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2010 NFL Draft Order (through Week 10)
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 23, 2009 9:23 am    Post subject: 2010 NFL Draft Order (through Week 10) Reply with quote

NFL Draft Order

Snapshot through NFL Week 10
Code:
PICK      TEAM                       PCT   SoS
===============================================
Pick:  1  Cleveland Browns          .111  .542
Pick:  2  St. Louis Rams            .111  .542
Pick:  3  Detroit Lions             .111  .549
Pick:  4  Tampa Bay Buccaneers      .111  .554
Pick:  5  Kansas City Chiefs        .222  .514
Pick:  6  Oakland Raiders           .222  .520
Pick:  7  Seattle Seahawks          .333  .480
Pick:  8  Washington Redskins       .333  .480
Pick:  9  Buffalo Bills             .333  .500
Pick: 10  Tennessee Titans          .333  .563
Pick: 11  San Francisco 49ers       .444  .486
Pick: 12  Chicago Bears             .444  .493  [Traded to Denver]
Pick: 13  New York Jets             .444  .528
Pick: 14  Miami Dolphins            .444  .549
Pick: 15  Carolina Panthers         .444  .554  [Traded to San Francisco]
Pick: 16  Green Bay Packers         .556  .459
Pick: 17  Jacksonville Jaguars      .556  .472
Pick: 18  Philadelphia Eagles       .556  .493
Pick: 19  Atlanta Falcons           .556  .500
Pick: 20  Houston Texans            .556  .514
Pick: 21  New York Giants           .556  .533
Pick: 22  Baltimore Ravens          .556  .535
Pick: 23  Arizona Cardinals         .667  .451
Pick: 24  San Diego Chargers        .667  .452
Pick: 25  Pittsburgh Steelers       .667  .465
Pick: 26  Dallas Cowboys            .667  .479
Pick: 27  Denver Broncos            .667  .507  [Traded to Seattle]
Pick: 28  New England Patriots      .667  .514
Pick: 29  Cincinnati Bengals        .778  .465
Pick: 30  Minnesota Vikings         .889  .431
Pick: 31  New Orleans Saints       1.000  .405
Pick: 32  Indianapolis Colts       1.000  .472


As always, here are the caveats:
    1. This is based on the raw, regular-season information only. It includes each team's opponents for the full season, not simply the opponents they have played to date. It does not take playoff performances into account.

    2. There are going to be ties. In cases of a tie between teams at the end of the season, the NFL will flip a coin to decide which team picks first. If more than two teams are tied, the NFL reverts to a complex series of tie-breakers. I'll be honest, until the regular season is over, I don't care enough to try and figure these things out. Coincidentally, neither does the NFL. In these circumstances, I use good old-fashioned alphabetic order to sort teams. If you don't like it, too bad.

    3. If you did not know, the NFL's competition committee made a change to the draft ordering during the offseason. From now on, the final 12 picks in a round will belong to the 12 playoff teams. Furthermore, the arrangement of picks for playoff teams will be determined by the round the team was knocked out. As an example, last year, the Tennesee Titans finished with the best record in football but lost in the division round. As a result, they picked 30th last year. This year, they would pick 28th (as they had the best record of the four teams that lost in the second round of the playoffs.

As always, if you have questions about this, feel free to ask. If you make pompous statements about the accuracy of the list, I will illustrate to everyone what a tool you are.
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Last edited by frankmoore on Tue Nov 17, 2009 9:36 am; edited 10 times in total
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 23, 2009 9:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Post NFL Week 1 Snapshot

Code:
PICK      TEAM                       PCT   SoS
==============================================
Pick:  1  Houston Texans            .000  .375
Pick:  2  Jacksonville Jaguars      .000  .375
Pick:  3  Buffalo Bills             .000  .438
Pick:  4  Arizona Cardinals         .000  .500
Pick:  5  Cleveland Browns          .000  .500
Pick:  6  St. Louis Rams            .000  .500
Pick:  7  Tennessee Titans          .000  .500
Pick:  8  Cincinnati Bengals        .000  .563
Pick:  9  Detroit Lions             .000  .563
Pick: 10  Kansas City Chiefs        .000  .563
Pick: 11  Miami Dolphins            .000  .563
Pick: 12  Carolina Panthers         .000  .625
Pick: 13  Chicago Bears             .000  .625
Pick: 14  Oakland Raiders           .000  .625
Pick: 15  Washington Redskins       .000  .625
Pick: 16  Tampa Bay Buccaneers      .000  .688
Pick: 17  New York Jets            1.000  .313
Pick: 18  Indianapolis Colts       1.000  .375
Pick: 19  Pittsburgh Steelers      1.000  .375
Pick: 20  Seattle Seahawks         1.000  .375
Pick: 21  Green Bay Packers        1.000  .438
Pick: 22  Minnesota Vikings        1.000  .438
Pick: 23  New England Patriots     1.000  .438
Pick: 24  New Orleans Saints       1.000  .438
Pick: 25  San Diego Chargers       1.000  .438
Pick: 26  San Francisco 49ers      1.000  .438
Pick: 27  Atlanta Falcons          1.000  .500
Pick: 28  Baltimore Ravens         1.000  .500
Pick: 29  Denver Broncos           1.000  .563
Pick: 30  New York Giants          1.000  .563
Pick: 31  Philadelphia Eagles      1.000  .563
Pick: 32  Dallas Cowboys           1.000  .625

