,248 Yards (13.7 Y/R), 16 TDs, 77% Catch Rate

AJ Green
112 Receptions, 1,659 Yards (14.8 Y/R), 11 TDs, 62% Catch Rate

Percy Harvin
144 Receptions, 1,477 Yards (10.3 Y/R), 0 TDs, 84% Catch Rate


TEs

Tony Gonzalez
112 Receptions, 1,141 Yards (10.2 Y/R), 16 TDs, 75% Catch Rate

Vernon Davis
69 Receptions, 901 Yards (13.0 Y/R), 21 TDs, 65% Catch Rate

Martellus Bennett
80 Receptions, 987 Yards (12.3 Y/R), 16 TDs, 65% Catch Rate

Brent Celeks

Brent Celek
75 Receptions, 1,376 Yards (18 Y/R)


LBs

D'Qwell Jackson
75 Tackles, 16 Sacks, 11 INTs, 16 PDs, 5 FRs, 5 TFLs

Clay Matthews
32 Sacks, 69 Tackles, 5 PDs

DeMarcus Ware
21.5 Sacks, 96 Tackles, 11 FFs, 5 TFLs

Navorro Bowman
197 Tackles, 5 INTs, 16 PDs


DL

JJ Watt
29.5 Sacks, 80 Tackles, 27 PDs, 16 TFLs, 5 FRs

Chris Clemons
26.5 Sacks, 5 FFs, 37 Tackles, 16 PDs

Haloti Ngata
13.5 Sacks, 85 Tackles, 5 PDs, 5 TFLs


DBs

Tim Jennings
21 INTs, 48 PDs, 59 Tackles, 5 TFLs
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Last edited by RandyMossIsBoss on Wed Sep 26, 2012 11:02 pm; edited 1 time in total
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streetlight3989


Joined: 23 Jan 2011
Posts: 167
PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is interesting. I didn't realize just how out of this world Ben has been playing. I think that Eli's interception numbers are off because of the 3 interception game against the Bucs. I expect him to throw 12-14, but 16 seems a little high. Also, almost no way he throws for over 5,000 yards, especially if Brown keeps running this way. If Matt Ryan can keep pace he'll solidify himself as a top 7 QB in the league and with a couple playoff wins he'll have a legitimate argument for top 5. If RGIII keeps this up it will be without a doubt the best rookie QB season of all time.

Completion percentages seem way up this year. There's a lot of QBs with over 65% right now and that's usually the threshold for an elite completion percentage. Obviously this is only three weeks in, and a lot of this will change drastically, but it's still interesting.


Last edited by streetlight3989 on Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:12 pm; edited 1 time in total
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vikingsrule


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Beasts:

Quote:
Christian Ponder
3,803 Yards, 70.1% Completions, 21 TDs, 0 INTs

Percy Harvin
144 Receptions, 1,477 Yards (10.3 Y/R), 0 TDs, 84% Catch Rate


Isnt it fun projecting stats only 3 weeks in!

0 ints for Ponder and 0 tds for Harvin Laughing
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DrawABlank


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:12 pm    Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) Reply with quote

RandyMossIsBoss wrote:
Christian Ponder
3,803 Yards, 70.1% Completions, 21 TDs, 0 INTs

D'Qwell Jackson
75 Tackles, 16 Sacks, 11 INTs, 16 PDs, 5 FRs, 5 TFLs

JJ Watt
29.5 Sacks, 80 Tackles, 27 PDs, 16 TFLs, 5 FRs

Tim Jennings
21 INTs, 48 PDs, 59 Tackles, 5 TFLs


Love the ridiculous defensive seasons (and Ponder throwing zero picks for a year).

As a side question, who wins DPOY if you have the best season ever from a DL, LB and DB? I assume it would be Watt as he plays for the best team, but 21 picks when no-ones had more than 10 since 1981 would be pretty good.
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TitanSlim


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Didn't Calvin Johnson say he wanted to reach 2000 receiving yards this year? Three weeks in and he's on pace to be close.
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TheVillain112


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:19 pm    Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) Reply with quote

RandyMossIsBoss wrote:
AJ Green
112 Receptions, 1,659 Yards (14.8 Y/R), 11 TDs, 62% Catch Rate


His catch rate is a bit deceiving. Dalton has been completely off on throws to Green. Better in the Redskins game, but he missed Green too many times to remember this season...
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Should see some Orlovsky vs Manziel this week in the battle of "who's less aware of their surroundings"

Orlovsky has too much experience here. Manziel doesn't stand a chance.
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Steelerspower


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The stats of Michael Vick are crazy!
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FourThreeMafia


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

48 turnovers for Vick. LMAO...that made me laugh.

These will all even out...as usual.
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MaddHatter


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Your 5 TFLs for Ware are off
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RuskieTitan


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:32 pm    Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) Reply with quote

RandyMossIsBoss wrote:
RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs


How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.

Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing.
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khodder


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:46 pm    Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) Reply with quote

RuskieTitan wrote:
RandyMossIsBoss wrote:
RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs


How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.

Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing.


Also 720 yard at 1.4 YPC reguires over 500 carries.

Kevin Kolb(Excluding the 6/8 performance vs Seattle) = 256/408, 62.7% completions, 7.10 YPA, 2896 yards, 24TD's 0 INT's
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RuskieTitan


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:51 pm    Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) Reply with quote

khodder wrote:
RuskieTitan wrote:
RandyMossIsBoss wrote:
RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs


How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.

Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing.


Also 720 yard at 1.4 YPC reguires over 500 carries.

Kevin Kolb(Excluding the 6/8 performance vs Seattle) = 256/408, 62.7% completions, 7.10 YPA, 2896 yards, 24TD's 0 INT's


Ah, data selectivity. I'm sure if Jamaal Charles removed a game or two, then projected his stats based on his one game vs the Saints, he'd look pretty damn good too.
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titans0021 wrote:
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1.Michael Griffin

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khodder


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 6:22 pm    Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) Reply with quote

RuskieTitan wrote:
khodder wrote:
RuskieTitan wrote:
RandyMossIsBoss wrote:
RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs


How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.

Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing.


Also 720 yard at 1.4 YPC reguires over 500 carries.

Kevin Kolb(Excluding the 6/8 performance vs Seattle) = 256/408, 62.7% completions, 7.10 YPA, 2896 yards, 24TD's 0 INT's


Ah, data selectivity. I'm sure if Jamaal Charles removed a game or two, then projected his stats based on his one game vs the Saints, he'd look pretty damn good too.


I am excluding it because he did not start the game. Adding in a 6/8 66 yards 1 TD 0 INT perfomance actually helps my data in this case.
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titwio


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 6:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But you forgot Michael Boley's 16 INT's.. Not talking
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wackywabbit


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 6:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I could see Matt Ryan's stats holding up. He was my preseason MVP sleeper. Not only did he take a jump in his level of play, but he has a great receiving core, plays in a dome/warm weather division, and has a very favorable defensive schedule.

His stats would be even more impressive right now, if the Falcons weren't getting to such good starts.
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