The playoff hunt thread.

[justo]

Just a little tracker as the NFL season goes along.

Current NFC Standings:
Atlanta Falcons 8-0
Chicago Bears 7-1
San Francisco 49ers 6-2
New York Giants 6-3
Green Bay Packers 6-3
Seattle Seahawks 5-4
Minnesota Vikings 5-4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4-4
Detroit Lions 4-4
Arizona Cardinals 4-5
Philadelphia Eagles 3-5
Dallas Cowboys 3-5
New Orleans Saints 3-5
St. Louis Rams 3-5
Washington Redskins 3-6
Carolina Panthers 2-6

My end of the year projections
http://www.footballsfuture.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=501543

[incognito_man]

I did the playoff generator and think I ended up with:

1 Falcons - 14-2
2 49ers - 12-4
3 Packers - 12-4
4 Giants - 11-5
5 Bears - 12-4
6 Seahawks - 10-6

Gives us a route of Sea, SF, ATL/CHI/NYG

[justo]

[MathMan]

[I Am Rodgers]

[KManX89]

Am I the only one who thinks the Bears might end up taking the division here? Of the remaining games on their schedule (which is, ironically, their next 2: vs Houston and then @ San Fran in week 11), there's only 2, maybe 3 (including our game at Soldier Field) I could see as potential losses (and they won't lose all 3 "swing" games methinks), that leaves them at 13-3 or 12-4 at the very worst. Meaning, we would have to not lose a single game from here on out if we are to have any chance, or at worst, win all but 1 of our remaining games on our schedule, and the games @ NYG and CHI I (sadly) could easily mark down as potential losses (though I predict we'll win at least 1 of the 2 games, if not both of them), which is another reason why the blown Seattle call hurts so much (thankfully, it doesn't appear as if it'll cost us a playoff seed at this point, barring a huge late season meltdown from us).

So, with me going by my head, and not my heart:

1. Atlanta (14-2)
2. Chicago (13-3) (call me crazy)
3. San Fran (12-4)
4. NYG (11-5)
5. Green Bay (12-4)
6. Seattle (10-6)

SF has already dropped 2 games, and have 3 tough games remaining (@ SEA, @ NE, vs. CHI), I could see at least 2 of those games being losses. CHI has HOU, @ SF and us at home as their big 3; like SF's, I only see 1 or 2 of those being losses. Atlanta's 2 losses I have coming @ NE (they're playing better, plus they'll be pumped and motivated playing against their bitter division rivals), and @ TB (playing better, but I think will fall short of making a playoff push, since they have a tough schedule from here on out), NYG I have losing @ ATL and then 1 of either @ BAL or vs. us at home (our big payback game), though I don't think they'll lose both (though this is based on my most conservative estimates on a game-by-game basis).

So, basically, our route to the SB goes through the Meadowlands, Atlanta (I have SF beating SEA in the divisional round in my simulation, leaving us with the Dirty Birds again **they must be creaming themselves at this point**), and then either Chicago or San Fran in the NFCCG. If it wasn't for "the call" we wouldn't have to go on the road and win 3 straight again to make it to the SB, but that "game," be it as it may, unfortunately puts us in a bad spot in terms of seeding. I could definitely see Chicago winning the division over us now, unfortunately, barring a late season meltdown.

[justo]

Atlanta Falcons 8-1
Chicago Bears 7-2
San Francisco 49ers 6-2-1
New York Giants 6-4
Green Bay Packers 6-3
Seattle Seahawks 6-4
Minnesota Vikings 6-4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-4
New Orleans Saints 4-5
Dallas Cowboys 4-5
Detroit Lions 4-5
Arizona Cardinals 4-5
St. Louis Rams 3-5-1
Philadelphia Eagles 3-6
Washington Redskins 3-6
Carolina Panthers 2-7

Falcons:
Remaining schedule: Cardinals, @ Buccaneers, Saints, @ Panthers, Giants, @ Lions, Buccaneers

Bears: lost GB
Remaining schedule: @ 49ers, Vikings, Seahawks, @ Vikings, Packers, @ Cardinals, @ Lions

49ers: won GB, lost NYG, won Sea
Remaining schedule: Bears, @ Saints, @ Rams, Dolphins, @ Patriots, @ Seahawks, Cardinals

Giants: won SF
Remaining schedule: Packers, @ Redskins, Saints, @ Falcons, @ Ravens, Eagles

Packers: lost SF, won Chi, lost Sea
Remaining schedule: @ Lions, @ Giants, Vikings, Lions, @ Bears, Titans, @ Vikings

Seahawks: won GB, lost SF, won MN
Remaining schedule: @ Dolphins, @ Bears, Cardinals, @ Bills, 49ers, Rams

Vikings: won SF, lost Sea
Remaining schedule: @ Bears, @ Packers, Bears, @ Rams, @ Texans, Packers
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[justo]

How my formula thinks the season is going to turn out
1) Green Bay Packers 13-3
2) Seattle Seahawks 12-4
4) New York Giants 11-5
6) Atlanta Falcons 10-6
3) San Francisco 49ers 11-4-1
5) Chicago Bears 11-5
Minnesota Vikings 6-10

Playoffs:
WC: San Francisco>Atlanta
WC: Chicago<New York Giants
DV: San Francisco<Green Bay
DV: New York Giants<Seattle
CF: Seattle<Green Bay
SB: Denver>Green Bay
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[Sandybaby716]

right now, after this week, i see it

1. Packers 13-3
2. Falcons 12-4
3. 49ers 11-4-1
4. Cowboys 9-7
5. Seahawks 11-5
6. Bears 11-5

Seahawks beat bears for that tiebreaker.

I think the Bears beat the 49ers. Seahawks beat Cowboys.
We beat the Bears. Seahawks beat Falcons.
We beat Seahawks.

AFC is all but decided. I see it
1. Texans
2. Broncos
3. Pats
4. Steelers
5. Colts
6. Ravens

Ravens beat Pats. Steelers beat Colts.
Texans beat Ravens. Broncos beat Steelers.
Broncos beat Texans.

the Owl has us versus the Broncos. I like our odds.
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[I Am Rodgers]

Bumping this so Justo updates it.
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[justo]

[driftwood]

[Sandybaby716]

[driftwood]

[Packerraymond]

Team Im most afraid of is us, there isn't a team in the NFL that can even hang with us when we play like we did in Houston and Chicago. That team ever decides to show up again, Im fully confident.

The thing is, with a confident team that is full of "leaders" we continually show up and play soft, unemotional, without effort and skate by with a close win. The team that played the 49ers, Colts, Seahawks, Jags, Lions and Giants shows up and we are one and done, because that team isn't even playoff worthy. The sad part is, I don't have the slightest clue who to blame for the fact that our best product has shown up for 2/11 games thus far.
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