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Last edited by frankmoore on Wed Sep 23, 2009 9:40 am; edited 1 time in total
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RashaanSalaami


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 23, 2009 9:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Let's give this a sticky yet again. Funny to see the Titans at 2. Laughing
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 23, 2009 9:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Post NFL Week 2 Snapshot

Code:
PICK      TEAM                       PCT   SoS
==============================================
Pick:  1  Jacksonville Jaguars      .000  .438
Pick:  2  Tennessee Titans          .000  .500
Pick:  3  Cleveland Browns          .000  .531
Pick:  4  Miami Dolphins            .000  .531
Pick:  5  Kansas City Chiefs        .000  .561
Pick:  6  St. Louis Rams            .000  .563
Pick:  7  Tampa Bay Buccaneers      .000  .591
Pick:  8  Detroit Lions             .000  .594
Pick:  9  Carolina Panthers         .000  .621
Pick: 10  Buffalo Bills             .500  .406
Pick: 11  Houston Texans            .500  .438
Pick: 12  Pittsburgh Steelers       .500  .438
Pick: 13  Seattle Seahawks          .500  .439
Pick: 14  Arizona Cardinals         .500  .469
Pick: 15  Green Bay Packers         .500  .470
Pick: 16  San Diego Chargers        .500  .470
Pick: 17  Washington Redskins       .500  .500
Pick: 18  Chicago Bears             .500  .531
Pick: 19  Cincinnati Bengals        .500  .531
Pick: 20  New England Patriots      .500  .531
Pick: 21  Oakland Raiders           .500  .561
Pick: 22  Dallas Cowboys            .500  .563
Pick: 23  Philadelphia Eagles       .500  .588
Pick: 24  New York Jets            1.000  .406
Pick: 25  New Orleans Saints       1.000  .409
Pick: 26  Indianapolis Colts       1.000  .438
Pick: 27  Minnesota Vikings        1.000  .438
Pick: 28  San Francisco 49ers      1.000  .438
Pick: 29  Baltimore Ravens         1.000  .469
Pick: 30  Atlanta Falcons          1.000  .500
Pick: 31  Denver Broncos           1.000  .500
Pick: 32  New York Giants          1.000  .529

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CWood21


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 23, 2009 2:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good work yet again frank.
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scar988


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 23, 2009 10:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

wow. just as I finished making my SOS spreadsheet. haha.
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Mon Sep 28, 2009 10:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

RashaanSalaami wrote:
Funny to see the Titans at 2. Laughing

Until they move up to #1 this week.
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titanrick


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PostPosted: Mon Sep 28, 2009 2:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

frankmoore wrote:
RashaanSalaami wrote:
Funny to see the Titans at 2. Laughing

Until they move up to #1 this week.


Suddenly I'm interested in this season again... Sad
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MIT^2


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PostPosted: Mon Sep 28, 2009 4:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Looks like the 49ers will be getting a SWEET pick in the draft.
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 29, 2009 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Post NFL Week 3 Snapshot
Code:
                                                 2008
PICK      TEAM                       PCT   SoS    SoS
=====================================================
Pick:  1  Tennessee Titans          .000  .479   .508
Pick:  2  Miami Dolphins            .000  .521   .594
Pick:  3  St. Louis Rams            .000  .521   .465
Pick:  4  Tampa Bay Buccaneers      .000  .561   .580
Pick:  5  Carolina Panthers         .000  .582   .592  [Traded to San Francisco]
Pick:  6  Kansas City Chiefs        .000  .582   .484
Pick:  7  Cleveland Browns          .000  .583   .449
Pick:  8  Jacksonville Jaguars      .333  .375   .516
Pick:  9  Buffalo Bills             .333  .417   .570
Pick: 10  Houston Texans            .333  .438   .506
Pick: 11  Seattle Seahawks          .333  .439   .457
Pick: 12  Arizona Cardinals         .333  .458   .441
Pick: 13  Pittsburgh Steelers       .333  .500   .434
Pick: 14  Washington Redskins       .333  .540   .492
Pick: 15  Oakland Raiders           .333  .582   .480
Pick: 16  Detroit Lions             .333  .583   .467
Pick: 17  San Francisco 49ers       .667  .438   .443
Pick: 18  San Diego Chargers        .667  .459   .484
Pick: 19  Atlanta Falcons           .667  .500   .588
Pick: 20  Green Bay Packers         .667  .500   .428
Pick: 21  New England Patriots      .667  .500   .590
Pick: 22  Chicago Bears             .667  .542   .414  [Traded to Denver]
Pick: 23  Cincinnati Bengals        .667  .542   .465
Pick: 24  Dallas Cowboys            .667  .542   .516
Pick: 25  Philadelphia Eagles       .667  .560   .535
Pick: 26  New York Jets            1.000  .396   .568
Pick: 27  New Orleans Saints       1.000  .398   .557
Pick: 28  Indianapolis Colts       1.000  .417   .512
Pick: 29  Minnesota Vikings        1.000  .479   .420
Pick: 30  New York Giants          1.000  .520   .527
Pick: 31  Denver Broncos           1.000  .520   .480  [Traded to Seattle]
Pick: 32  Baltimore Ravens         1.000  .521   .438


