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NFL Stat Projections (Week 4)
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RandyMossIsBoss


Joined: 01 Jun 2012
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Location: Peppers90 on the sig, Justo on the avy
PostPosted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 8:18 pm    Post subject: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) Reply with quote

Another week of play in the books, another set of way-too-early projections. They should become slightly more accurate than they were last week though. Of course there is still some unrealistically good, and unrealistically bad, seasons that are projected at this point. So here are the notable projections through week 4. Which projections do you find the most likely? Least likely?

Projections From Week 3

QBs

Matt Ryan
4,648 Yards, 69.4% Completions, 44 TDs, 8 INTs

Ben Roethlisberger
4,805 Yards, 68.3% Completions, 43 TDs, 5 INTs

Tom Brady
4,908 Yards, 65.6% Completions, 28 TDs, 4 INTs

Robert Griffin III
4,280 Yards, 69.4% Completions, 16 TDs, 4 INTs
1,008 Rush Yards, 16 TDs, 20 Fumbles (4 Lost)

Matt Schaub
3,812 Yards, 66.9% Completions, 28 TDs, 4 INTs

Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)

Aaron Rodgers
4,256 Yards, 69.9% Completions, 28 TDs, 12 INTs

Drew Brees
5,400 Yards, 57.6% Completions, 40 TDs, 20 INTs

Andy Dalton
4,444 Yards, 67.5% Completions, 32 TDs, 16 INTs

Ryan Fitzpatrick
3,724 Yards, 57.6% Completions, 48 TDs, 28 INTs

Tony Romo
4,592 Yards, 66.9% Completions, 20 TDs, 32 INTs

Ryan Tannehill
4,184 Yards, 55.9% Completions 8 TDs, 24 INTs


RBs

Arian Foster
1,520 Yards (3.7 Y/C), 16 TDs, 36 Receptions, 176 Receiving Yards, 4 TDs

Jamaal Charles
1,660 Yards (5.8 Y/C), 8 TDs, 48 Receptions, 388 Receiving Yards, 4 TDs

Marshawn Lynch
1,692 Yards (4.6 Y/C), 8 TDs, 28 Receptions, 200 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs

Ray Rice
1,268 Yards (5.0 Y/C), 12 TDs, 88 Receptions, 696 Receiving Yards, 0 TDs

Alfred Morris
1,504 Yards (4.6 Y/C), 16 TDs


WRs

AJ Green
108 Receptions, 1,712 Yards (15.9 Y/R), 12 TDs, 63% Catch Rate

Roddy White
108 Receptions, 1,652 Yards (15.3 Y/R), 12 TDs, 69% Catch Rate

Brian Hartline
100 Receptions, 1,820 Yards (18.2 Y/R), 4 TDs, 53% Catch Rate

Calvin Johnson
116 Receptions, 1,692 Yards (14.6 Y/R), 4 TDs, 67% Catch Rate

Mike Wallace
91 Receptions, 1,248 Yards (13.7 Y/R), 16 TDs, 77% Catch Rate

Victor Cruz
128 Receptions, 1,552 Yards (12.1 Y/R), 8 TDs, 65% Catch Rate


TEs

Tony Gonzalez
104 Receptions, 1,060 Yards (10.2 Y/R), 12 TDs, 79% Catch Rate

Vernon Davis
60 Receptions, 788 Yards (13.1 Y/R), 16 TDs, 68% Catch Rate

Rob Gronkowski
76 Receptions, 1,040 Yards (13.7 Y/R), 12 TDs, 66% Catch Rate

Brent Celeks

Brent Celek
72 Receptions, 1,260 Yards (17.5 Y/R)


LBs

D'Qwell Jackson
100 Tackles, 12 Sacks, 8 INTs, 12 PDs, 4 FRs, 4 TFLs, 4 TDs

DeMarcus Ware
20 Sacks, 84 Tackles, 12 FFs, 4 TFLs

Clay Matthews
28 Sacks, 76 Tackles, 4 PDs

Chad Greenway
176 Tackles, 8 Sacks, 8 PDs,


DL

JJ Watt
30 Sacks, 80 Tackles, 20 PDs, 16 TFLs, 8 FRs

Chris Clemons
20 Sacks, 4 FFs, 12 PDs, 32 Tackles

Geno Atkins
20 Sacks, 44 Tackles, 4 TFLs


DBs

Tim Jennings
16 INTs, 36 PDs, 64 Tackles, 4 TFLs

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
12 INTs, 28 PDs, 40 Tackles
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WhackyPlague


Joined: 25 May 2008
Posts: 5001
Location: Orlando, FL
PostPosted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Awesome projection aside, Brent Celek is playing great.
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Flaccomania


Joined: 12 Aug 2008
Posts: 21276
Location: Parkville, MD
PostPosted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'll throw in some Ravens...

