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RandyMossIsBoss
Joined: 01 Jun 2012
Posts: 12680
Location: Peppers90 on the sig, Phire on the avy
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 Posted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 8:18 pm Post subject: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) |
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Another week of play in the books, another set of way-too-early projections. They should become slightly more accurate than they were last week though. Of course there is still some unrealistically good, and unrealistically bad, seasons that are projected at this point. So here are the notable projections through week 4. Which projections do you find the most likely? Least likely?
Projections From Week 3
QBs
Matt Ryan
4,648 Yards, 69.4% Completions, 44 TDs, 8 INTs
Ben Roethlisberger
4,805 Yards, 68.3% Completions, 43 TDs, 5 INTs
Tom Brady
4,908 Yards, 65.6% Completions, 28 TDs, 4 INTs
Robert Griffin III
4,280 Yards, 69.4% Completions, 16 TDs, 4 INTs
1,008 Rush Yards, 16 TDs, 20 Fumbles (4 Lost)
Matt Schaub
3,812 Yards, 66.9% Completions, 28 TDs, 4 INTs
Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)
Aaron Rodgers
4,256 Yards, 69.9% Completions, 28 TDs, 12 INTs
Drew Brees
5,400 Yards, 57.6% Completions, 40 TDs, 20 INTs
Andy Dalton
4,444 Yards, 67.5% Completions, 32 TDs, 16 INTs
Ryan Fitzpatrick
3,724 Yards, 57.6% Completions, 48 TDs, 28 INTs
Tony Romo
4,592 Yards, 66.9% Completions, 20 TDs, 32 INTs
Ryan Tannehill
4,184 Yards, 55.9% Completions 8 TDs, 24 INTs
RBs
Arian Foster
1,520 Yards (3.7 Y/C), 16 TDs, 36 Receptions, 176 Receiving Yards, 4 TDs
Jamaal Charles
1,660 Yards (5.8 Y/C), 8 TDs, 48 Receptions, 388 Receiving Yards, 4 TDs
Marshawn Lynch
1,692 Yards (4.6 Y/C), 8 TDs, 28 Receptions, 200 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
Ray Rice
1,268 Yards (5.0 Y/C), 12 TDs, 88 Receptions, 696 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs
Alfred Morris
1,504 Yards (4.6 Y/C), 16 TDs
WRs
AJ Green
108 Receptions, 1,712 Yards (15.9 Y/R), 12 TDs, 63% Catch Rate
Roddy White
108 Receptions, 1,652 Yards (15.3 Y/R), 12 TDs, 69% Catch Rate
Brian Hartline
100 Receptions, 1,820 Yards (18.2 Y/R), 4 TDs, 53% Catch Rate
Calvin Johnson
116 Receptions, 1,692 Yards (14.6 Y/R), 4 TDs, 67% Catch Rate
Mike Wallace
91 Receptions, 1,248 Yards (13.7 Y/R), 16 TDs, 77% Catch Rate
Victor Cruz
128 Receptions, 1,552 Yards (12.1 Y/R), 8 TDs, 65% Catch Rate
TEs
Tony Gonzalez
104 Receptions, 1,060 Yards (10.2 Y/R), 12 TDs, 79% Catch Rate
Vernon Davis
60 Receptions, 788 Yards (13.1 Y/R), 16 TDs, 68% Catch Rate
Rob Gronkowski
76 Receptions, 1,040 Yards (13.7 Y/R), 12 TDs, 66% Catch Rate
Brent Celeks
Brent Celek
72 Receptions, 1,260 Yards (17.5 Y/R)
LBs
D'Qwell Jackson
100 Tackles, 12 Sacks, 8 INTs, 12 PDs, 4 FRs, 4 TFLs, 4 TDs
DeMarcus Ware
20 Sacks, 84 Tackles, 12 FFs, 4 TFLs
Clay Matthews
28 Sacks, 76 Tackles, 4 PDs
Chad Greenway
176 Tackles, 8 Sacks, 8 PDs,
DL
JJ Watt
30 Sacks, 80 Tackles, 20 PDs, 16 TFLs, 8 FRs
Chris Clemons
20 Sacks, 4 FFs, 12 PDs, 32 Tackles
Geno Atkins
20 Sacks, 44 Tackles, 4 TFLs
DBs
Tim Jennings
16 INTs, 36 PDs, 64 Tackles, 4 TFLs
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
12 INTs, 28 PDs, 40 Tackles
_________________
Bird Watch | Nick Foles | 1,791 yards (9.1 Y/A), 63.3% Completions, 19 TDs, 0 INTs, 125.2 Passer Rating |
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WhackyPlague
Joined: 25 May 2008
Posts: 4630
Location: South Carolina
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| Posted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:06 pm Post subject: |
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| Awesome projection aside, Brent Celek is playing great. |
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Flaccomania
Joined: 12 Aug 2008
Posts: 18943
Location: Parkville, MD
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| Posted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:14 pm Post subject: |
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I'll throw in some Ravens...
