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RandyMossIsBoss
Joined: 01 Jun 2012
Posts: 8174
Location: Peppers90 on the sig, Kiltman on the avy
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 Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 1:01 am Post subject: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) |
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Here are some end of year projections based off the first 3 weeks of the season, the following stats are completely pointless and I'd be surprised to see if a quarter of them turned out accurate. Regardless, I think it's at least entertaining to see what some guys are on pace for if they keep up their current level of play. It would probably make more sense to do this after week 4, but nah. Which projection do you think will turn out being the closest? Farthest?
QBs
Matt Ryan
4,229 Yards, 72% Completions, 43 TDs, 5 INTs
Ben Roethlisberger
4,821 Yards, 68.3% Completions, 43 TDs, 5 INTs
Robert Griffin III
3,984 Yards, 67.4% Completions, 21 TDs, 5 INTs
1,115 Rush Yards, 16 TDs, 21 Fumbles (5 Lost)
Eli Manning
5,392 Yards, 66.9% Completions, 27 TDs, 16 INTs
Christian Ponder
3,803 Yards, 70.1% Completions, 21 TDs, 0 INTs
Aaron Rodgers
3,973 Yards, 67.8% Completions, 16 TDs, 11 INTs
Michael Vick
4,827 Yards, 55.2% Completions, 16 TDs, 32 INTs
501 Rush Yards, 5 TDs, 27 Fumbles (16 Lost)
(^Dat yardage doe)
Ryan Tannehill
3,280 Yards, 52.9% Completions 5 TDs, 21 INTs
RBs
Jamaal Charles
1,723 Yards (5.9 Y/C), 5 TDs, 48 Receptions, 395 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
Ray Rice
1,429 Yards (5.8 Y/C), 16 TDs, 75 Receptions, 677 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
Arian Foster
1,568 Yards (3.7 Y/C), 16 TDs, 43 Receptions, 192 Receiving Yards, 5 TDs
Reggie Bush
1,611 Yards (6.0 Y/C), 11 TDs, 53 Receptions, 384 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
Chris Johnson
240 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
WRs
Calvin Johnson
128 Receptions, 1,968 Yards (15.4 Y/R), 5 TDs, 77% Catch Rate
Mike Wallace
91 Receptions, 1,248 Yards (13.7 Y/R), 16 TDs, 77% Catch Rate
AJ Green
112 Receptions, 1,659 Yards (14.8 Y/R), 11 TDs, 62% Catch Rate
Percy Harvin
144 Receptions, 1,477 Yards (10.3 Y/R), 0 TDs, 84% Catch Rate
TEs
Tony Gonzalez
112 Receptions, 1,141 Yards (10.2 Y/R), 16 TDs, 75% Catch Rate
Vernon Davis
69 Receptions, 901 Yards (13.0 Y/R), 21 TDs, 65% Catch Rate
Martellus Bennett
80 Receptions, 987 Yards (12.3 Y/R), 16 TDs, 65% Catch Rate
Brent Celeks
Brent Celek
75 Receptions, 1,376 Yards (18 Y/R)
LBs
D'Qwell Jackson
75 Tackles, 16 Sacks, 11 INTs, 16 PDs, 5 FRs, 5 TFLs
Clay Matthews
32 Sacks, 69 Tackles, 5 PDs
DeMarcus Ware
21.5 Sacks, 96 Tackles, 11 FFs, 5 TFLs
Navorro Bowman
197 Tackles, 5 INTs, 16 PDs
DL
JJ Watt
29.5 Sacks, 80 Tackles, 27 PDs, 16 TFLs, 5 FRs
Chris Clemons
26.5 Sacks, 5 FFs, 37 Tackles, 16 PDs
Haloti Ngata
13.5 Sacks, 85 Tackles, 5 PDs, 5 TFLs
DBs
Tim Jennings
21 INTs, 48 PDs, 59 Tackles, 5 TFLs
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Last edited by RandyMossIsBoss on Wed Sep 26, 2012 11:02 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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streetlight3989
Joined: 23 Jan 2011
Posts: 161
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:02 pm Post subject: |
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This is interesting. I didn't realize just how out of this world Ben has been playing. I think that Eli's interception numbers are off because of the 3 interception game against the Bucs. I expect him to throw 12-14, but 16 seems a little high. Also, almost no way he throws for over 5,000 yards, especially if Brown keeps running this way. If Matt Ryan can keep pace he'll solidify himself as a top 7 QB in the league and with a couple playoff wins he'll have a legitimate argument for top 5. If RGIII keeps this up it will be without a doubt the best rookie QB season of all time.