OK, for the curious, I've added traded draft picks as well as last year's SoS numbers. So you can see which teams have weaker schedules and which ones have tougher schedules.

And the good news for the Rams is that they're only a coin flip away from having the #2 pick in the draft 3 years running...
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khodder


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2009 6:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I always forget frank is the SOS for this year games played so for or all 16 games that are on their schedule for this season??
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 7:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

khodder wrote:
I always forget frank is the SOS for this year games played so for or all 16 games that are on their schedule for this season??

Yes, the SoS is for all 16 opponents, not just the opponents played to date.
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khodder


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 5:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

frankmoore wrote:
khodder wrote:
I always forget frank is the SOS for this year games played so for or all 16 games that are on their schedule for this season??

Yes, the SoS is for all 16 opponents, not just the opponents played to date.


So it fluctuates from week to week, right, because SoS for the Draft is based of the records that they earned THIS season.
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2009 7:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Post NFL Week 4 Snapshot
Code:
PICK      TEAM                       PCT   SoS
===============================================
Pick:  1  Tennessee Titans          .000  .524 
Pick:  2  St. Louis Rams            .000  .548 
Pick:  3  Kansas City Chiefs        .000  .554 
Pick:  4  Tampa Bay Buccaneers      .000  .557 
Pick:  5  Cleveland Browns          .000  .563 
Pick:  6  Carolina Panthers         .000  .581    [Traded to San Francisco]
Pick:  7  Buffalo Bills             .250  .452 
Pick:  8  Seattle Seahawks          .250  .453 
Pick:  9  Miami Dolphins            .250  .516 
Pick: 10  Oakland Raiders           .250  .554 
Pick: 11  Detroit Lions             .250  .587 
Pick: 12  Arizona Cardinals         .333  .476 
Pick: 13  Jacksonville Jaguars      .500  .397 
Pick: 14  Houston Texans            .500  .460 
Pick: 15  San Diego Chargers        .500  .462 
Pick: 16  Pittsburgh Steelers       .500  .469 
Pick: 17  Green Bay Packers         .500  .492 
Pick: 18  Washington Redskins       .500  .500 
Pick: 19  Dallas Cowboys            .500  .533 
Pick: 20  Atlanta Falcons           .667  .524 
Pick: 21  Philadelphia Eagles       .667  .561 
Pick: 22  San Francisco 49ers       .750  .433 
Pick: 23  New York Jets             .750  .452 
Pick: 24  Cincinnati Bengals        .750  .500 
Pick: 25  New England Patriots      .750  .500 
Pick: 26  Chicago Bears             .750  .508    [Traded to Denver]
Pick: 27  Baltimore Ravens          .750  .531 
Pick: 28  New Orleans Saints       1.000  .393 
Pick: 29  Indianapolis Colts       1.000  .444 
Pick: 30  Minnesota Vikings        1.000  .468 
Pick: 31  Denver Broncos           1.000  .492    [Traded to Seattle]
Pick: 32  New York Giants          1.000  .508

And the Rams are back up to the second pick.
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frankmoore


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2009 10:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

khodder wrote:
frankmoore wrote:
khodder wrote:
I always forget frank is the SOS for this year games played so for or all 16 games that are on their schedule for this season??

Yes, the SoS is for all 16 opponents, not just the opponents played to date.


So it fluctuates from week to week, right, because SoS for the Draft is based of the records that they earned THIS season.

Exactly. The #1 factor in determining draft order is winning percentage. A team with a winning percentage of .250 is going to pick ahead of a team with a winning percentage of .375.

However, for instances where two teams have the same winning percentage, the next determining factor is Strength of Schedule. Basically, the team that faced the weaker schedule gets to pick ahead of the team that faced the tougher schedule.
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