Flacco: 5,076 yards, 63.5%, 28 TDs, 12 INT

Torrey Smith: 1328 yards (20.8 Y/R), 12 TDs, 57% catch rate
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Jakuvious


Joined: 06 Sep 2010
Posts: 8548
PostPosted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My personal favorite:

Greg Zuerlein:
48/48
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Sciz


Joined: 19 Jan 2009
Posts: 15730
Location: Iowa
PostPosted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tavon Wilson:
8 interceptions, 8 fumble recoveries

(Bryan Scott is on pace for 12 and 8, but he's not a second round rookie that nobody expected to do anything)
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Pats4ever


Joined: 27 Sep 2007
Posts: 1238
PostPosted: Tue Oct 02, 2012 9:31 pm    Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) Reply with quote

RandyMossIsBoss wrote:


Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)



Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards Wink ?

Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying Smile
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Steelerspower


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Matt Cassel on pace for 4,232 yards, 20 touchdowns 28 interceptions, 16 fumbles.
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khodder


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Are these done by start or by game?
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DarrellGreen28


Joined: 16 Jan 2011
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:21 pm    Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) Reply with quote

Pats4ever wrote:
RandyMossIsBoss wrote:


Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)



Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards Wink ?

Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying Smile

He was just sayin dude.. Laughing

Why do Pats fans hate Manning so much?
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bucsfan333


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:29 pm    Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) Reply with quote

DarrellGreen28 wrote:
Pats4ever wrote:
RandyMossIsBoss wrote:


Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)



Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards Wink ?

Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying Smile

He was just sayin dude.. Laughing

Why do Pats fans hate Manning so much?

Yeah. Laughing I read it as "What if Peyton didn't suck so bad for those 15 minutes?" That really doesn't have anything to do with how he's done during the rest of his time on the field.
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RainbowCarebear


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Brent Celeks Laughing Applause
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RandyMossIsBoss


Joined: 01 Jun 2012
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

khodder wrote:
Are these done by start or by game?


Games really, although I'm pretty sure all of the guys I listed have started in 100% of there teams games.
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Pats4ever


Joined: 27 Sep 2007
Posts: 1238
PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 6:19 pm    Post subject: Re: NFL Stat Projections (Week 4) Reply with quote

bucsfan333 wrote:
DarrellGreen28 wrote:
Pats4ever wrote:
RandyMossIsBoss wrote:


Peyton Manning
4,648 Yards, 64.7% Completions, 32 TDs, 8 INTs
(Imagine how good his stats would look if you took away that 1st quarter of Falcons game)



Imagine how much worse his stats would have been if the defensive backs could catch his 5+ gifts? Or if his receivers had not taken screens and quick outs for 60 yards Wink ?

Peyton's quarter against Falcons was all on him, terrible throws. I'm sure you can come up with "Ifs" for all the players you listed. And most of them actually have better excuses, such as deflected passes, injuries etc. Actually, it's not even an excuse with Peyton, it's just poor play over a short period of time...just saying Smile

He was just sayin dude.. Laughing

Why do Pats fans hate Manning so much?

Yeah. Laughing I read it as "What if Peyton didn't suck so bad for those 15 minutes?" That really doesn't have anything to do with how he's done during the rest of his time on the field.


Actually I don't dislike Manning at all. I probably did a little bit during the hardcore Pats-Colts rivalry days.

I just found it extremely weird to list a whole bunch projections, yet only leaving a note at one of them. A remark that somehow implicitly says that Manning might have had a better statistical season than his numbers display. When, in fact, his numbers actually are a little bit inflated due to luck and very good YAC abilities by his receivers.


This has nothing to do with Manning, I would have stated the same with any other player who I thought was being presented in a somewhat deceiving way.
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wackywabbit


Joined: 20 Dec 2009
Posts: 6480
PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 7:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You don't think Joe Flacco being on pace for over 5000 yards is notable/unusual? Laughing

The only way that continues is if Cam Cameron completely forgets Ray Rice is on his team.
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FourThreeMafia


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2012 7:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

wackywabbit wrote:
You don't think Joe Flacco being on pace for over 5000 yards is notable/unusual? Laughing

The only way that continues is if Cam Cameron completely forgets Ray Rice is on his team.


Which is not out of the question. Cool
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