Completion percentages seem way up this year. There's a lot of QBs with over 65% right now and that's usually the threshold for an elite completion percentage. Obviously this is only three weeks in, and a lot of this will change drastically, but it's still interesting.
Last edited by streetlight3989 on Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:12 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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vikingsrule
Joined: 15 Nov 2005
Posts: 39514
Location: Land of 10,000 Lakes!
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:10 pm Post subject: |
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Beasts:
| Quote: | Christian Ponder
3,803 Yards, 70.1% Completions, 21 TDs, 0 INTs
Percy Harvin
144 Receptions, 1,477 Yards (10.3 Y/R), 0 TDs, 84% Catch Rate |
Isnt it fun projecting stats only 3 weeks in!
0 ints for Ponder and 0 tds for Harvin  |
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DrawABlank
Joined: 27 Dec 2009
Posts: 1749
Location: London, UK
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:12 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) |
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| RandyMossIsBoss wrote: | Christian Ponder
3,803 Yards, 70.1% Completions, 21 TDs, 0 INTs
D'Qwell Jackson
75 Tackles, 16 Sacks, 11 INTs, 16 PDs, 5 FRs, 5 TFLs
JJ Watt
29.5 Sacks, 80 Tackles, 27 PDs, 16 TFLs, 5 FRs
Tim Jennings
21 INTs, 48 PDs, 59 Tackles, 5 TFLs |
Love the ridiculous defensive seasons (and Ponder throwing zero picks for a year).
As a side question, who wins DPOY if you have the best season ever from a DL, LB and DB? I assume it would be Watt as he plays for the best team, but 21 picks when no-ones had more than 10 since 1981 would be pretty good.
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Adopt-A-Falcon: William "C4" Moore
2012 Stats: 14 GS, 86 tkls, 1.0 sacks, 9 PD, 4 INT, 5 TFL, 2 FF |
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TitanSlim
Joined: 19 Aug 2010
Posts: 1394
Location: NC
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:16 pm Post subject: |
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| Didn't Calvin Johnson say he wanted to reach 2000 receiving yards this year? Three weeks in and he's on pace to be close. |
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TheVillain112
Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 12479
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:19 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) |
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| RandyMossIsBoss wrote: | AJ Green
112 Receptions, 1,659 Yards (14.8 Y/R), 11 TDs, 62% Catch Rate
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His catch rate is a bit deceiving. Dalton has been completely off on throws to Green. Better in the Redskins game, but he missed Green too many times to remember this season...
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Steelerspower
Joined: 13 Jun 2011
Posts: 6540
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:22 pm Post subject: |
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The stats of Michael Vick are crazy!
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FourThreeMafia
Joined: 28 Sep 2006
Posts: 40070
Location: East of Sixburgh
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:25 pm Post subject: |
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48 turnovers for Vick. LMAO...that made me laugh.
These will all even out...as usual.
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| cluelessororke wrote: | | I am going to laugh in your face when they don't even sniff WR until day three of the draft |
Still waiting for your laugh.... |
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MaddHatter
Joined: 29 Nov 2006
Posts: 41475
Location: Dallas, TX
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:29 pm Post subject: |
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Your 5 TFLs for Ware are off
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Ware Stat Tracker: 27 Pressures, 9 Hits, 10 sacks, 4 FF, 7 TFL (thru 8 games) |
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RuskieTitan
Joined: 29 Apr 2007
Posts: 34187
Location: Front lines of Titania
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:32 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) |
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| RandyMossIsBoss wrote: | RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
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How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.
Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing.
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Supporter of the Death Penalty in CFB
FF Hunger Games I Winner |
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khodder
Joined: 19 Dec 2005
Posts: 48154
Location: New New York
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:46 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) |
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| RuskieTitan wrote: | | RandyMossIsBoss wrote: | RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
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How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.
Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing. |
Also 720 yard at 1.4 YPC reguires over 500 carries.
Kevin Kolb(Excluding the 6/8 performance vs Seattle) = 256/408, 62.7% completions, 7.10 YPA, 2896 yards, 24TD's 0 INT's
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Patrick Peterson - 92 targets, 40 catches allowed, 602 yards, 6 TD's, 7 INT's
The Big Brain am winning again, I am the Greetest. |
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RuskieTitan
Joined: 29 Apr 2007
Posts: 34187
Location: Front lines of Titania
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:51 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) |
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| khodder wrote: | | RuskieTitan wrote: | | RandyMossIsBoss wrote: | RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
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How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.
Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing. |
Also 720 yard at 1.4 YPC reguires over 500 carries.
Kevin Kolb(Excluding the 6/8 performance vs Seattle) = 256/408, 62.7% completions, 7.10 YPA, 2896 yards, 24TD's 0 INT's |
Ah, data selectivity. I'm sure if Jamaal Charles removed a game or two, then projected his stats based on his one game vs the Saints, he'd look pretty damn good too.
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Supporter of the Death Penalty in CFB
FF Hunger Games I Winner |
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khodder
Joined: 19 Dec 2005
Posts: 48154
Location: New New York
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 6:22 pm Post subject: Re: 2012 Stat Projections (Week 3) |
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| RuskieTitan wrote: | | khodder wrote: | | RuskieTitan wrote: | | RandyMossIsBoss wrote: | RBs
Chris Johnson
720 Yards (1.4 Y/C), 0 TDs, 48 Receptions, 336 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
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How sad is it that with those 3 absolutely atrocious games, CJ will still be a 1,000 yard rusher by the end of the season, because, let's be reality here, he'll get a few yards more as the season progresses.
Basically makes 1,000 yards seem like nothing. |
Also 720 yard at 1.4 YPC reguires over 500 carries.
Kevin Kolb(Excluding the 6/8 performance vs Seattle) = 256/408, 62.7% completions, 7.10 YPA, 2896 yards, 24TD's 0 INT's |
Ah, data selectivity. I'm sure if Jamaal Charles removed a game or two, then projected his stats based on his one game vs the Saints, he'd look pretty damn good too. |
I am excluding it because he did not start the game. Adding in a 6/8 66 yards 1 TD 0 INT perfomance actually helps my data in this case.
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Patrick Peterson - 92 targets, 40 catches allowed, 602 yards, 6 TD's, 7 INT's
The Big Brain am winning again, I am the Greetest. |
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titwio
Joined: 09 Jan 2011
Posts: 6256
Location: Bronx NY *Sio Moore mofo's
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 6:24 pm Post subject: |
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But you forgot Michael Boley's 16 INT's.. 
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bRONX bRIXX 2013 Welcome's you to the "David Wilson Show". |
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wackywabbit
Joined: 20 Dec 2009
Posts: 3855
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| Posted: Wed Sep 26, 2012 6:30 pm Post subject: |
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I could see Matt Ryan's stats holding up. He was my preseason MVP sleeper. Not only did he take a jump in his level of play, but he has a great receiving core, plays in a dome/warm weather division, and has a very favorable defensive schedule.
His stats would be even more impressive right now, if the Falcons weren't getting to such good starts. |
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