Flacco: 5,076 yards, 63.5%, 28 TDs, 12 INT
Torrey Smith: 1328 yards (20.8 Y/R), 12 TDs, 57% catch rate
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| Piquel wrote: | | How can a final box score be misleading??? I mean that is how the game was played out. |
XBL GT: kanxalanx |
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Jakuvious
Joined: 06 Sep 2010
Posts: 6972
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| Posted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:23 pm Post subject: |
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My personal favorite:
Greg Zuerlein:
48/48
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Adopt-a-Chief: Brandon Flowers
45 Tackles, 1 sack, 1 Interception, 32 INT yards, 5 PDs |
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Sciz
Joined: 19 Jan 2009
Posts: 14997
Location: Iowa
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| Posted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:28 pm Post subject: |
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Tavon Wilson:
8 interceptions, 8 fumble recoveries
(Bryan Scott is on pace for 12 and 8, but he's not a second round rookie that nobody expected to do anything) |
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Pats4ever
Joined: 27 Sep 2007
Posts: 1035
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| Posted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:31 pm Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) |
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| RandyMossIsBoss wrote: |
Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)
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Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards  ?
Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying  |
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Steelerspower
Joined: 13 Jun 2011
Posts: 7743
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:04 pm Post subject: |
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Matt Cassel on pace for 4,232 yards, 20 touchdowns 28 interceptions, 16 fumbles.
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khodder
Joined: 19 Dec 2005
Posts: 49320
Location: New New York
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:06 pm Post subject: |
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Are these done by start or by game?
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Patrick Peterson 2013 Coverage Metrics. 47 targets, 20 catches allowed, 303 yards, 3 INT, 3 TD
The Big Brain am winning again, I am the Greetest. |
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DarrellGreen28
Joined: 16 Jan 2011
Posts: 437
Location: Rockville, MD
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:21 pm Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) |
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| Pats4ever wrote: | | RandyMossIsBoss wrote: |
Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)
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Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards ?
Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying |
He was just sayin dude.. 
Why do Pats fans hate Manning so much?
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bucsfan333
Joined: 15 Jun 2007
Posts: 23583
Location: O-H
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:29 pm Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) |
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| DarrellGreen28 wrote: | | Pats4ever wrote: | | RandyMossIsBoss wrote: |
Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)
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Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards ?
Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying |
He was just sayin dude..
Why do Pats fans hate Manning so much? |
Yeah. I read it as "What if Peyton didn't suck so bad for those 15 minutes?" That really doesn't have anything to do with how he's done during the rest of his time on the field.
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Adopt-a-Buc
Adrian Clayborn
12 Games | 46 Tackles (11 for loss) | 4 Sacks | 1 Forced Fumble | 1 Pass Defensed |
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RainbowCarebear
Joined: 31 Aug 2011
Posts: 30000
Location: Phire on the Avatar & SiLo on the Sig
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:35 pm Post subject: |
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Brent Celeks 
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Bird Watch: Cedric Thornton
Tackles:53 Sack:1 PDef:2 FF:1
| Phire wrote: | | I just keep an eye on the Dane |
20 Days |
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RandyMossIsBoss
Joined: 01 Jun 2012
Posts: 12680
Location: Peppers90 on the sig, Phire on the avy
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:45 pm Post subject: |
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| khodder wrote: | | Are these done by start or by game? |
Games really, although I'm pretty sure all of the guys I listed have started in 100% of there teams games.
_________________
Bird Watch | Nick Foles | 1,791 yards (9.1 Y/A), 63.3% Completions, 19 TDs, 0 INTs, 125.2 Passer Rating |
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Pats4ever
Joined: 27 Sep 2007
Posts: 1035
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 6:19 pm Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) |
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| bucsfan333 wrote: | | DarrellGreen28 wrote: | | Pats4ever wrote: | | RandyMossIsBoss wrote: |
Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)
|
Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards ?
Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying |
He was just sayin dude..
Why do Pats fans hate Manning so much? |
Yeah. I read it as "What if Peyton didn't suck so bad for those 15 minutes?" That really doesn't have anything to do with how he's done during the rest of his time on the field. |
Actually I don't dislike Manning at all. I probably did a little bit during the hardcore Pats-Colts rivalry days.
I just found it extremely weird to list a whole bunch projections, yet only leaving a note at one of them. A remark that somehow implicitly says that Manning might have had a better statistical season than his numbers display. When, in fact, his numbers actually are a little bit inflated due to luck and very good YAC abilities by his receivers.
This has nothing to do with Manning, I would have stated the same with any other player who I thought was being presented in a somewhat deceiving way. |
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wackywabbit
Joined: 20 Dec 2009
Posts: 5000
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 7:27 pm Post subject: |
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You don't think Joe Flacco being on pace for over 5000 yards is notable/unusual?
The only way that continues is if Cam Cameron completely forgets Ray Rice is on his team. |
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FourThreeMafia
Joined: 28 Sep 2006
Posts: 44239
Location: East of Sixburgh
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| Posted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 7:44 pm Post subject: |
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| wackywabbit wrote: | You don't think Joe Flacco being on pace for over 5000 yards is notable/unusual?
The only way that continues is if Cam Cameron completely forgets Ray Rice is on his team. |
Which is not out of the question. 
_________________
| NextBigThing wrote: | | if i were the pats, i would take [Luck] only after brady and rodgers. i prefer luck to manning, brees, and many others |
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