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| Will the Colts take a musket shot to the face, or will the Pats get trampled under hoof? |
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| Total Votes : 16 |
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dhunt2402
Joined: 24 Nov 2007
Posts: 26047
Location: The District
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 Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:46 pm Post subject: |
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Starting TY Hilton in fantasy this week. Just have a feeling he's gonna have a huge day
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goldfishwars
Joined: 27 Mar 2011
Posts: 11936
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| Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 5:51 pm Post subject: |
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| dhunt2402 wrote: | | Starting TY Hilton in fantasy this week. Just have a feeling he's gonna have a huge day |
And Reggie Wayne and Donnie Avery etc etc |
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Dalton
Joined: 16 Mar 2010
Posts: 4464
Location: Illinois
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| Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 6:48 pm Post subject: |
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I'd sig bet that Luck WILL throw for 350+ yards. However, no one probably cares because seldom do I post,  . |
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Nihc
Joined: 13 Sep 2011
Posts: 3508
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| Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 7:17 pm Post subject: |
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| Dalton wrote: | | I'd sig bet that Luck WILL throw for 350+ yards. However, no one probably cares because seldom do I post, . |
I'll do a slap bet with you since it's so close to slapsgiving that Luck throws for less than 350 yards.
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mcmurtry86
Joined: 02 Mar 2010
Posts: 32061
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| Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 7:26 pm Post subject: |
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| Nihc wrote: | | Kind of silly to think Luck is automatically going to throw 350+ yards. He'll more likely than not have a good game, but I don't think he's going to go off and put up crazy numbers. |
Why not? Sanchez did.
I think the issue is that the Colts offense runs through Luck. Their running game isn't particularly good and the Pats run D is better than their pass D. On top of that, the Pats figure to put up a fair number of points against the Colts poor defense. So the Colts will be forced to put the ball in the air and we all know the Pats pass D is an absolute disaster.
It's not "automatic" but it would take some surprising things to happen for Luck to be held under 350. The Colts would need to find success running the ball, or not be in a situation where they are playing from behind or trying to match the Pats score-for-score.
In other words, for Luck to stay under 350, the Colts need to be doing better than expected. Either holding a lead against the Pats (due to takeaways or the Pats coming out flat) or running the ball well and chewing up the clock (thus limiting Luck's attempts).
We know the Pats pass D is extremely unlikely to be able to stop any QB unless that QB shoots himself in the proverbial foot. Luck is unlikely to commit that many mental errors so he should find tremendous success against New England |
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Tzimisce
Joined: 13 Oct 2005
Posts: 49984
Location: Tuntmore Tower
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| Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 7:29 pm Post subject: |
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Don't forget that Luck can run pretty well, too. Another reason why he could give the Pats' defense fits.
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Nihc
Joined: 13 Sep 2011
Posts: 3508
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| Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 8:02 pm Post subject: |
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My guess is that Luck throws between 280 and 310 yards.
I give pause at the notion that our defense is so bad that it is more surprising to hold a rookie QB (no matter how good) under 350 yards than it would be to allow him to throw for more than 350.
I also see the Pats relying on the running game quite a bit this week.
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mcmurtry86
Joined: 02 Mar 2010
Posts: 32061
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| Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2012 8:19 pm Post subject: |
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| Nihc wrote: | My guess is that Luck throws between 280 and 310 yards.
I give pause at the notion that our defense is so bad that it is more surprising to hold a rookie QB (no matter how good) under 350 yards than it would be to allow him to throw for more than 350.
I also see the Pats relying on the running game quite a bit this week. |
Again, the pass D is so bad that Mark Sanchez completed 68% of his throws for 328 yards. I think Luck, despite being a rookie, is much better than Sanchez.
I also think Luck is much better than Russel Wilson (also a rookie) who threw for 293.
Also, Luck has already gone over 350 twice this year (362 vs GB, 433 vs Miami). Both of those teams have better pass defenses than New England. |
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pats83
Joined: 30 Apr 2010
Posts: 2111
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| Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 1:12 am Post subject: |
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| I expect Luck to have over 320 yards. I think he might have a turnover forced though, but it would be a fumble. Something like 320 with a 65% completion rate, 2 TDs and 1 fumble is my guess. Overall I think he'll do very well. |
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Dalton
Joined: 16 Mar 2010
Posts: 4464
Location: Illinois
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| Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 1:15 pm Post subject: |
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| Oh man, I forgot Talib played this weekend. No way Luck throws over 300. Wayne will be shutdown for 0 catches. |
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addaismydaddy
Joined: 03 Sep 2007
Posts: 123
Location: Purdue University
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| Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 1:48 pm Post subject: |
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| Dalton wrote: | | Oh man, I forgot Talib played this weekend. No way Luck throws over 300. Wayne will be shutdown for 0 catches. |
LOL at this guy
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24isthelaw
Joined: 15 Nov 2010
Posts: 7885
Location: Where the Patriots are
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| Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 2:19 pm Post subject: |
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After seeing what Dan Orlovsky and the "f this season, we're going home" Colts did to our defense, anyone who really thinks we're shutting down Luck is kidding themselves.
I also started TY Hilton in fantasy. I expect Reggie Wayne will have a quiet day, but the constant two-man attention we give him will open up the rest of the field for Donnie Avery (remember this guy...?), Hilton, and Dwayne Allen (who's pretty good). This is gonna be a shootout.
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Nihc
Joined: 13 Sep 2011
Posts: 3508
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| Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 4:55 pm Post subject: |
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No hernandez again. I said when the injury was announced that he shouldn't be back until week 10 Let it heal completely and then play at the end of the year. He came back in three weeks now it's lingering, hopefully it'll heal soon.
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Dalton
Joined: 16 Mar 2010
Posts: 4464
Location: Illinois
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| Posted: Fri Nov 16, 2012 5:37 pm Post subject: |
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| addaismydaddy wrote: | | Dalton wrote: | | Oh man, I forgot Talib played this weekend. No way Luck throws over 300. Wayne will be shutdown for 0 catches. |
LOL at this guy |
Hey, a guy can dream. |
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mcmurtry86
Joined: 02 Mar 2010
Posts: 32061
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| Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 2:31 pm Post subject: |
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| Dalton wrote: | | Oh man, I forgot Talib played this weekend. No way Luck throws over 300. Wayne will be shutdown for 0 catches. |
The Giants threw for 510 yards against the Bucs with Talib playing. Much of that yardage came against Talib himself.
Given his newness to the scheme and the fairly mediocre season he's been having, I'm not expecting big things. He might be an improvement (it would hard to be worse) but I doubt he will be an impact addition. |
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