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Fantasy outlook for the Saints

 
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McGahee


Joined: 29 Nov 2005
Posts: 1256
Location: Canada
PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 9:12 pm    Post subject: Fantasy outlook for the Saints Reply with quote

Hi all, doing my prep for fantasy football and I wanted to ask about some of your key players.

1. Brees was my go-to guy last year, this year I can get him in the second, is he due for another big season? Will the drop off between him and Manning/Newton be much less this year?

2. Who is your starting RB, and is he worth draft? What kind of numbers will he put up?

3. Is Jimmy Graham worth drafting in the top of the second?

4. Is Lance Moore worth drafting? Will his production go up this year? What kind of numbers do you expect from him?


Thanks guys
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Harper41


Joined: 29 Aug 2009
Posts: 23896
Location: Roll Tide Country
PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 10:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

1. Brees is definitely in for another big year, no reason to think with Payton back his numbers will drop. The attempts might slowly lower but the efficiency will likely increase.
2. If its PPR, take Sproles. If not, don't touch any of them. Pierre, Sproles and Ingram will all rotate.
3. Absolutely. He'll put up 1000 yards and 10 TDs this year at a weak TE spot.
4. Yes, and you can get him very late. I expect Moore to do his usual output of 800-900 yards with 7-8 TDs.
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GFalcon wrote:
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sammymvpknight


Joined: 22 Feb 2005
Posts: 3399
PostPosted: Tue Aug 20, 2013 11:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harper41 wrote:
1. Brees is definitely in for another big year, no reason to think with Payton back his numbers will drop. The attempts might slowly lower but the efficiency will likely increase.
2. If its PPR, take Sproles. If not, don't touch any of them. Pierre, Sproles and Ingram will all rotate.
3. Absolutely. He'll put up 1000 yards and 10 TDs this year at a weak TE spot.
4. Yes, and you can get him very late. I expect Moore to do his usual output of 800-900 yards with 7-8 TDs.


1) agree
2) agree
3) agree for the most part. Graham is TE #1, no question. But I see Watson stealing some yardage and TDs. I expect to see something closer to 2012 stats than 2011 stats.
4) I an lowering expectations for Moore. I think that Stills, Toon, and Watson will all work over the middle.I think that 700 yards and 6 TDs if realistic. Solid flex.
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Fray32


Joined: 30 Aug 2010
Posts: 505
Location: The Great White North
PostPosted: Tue Aug 20, 2013 2:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dont be surprised when Graham puts up elite WR1 numbers this year, dude is going to annihilate the competition every. single. week.

and Lance Moore ought to do well, but the only thing that might infuriate you is his inconsistency. Any given week he could contribute a 2-30-0 line or an 8-120-1 line, you just never know with him, but I expect him to have a decent overall stat line by the end of the season, but with no consistency Laughing
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domepatrol91


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Joined: 26 Mar 2013
Posts: 4957
PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2013 3:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harper41 wrote:
1. Brees is definitely in for another big year, no reason to think with Payton back his numbers will drop. The attempts might slowly lower but the efficiency will likely increase.
2. If its PPR, take Sproles. If not, don't touch any of them. Pierre, Sproles and Ingram will all rotate.
3. Absolutely. He'll put up 1000 yards and 10 TDs this year at a weak TE spot.
4. Yes, and you can get him very late. I expect Moore to do his usual output of 800-900 yards with 7-8 TDs.
Agree on all points. Harper hit the nail on the head for each one.
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domepatrol91


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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2013 3:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fray32 wrote:
and Lance Moore ought to do well, but the only thing that might infuriate you is his inconsistency. Any given week he could contribute a 2-30-0 line or an 8-120-1 line, you just never know with him, but I expect him to have a decent overall stat line by the end of the season, but with no consistency Laughing


This caught my eye. I looked up his stats to see how accurate you're stat guesses were and found something a little weird. Lance seems to be either a red zone target, or a yardage WR, but rarely both at the same time.

Last year, of his 6 TDs, only 1 was scored in a game in which he had more than 70 yards.

In 5 of the games he had over 70 yards, he scored TDs in just 1 of them.

4 of his TDs were scored in games where he had 52 yards or less.

Interesting.
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McGahee


Joined: 29 Nov 2005
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 25, 2013 8:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Has the pre-season changed any of the answers to the above?
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Harper41


Joined: 29 Aug 2009
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Location: Roll Tide Country
PostPosted: Sun Aug 25, 2013 10:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

McGahee wrote:
Has the pre-season changed any of the answers to the above?

Only the Lance Moore one, Stills looks like he could quickly become Brees 2nd favorite target.
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GFalcon wrote:
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SaintsBeast


Joined: 30 Oct 2009
Posts: 648
PostPosted: Mon Aug 26, 2013 6:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harper41 wrote:
McGahee wrote:
Has the pre-season changed any of the answers to the above?

Only the Lance Moore one, Stills looks like he could quickly become Brees 2nd favorite target.


I've noticed that, too. He targets him fairly often, and watching the wide-22 view, he's usually the 2nd option. I picked him up in one of my fantasy leagues undrafted, interested to see where he goes this year.
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BillSabre


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 2643
Location: Buffalo 716
PostPosted: Thu Aug 29, 2013 4:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

SaintsBeast wrote:
Harper41 wrote:
McGahee wrote:
Has the pre-season changed any of the answers to the above?

Only the Lance Moore one, Stills looks like he could quickly become Brees 2nd favorite target.


I've noticed that, too. He targets him fairly often, and watching the wide-22 view, he's usually the 2nd option. I picked him up in one of my fantasy leagues undrafted, interested to see where he goes this year.


So you guys feel that with Stills there Colston will be receiving less looks, huh?
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End Run


Joined: 08 Feb 2010
Posts: 213
PostPosted: Fri Aug 30, 2013 12:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wasn't sure where to ask this, and I'm asking because of fantasy, so here goes...

I see that Darren Sproles is listed as both the KR and PR on the depth chart, but Cadet and Parker have been doing the job in the pre-season.

Is the change official? Is Sproles no longer the KR and/or PR? Or will he start doing it again in the regular season?

Thanks.
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krewebrees


Joined: 10 Feb 2013
Posts: 372
PostPosted: Fri Aug 30, 2013 7:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sproles should still be our returner. But I expect it to similar to last year where he isn't the only one returning kicks. I'd assume he returns most of the punts, but only about half of the kicks.
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Harper41


Joined: 29 Aug 2009
Posts: 23896
Location: Roll Tide Country
PostPosted: Fri Aug 30, 2013 8:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

End Run wrote:
I wasn't sure where to ask this, and I'm asking because of fantasy, so here goes...

I see that Darren Sproles is listed as both the KR and PR on the depth chart, but Cadet and Parker have been doing the job in the pre-season.

Is the change official? Is Sproles no longer the KR and/or PR? Or will he start doing it again in the regular season?

Thanks.

Chances are Cadet won't make the team, so I think Sproles will still be the PR but he definitely lost the KR job if Parker makes the team.
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GFalcon wrote:
go saints
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