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Breaking News"this just in COLTS are idiots if they don

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Joined: 23 Feb 2005
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 02, 2005 2:07 pm    Post subject: Breaking News"this just in COLTS are idiots if they don Reply with quote

Don't count on Edgerrin deal


It is guaranteed. Done. Bet all you have, then borrow against your mortgage and bet more: Edgerrin James is coming back to Miami.

To his condo on Key Biscayne, I mean, eventually. He lives here.

As for his returning to the city of his University of Miami exploits to play for the Dolphins, what am I, Nostradamus?

All that's certain is the deal would be as good as done -- maybe even today, the first day of NFL free agency -- if it were up to James and the Dolphins.

The player would have his wish to bolt Indianapolis and head home. New coach Nick Saban would have his offensive stud to saddle up. And Dolfans would be thrilled -- especially those who bucked the local trend and refused to burn their Ricky Williams dreadlock wigs in effigy, on a wild hunch the next ballcarrier would be similarly coifed.

The Colts are in the triangular equation, too, unfortunately. In control, actually. And it says here they are likely to play hardball with James and consider any reasonable offer for him, including Miami's, to be not good enough.

In other words: Don't get your hopes up, Dolfans.


Indy slapping a ''franchise player'' tag on James was your first hint the team plans to hang on to the running portion of its offensive triumvirate with Peyton Manning and Marvin Harrison.

It means another team would have to give the Colts two first-round draft picks to get James, unless another deal was agreed upon.

Forget the two 1's, to start. Saban was hired to be the head coach, not the town lunatic. Ever heard of a lesson learned? Miami, remember, gave up a pair of numero unos for Williams, the reluctant football player/aspiring holistic healer with whom the team made zero playoff appearances.

As a quick aside, no team more than Miami should be cautious with its first-round pick. Consider: Since moderate success with 1996 top pick Daryl Gardener, the Dolphins in the eight drafts since either haven't had a No. 1 pick at all (on four occasions) or have spent dubiously with little to show (Yatil Green, John Avery, Jamar Fletcher, Vernon Carey). Gee, do you think the accumulation of all that might have played its part in the downward spiral to last season's 4-12?

But back to the future.

The only way for the Dolphins to have James is to agree on a trade, such as Miami getting James and Indy's No. 29 overall pick in April's draft in exchange for Indy getting cornerback Patrick Surtain and Miami's No. 2 overall pick.

Simple. Neat. Tidy. Right? Half-right.

I think the Dolphins would make the swap in a nanosecond, acquiring a premier runner while still maintaining a first-round presence.

Alas, I think the Colts would react by whinnying incredulous laughter.

It says here Indy will demand more. Not a sixth-round pick and a used 1976 Rob Konrad. Much more. Enough to make the Dolphins say no and change plans.

On both sides, the shape of the draft also seems to discourage a deal.

The Colts need defensive help, yes, especially at cornerback. But that position corners the draft market, with as many as seven CBs projected as first-round picks. Even at 29th, Indy might figure it can get a cover corner who can start right away.

Likewise, the running back-needing Dolphins will have tempting options in the likes of Texas' Cedric Benson (a likely top five pick) or Auburn's Ronnie Brown, who weighs 233, flies a 4.32 40 and was the hottest thing at the recent NFL combine.

The Dolphins might be able to trade down slightly from the second pick and still have either -- plus save millions vs. what James would get in signing bonus alone.


Miami's interest in James still makes huge sense, of course. Benson and Brown are probabilities; James is proof. He is healthy, motivated, coming off a great season . . . and 26. You think of E.J. as high-mileage, but he's younger than the holistic healer.

Why would Miami, with a shaky O-line, be better in 2005 with James than it was those two seasons with Williams?

Because now you would have (presumably) a better quarterback, in A.J. Feeley. And now you would have (almost certainly) a better coach, in Saban. And you would still have a first-round pick (only the club's third since 1998), if the Colts were dumb enough to accept the deal Miami probably will be pushing.

Why would James want to leave a winning team with a star QB to come to Miami? The splendor of arrogance, of believing oneself to be The Difference.

''As E.J. put it to me recently, when he was drafted to the Colts they had gone 3-13 the year before and his rookie year they went 13-3,'' James' co-agent, Gene Mato, said Tuesday. ``He believes things can get turned around real quick with the right players.''

Mato and Drew Rosenhaus, also of Miami, signed a joint-representation agreement Sunday after James became convinced that Rosenhaus -- whose 90 NFL clients include about 15 Dolphins -- might help fashion a path to Miami.

''He'd love to play for the Dolphins,'' Rosenhaus said. ``And it would be a quick way for Miami to erase the Ricky Williams stuff, and just what the doctor ordered for a young quarterback and a line looking to develop. It sure seems to make sense.''

It sure does.

Except, in all likelihood, to the Colts.
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Joined: 14 Feb 2005
Posts: 549
Location: Maryland
PostPosted: Wed Mar 02, 2005 4:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In my opinion, Colts cant make the trade proposed there. Surtain is nice addition but with the number two pick in first round, Colts would have to take Ronny Brown as he is the single RB most likely to replace Edge. If Dolphins took Colts pick in second round instead of their pick in first, Colts could take DJ early in first and Fason in late in first. This gives them two top defenders and a potential replacement for Edge. That deal works for the Colts. Otherwise, you just add a CB who Colts believe is devalued by rules changes and an unproven rookie replacement for Edge. Brown and Fason supposedly have combination of skills needed for Colts RB. Run well, catch well and pass block/pick up blitzes well. If the Colts have room, maybe they could make it work by taking Madison and his larger contract instead of Surtain?
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